XRP 价格预测：回调至 2.0 美元可能带来买入机会

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-07-02Last updated on 2025-07-02

Abstract

短期内，如果区间保持不变，回调至 2.0 美元可能带来买入机会。

  • XRP 在第二季度一直处于 2.6 美元以下的较低区间。
  • 2025 年上半年，超过 10 亿 XRP 代币从交易所转移，表明存在积累现象。
  • 尽管 2025 年下半年表现好坏参半，瑞波币 [XRP]仍保持了 2024 年超过 300% 的涨幅。2025 年第二季度，该山寨币价格在 2.0 美元至 2.6 美元之间波动。

但随着 SEC 诉讼即将“永久结束”以及 ETF 预期高涨，XRP 能否在第三季度飙升至 2.6 美元以上？

评估 XRP 在第三季度的突破概率

日线图显示，XRP 自去年触及 3.4 美元高点以来一直维持区间波动。OBV（平衡交易量）显示，交易量持平，强化了横盘结构。

但在 2025 年第二季度，XRP 跌破 2.6 美元，并一直在该水平以下盘整。

5 月份，XRP 多头试图突破 2.6 美元，该价位既是中线水平，也是供应区域。但他们的尝试失败，并拖累 XRP 跌破 200 日简单移动平均线 (SMA，蓝色)。

放大到较短的时间范围（4 小时图），XRP 在 6 月份一直难以突破 2.3 美元。这使得它成为多头瞄准 2.6 美元之前的关键短期供应区域。

也就是说，6 月 30 日 7% 的涨幅在 2.3 美元时被拒绝，但回调可能会在 2.16 美元至 2.19 美元（白色）或 2.0 美元时缓解。

不过，4 小时图上的 OBV 仍低于 6 月阻力位，表明突破 2.3 美元可能需要强劲的催化剂。

总体而言，如果出现夏季催化剂，XRP 短期内的交易价格可能在 2.0 美元至 2.3 美元之间，中期则可能升至 2.6 美元。

超过 10 亿 XRP 从交易所转移

问题在于——尽管范围很窄，但 XRP 的兑换余额却大幅下降。

根据 Glassnode 的数据，自 2024 年 10 月以来，中心化交易所的 XRP 供应量从 44 亿减少到 33 亿个代币。这意味着超过 10 亿个 XRP 被提取。

这本身并非突破的触发因素，但它为突破奠定了基础。换句话说，在目前低迷的抛售环境下，强大的催化剂可能会推动XRP爆发式上涨。

下一次清算将发生在哪些地方？

与此同时，清算热图也显示，短期回调可能在 2.1 美元或 2.0 美元水平有所缓解。这些水平拥有相对流动性的杠杆多头池，可能成为价格的磁石。

XRP 的价格区间已在 2.0 美元至 3.4 美元之间徘徊了六个多月，如果没有出现强劲的催化剂，这种局面可能会延续到第三季度。

短期内，如果区间保持不变，回调至 2.0 美元可能带来买入机会。

免责声明：本文提供的信息不构成财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议，仅代表作者的观点

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993 Total ViewsPublished 2024.04.01Updated 2024.12.03

What is XRP 2.0

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