Is the Currency Price Entering a Bull Market? These Technical Indicators Do Not Support

newsbtc发布于2022-07-25更新于2022-07-25

文章摘要

The technical indicators show BTC is still at risk of a decline below $21,800.

Bitcoin started a fresh decline from the $23,000 resistance against the US Dollar. BTC is declining and remains at a risk of a sharp decline below $21,800.

  • Bitcoin started a downside correction and traded below the $22,200 level.
  • The price is now trading below the $22,500 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support near $22,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair might decline heavily if there is a clear move below the $21,450 level.

Bitcoin Price Starts Fresh Decline
Bitcoin price attempted a clear move above the $24,000 resistance zone. However, the bears appeared near $23,800 zone. The last swing high was formed near $23,744 before there was a fresh decline.
The price declined below the $22,500 support level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. However, the bulls were active near the $21,950 zone. Recently, there was an upside correction above the $22,200 resistance zone. The price climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $22,744 swing high to $21,950 low.

However, the price faced sellers near the $23,000 zone and the 100 hourly simple moving average. The price failed near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $22,744 swing high to $21,950 low.
It is now moving lower below $22,000. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support near $22,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. It is now approaching a key support near $21,800 level. On the upside, bitcoin price could face resistance near the $22,200 level.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com


The next key resistance is near the $22,500 zone. A close above the $22,500 resistance zone could set the pace for more gains. In the stated case, the price may perhaps rise towards the $23,000 level. The next major resistance sits near the $24,000 level.


Downside Break in BTC?
If bitcoin fails to stay above the $21,800 support, it could continue to move down. An immediate support on the downside is near the $21,600 level.
The next major support now sits near the $21,500 level. A clear break and close below the $21,500 support zone might send the price towards $20,500 in the near term or even $20,000.





Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is well below the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $21,600, followed by $21,500.
Major Resistance Levels – $22,200, $22,500 and $23,000.

你可能也喜欢

比特币矿工抛售接近枯竭 – 接下来会发生什么

近期链上数据显示,比特币矿工的抛售压力可能正接近枯竭,这为市场下一轮上涨阶段奠定了基础。这一进展出现在4月份比特币呈现韧性上涨的背景下。 分析师指出,随着市场结构开始出现供应枯竭,比特币正进入需求主导的价格扩张阶段。数据显示,上市矿企在2026年第一季度抛售了超过3.2万枚BTC,创下历史最大季度流出纪录。这轮抛售主要源于2024年比特币减半后区块奖励从6.25BTC降至3.125BTC,导致收入大幅减少。同时网络算力持续上升进一步压缩利润,迫使矿工清算持仓维持现金流。部分矿工还将资源转向AI和高性能计算基础设施,加速了比特币的分布。 链上指标显示,矿工储备持续下降,净头寸变化保持负值,但关键信号在于近期流动动态:虽然矿工头寸指数(MPI)仍为负值,但矿工抛售力量已急剧下降,表明抛售强度正在减弱。分析师认为,这种结构演变形成两阶段动态:一方面减半后存在持续的结构性抛售,另一方面当前数据表明这个阶段可能即将结束。 历史上比特币周期会从供应扩张过渡到供应枯竭,最终进入需求驱动增长阶段。随着矿工驱动的供应限制缓解,未来价格方向将更多取决于需求侧催化剂,包括ETF资金流入、机构参与和宏观经环境。截至发稿,比特币交易价格为77,169美元,24小时上涨2.69%。

bitcoinist4小时前

比特币矿工抛售接近枯竭 – 接下来会发生什么

bitcoinist4小时前

交易

现货
合约
活动图片