【重磅解读】BTC创新低欲变盘,LTC强者恒强

jinjin说币Published on 2022-11-22Last updated on 2022-11-23

Abstract

BTC价格走势低迷,向下空间仍在。

1、BTC下跌趋势延续

BTC价格的回调趋势延续,11月22日最低点位已经达到了15476美元。也就是说,行情处在了非常关键的变盘位置。4小时K线图小时,BTC价格的布林线已经开始扩张,进一步的破位已经在酝酿中。近期BTC成交量回归平淡以后,下跌趋势仍然有望延续。

2、BTC未确认的亏损占比提升

随着跌幅的不断扩大,BTC的未确认亏损交易占比明显回升,11月22日的数值达到了0.62,为3年来最高水平。同时,随着BTC价格持续低迷,并且短期反弹空间不高,使得亏损盘占比维持高位运行。未确认的亏损交易占比超过60%,意味着新进投资者亏损持币的压力较大,对BTC反弹的影响明显是利空的。

3、ETH短线回撤到支撑位

ETH价格目前处在低迷运行阶段,4小时K线图中显示,价格达到了近期低位101073美元附近。从成交量上看,ETH成交量在前期下跌期间显著放大,而近期成交量又一次回升,价格或将迎来再次向下的变盘信号。

占比方面,布林线已经开始扩张,ETH价格随时可能出现破位迹象,因此需要关注价格异动的表现。

4、ETH融资利率小幅反弹

ETH融资利率从0以下的区域反弹以后,数值已经逐步靠近了0轴线。不同于11月10日的低迷表现,目前ETH投资者已经开始主动交易ETH。据此判断,ETH价格虽然处在近期低位运行,抛压没有显著增加。但是在支撑点位1073美元附近,价格反弹以前还需要关注调整风险。同时,斐波那契78.6%对应的1106美元压力较强,跌破该点位意味着高达的调整压力出现。

5、 LTC短线强势

由于融资利率波动不大,经常表现为正数的融资利率,因此LTC市场表现较好。LTC价格仍然在60美元上方运行。从支撑来看,LTC在60美元的多头支撑较强。近半年来价格维持横盘整理,近期可继续关注向上的机会。

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