美联储决议全文:降息25个基点,19位官员中有9位预计今年还将降息两次

比推Pubblicato 2025-09-17Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-09-17

北京时间9月18日周四,美联储宣布降息25个基点,联邦基金利率目标区间降低至4%-4.25%,重启自去年12月以来暂停的降息步伐。新加入的美联储理事米兰投下反对票,他支持降息50个基点。

点阵图显示,19位官员中有9位预计2025年还会降息两次,两位预计降息一次,六位预计不再进一步降息。

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利率决议全文

最新指标显示,今年上半年经济活动的增长有所放缓。就业增速减慢,失业率略有上升,但仍处于低位。通胀有所回升并依然偏高。

委员会的目标是实现最大就业和长期2%的通胀。关于经济前景的不确定性依然高企,委员会关注其双重使命面临的风险,并认为就业方面的下行风险有所上升。

为支持既定目标,并鉴于风险平衡的变化,委员会决定将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点至4%-4.25%。在考虑是否进一步调整联邦基金利率目标区间时,委员会将仔细评估最新数据、前景变化以及风险平衡。委员会将继续缩减其持有的美国国债、机构债务和机构抵押贷款支持证券。委员会坚定致力于支持最大就业并将通胀恢复至2%的目标。

在评估适当的货币政策立场时,委员会将继续监测最新信息对经济前景的影响。如果出现可能阻碍委员会目标实现的风险,委员会准备适时调整货币政策立场。委员会的评估将综合考虑广泛的信息,包括劳动力市场状况、通胀压力与通胀预期,以及金融和国际动态。

投票支持本次货币政策行动的有主席杰罗姆·H·鲍威尔(Jerome H. Powell)、副主席约翰·C·威廉姆斯(John C. Williams)、迈克尔·S·巴尔(Michael S. Barr)、米歇尔·W·鲍曼(Michelle W. Bowman)、苏珊·M·柯林斯(Susan M. Collins)、丽莎·D·库克(Lisa D. Cook)、奥斯坦·D·古尔斯比(Austan D. Goolsbee)、菲利普·N·杰斐逊(Philip N. Jefferson)、阿尔贝托·G·穆萨勒姆(Alberto G. Musalem)、杰弗里·R·施密德(Jeffrey R. Schmid)和克里斯托弗·J·沃勒(Christopher J. Waller)。投票反对的为斯蒂芬·I·米兰(Stephen I. Miran),他倾向于在本次会议上将联邦基金利率目标区间下调50个基点。


说明: 比推所有文章只代表作者观点,不构成投资建议

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