市场趋于成熟,公链项目是否还是香饽饽

币界网Published on 2024-08-12Last updated on 2024-08-12

币界网报道:

公链板块,从区块链诞生至今,一直是兵家必争之地,作为区块链发展的根本,一条成功的公链,不仅会聚集市场上大部分资金和人气,还能依靠自身的生态建设左右市场的发展趋势。

以太链诞生后,智能合约开始横行天下,人人皆可发币。币安链火起来之后,粉红平台一天最多可以发售9000个项目,而后面SOL等链的成功,开启了Layer2技术竞赛,低费率,高速度成为新的公链标准。

这些项目成功的背后,是巨量的收益,催生了无数的百万千万富翁,这也是很多人进入区块链投资的动力来源,小额投资,就能获得几辈子都赚不到的财富。

但是,从FTX暴雷之后,导致SOL暴跌开始,公链项目的表现,却不尽人意,虽然项目发展都有条不紊,但诸如APT,ARB,CORE等新生公链项目,似乎都不再受普通投资者的青睐,价格持续走跌,无法找到市场的突破口。

所以,在我们准备投资公链项目前,需要明白为何现阶段如此多优质的公链项目,都无法走出如今的下跌趋势。

首先最根本的原因,在于当前熊市环境下,市场资金规模萎缩,不足以撑起这么多高市值项目。

例如ARB的发售价在$1左右,总量100亿,那么发售之初就是百亿美元市值,这会有多少涨幅空间呢?(BNB目前市值是300亿美元左右)

开盘即巅峰,相信那些在Blur开盘时挂在山顶的人肯定深有体会。

其次一点,也是现在大型公链项目的通病,前期机构和投资者持仓过多。

机构投资,是一把双刃剑,你需要机构的资金来维持项目运转,可在你接受机构投资之后,意味着需要把自己项目一大半的未来,交到机构的手上,今年的SOL,就是被FTX拖累。FTX为了填补自己的资产空缺,抛售了大量的资产。

而对散户影响最大的,有了机构投资之后,普通人就无法再获取低价的筹码了。在散户失去了以小博大的机会后,他们对这类公链项目就更提不起兴趣了。

正是在这多方面因素下,二级市场的共识者已经逐渐流失,有一些离开了币圈市场,有一些则去一级市场寻找机会。

难道散户们,再也找不到几年前那种投资ETH,BNB暴富的机会了吗?

一级市场的公链项目并不多。我们经常能看到某某公链零撸挖矿的消息,因为自从类似CORE这种项目富了一批撸空投的人之后,国内参照这个模式的项目也越来越多。但是很明显,这类项目不在小投资高回报的范畴,只能算作薅羊毛的范畴,不适合长期投资。

其次,公链项目爆发周期比一般项目要长,即便是如TX公链,由于资金问题中途被机构全资收购,虽然带来了短暂的拉高,但离暴富还有不少距离。

因为要达到SOL甚至BNB,ETH的高度,不是一两个机构投资就能解决的。

当初ETH,BNB,SOL为何会脱颖而出,是因为他们在技术上和生态上,为区块链市场注入了强大的发展基因,开拓了更宽广的发展空间。

我们应当用空闲资金,研究市场,认准,定投,稳拿,不追求那三两天暴富的机会,而是等待不久后的财富自由。

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