比特币7万美元的反弹希望破灭了吗?经验丰富的交易员Peter Brandt尚未看到明确的趋势

币界网Published on 2024-08-12Last updated on 2024-08-12

币界网报道:

随着比特币继续处于区间模式,资深交易员彼得·勃兰特建议谨慎形成扩张三角形,并敦促在交易前确认突破。

上周的这个时候,加密货币市场经历了近代史上最大的风暴之一。随着比特币暴跌至49000美元,一些加密资产在几个小时内暴跌了50%以上。事实上,平静已经到来,大多数加密资产已经从巨大的损失中恢复过来。

在过去一周的动荡事件之后,市场已经进入了一个相对稳定、波动性温和的时期。值得注意的是,自周五以来,比特币的价格一直保持在6.1万美元至5.9万美元之间,基本上保持在这个区间内。

与此同时,雄心勃勃的市场观察人士继续预测,比特币正在积聚势头,有望达到7万美元的区间。然而,拥有近50年经验的图表交易员彼得·勃兰特并不认同这种观点。

在确认突破之前没有交易

在最近X上的一篇文章中,这位经验丰富的交易员强调,比特币目前正在形成一个倒置或扩张的三角形模式,这是技术分析中的一种经典设置,通常发生在重大市场波动之前。

勃兰特强调,虽然这种模式已经形成,但还没有明确的突破。值得注意的是,预期的突破模式将标志着比特币价格的明确方向,无论是看跌还是看涨。

比特币扩张或倒三角形Peter Brandt

Brandt解释说,他的交易策略植根于经典的图表原则,即只有在突破确认了模式后,他才会进行交易。他强调,他避免在像比特币目前正在经历的价格区间波动期间进行交易。这是因为这些时期缺乏明确的趋势,可能会导致错误的信号。

这种谨慎的立场与一些市场狂热者持有的更为乐观的前景形成鲜明对比,他们认为比特币即将反弹至7万美元大关。Brandt表示,如果没有确认突破当前的三角格局,任何上涨势头都是投机性的。

对比特币模式的对立观点

然而,并非所有人都同意勃兰特的评价。有趣的是,该分析的一位评论者认为,比特币正在采取激进的举措,可能会使其价格达到10万美元。

与此同时,Brandt表示,一些市场观察人士经常将比特币价格模式中的倒三角形结构误解为牛市标志。

另一位评论者指出,勃兰特此前曾辩称,由于其长度,目前的模式不可能是一面牛旗。评论者提出了一种替代方案,认为这种模式可能是一种下降的渠道。

分析认为,该通道的错误破裂,再加上上上周一的投降蜡烛,可能会使破裂通道的顶部达到68000美元或更高。

截至发稿时,比特币徘徊在59527美元左右,在过去一天下跌了1.35%。

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