Quant explains how whales moved before and after Ethereum Merge

newsbtcPublished on 2022-09-18Last updated on 2022-09-18

Abstract

A quant has explained how the movement of whales differed between before and after the Ethereum merge went live.

A quant has explained how the movement of whales differed between before and after the Ethereum merge went live.
""

Ethereum Funding Rates Reached An All-Time Low Just Before The Merge
""

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, a lot of ETH investors bet on the price going down around the merge’s completion.

""

The relevant indicator here is the “funding rate,” which measures the periodic fee that perpetual futures contract traders exchange between each other.
""

When the value of this metric is positive, it means long investors are paying a premium to the short holders right now to hold onto their positions. Such a trend shows a bullish sentiment is more dominant in the market currently.
""

On the other hand, negative values of the indicator suggest shorts are overwhelming the longs at the moment as the majority are feeling bearish.
""

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Ethereum funding rates over the last few days:

Ethereum Funding Rate

Looks like the metric had a deep red value not too long ago | Source: CryptoQuant
""

As you can see in the above graph, the Ethereum funding rates had been going down only a couple of days back, and reached a new negative peak right as the merge arrived.
""

The quant explains that this was because investors thought the PoS transition hype had already impacted the market, and so they bet on short positions, believing that the price would go down during the aftermath of the much anticipated event.
""

But just following the merge, the price actually rather saw a slight improvement. Seeing that the decline they had waited for didn’t come, these short holders quickly started closing up their positions, leading to the funding rates sharply moving up.
""

Right as this happened, the whales who had been waiting jumped in and dumped their ETH, causing the price to plunge down hard. The analyst notes that this is a display of whales trying to make a move in such a way that nets them the largest gains. “To read those moves, we need to utilize both on-chain data and charts,” says the quant.
""

ETH Price
""

At the time of writing, Ethereum’s price floats around $1.4k, down 7% in the last seven days. Over the past month, the crypto has lost 24% in value.
""

The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days.

Ethereum Price Chart

The value of the crypto seems to have been going down during the last few days | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView
""

Ethereum has been trending down since the merge took place, and right now it’s unclear when the crypto may show some reversal.

Related Reads

TechFlow Intelligence Bureau: Anthropic IPO Odds Exceed 80%, Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz Again, Triggering Oil Price Volatility

**Market Digest** **AI & Tech:** Anthropic is widely expected to announce an IPO before November 2026, raising questions about balancing its trillion-dollar valuation ambitions with its core "AI safety" mission. Brands are increasingly adopting AI-generated virtual influencers for marketing. Cloudflare introduced temporary accounts for AI agents to ease automation workflows. **Infrastructure & Hardware:** Google's IPv6 traffic surpassed 50%, marking a major internet milestone. Goldman Sachs warned that massive projected AI capital expenditure ($5.3T) is approaching credit saturation limits, potentially curbing the "AI arms race." **Space & Robotics:** SpaceX's IPO saw a historic $370M retail buying frenzy in three days. Hyundai Motor Group plans to acquire full ownership of Boston Dynamics. Elon Musk speculated about future "septillion-dollar" investments in antimatter for interstellar travel. **Energy & Geopolitics:** Iran's military announced another closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz, accusing Israel of violating a ceasefire, causing oil market volatility. However, ship-tracking data indicated some traffic continued. Concurrently, Iran resumed crude loadings at Kharg Island, potentially releasing up to 20 million barrels to the market. **Finance & Macro:** A European CLO (collateralized loan obligation) experienced its first post-2008-crisis-era equity tranche default, raising alarms in credit markets. Nomura warned that new Federal Reserve Chair Wash's perceived hawkish debut speech could signal a significant policy shift. **The Undercurrent:** Seemingly disparate events—the Strait of Hormuz tension, the European CLO default, and warnings on AI spending—point to a tightening of global liquidity and rising marginal costs across energy, credit, and tech investment. Meanwhile, capital continues chasing grand narratives like space exploration and advanced AI, highlighting a divergence where old-world leverage frays as new-world stories grow more ambitious.

marsbit5h ago

TechFlow Intelligence Bureau: Anthropic IPO Odds Exceed 80%, Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz Again, Triggering Oil Price Volatility

marsbit5h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片