SOL可能不会突破其历史最高水平、高通胀率和低实际交易量、预示着未来可能会崩盘?

币界网Published on 2024-08-06Last updated on 2024-08-06

币界网报道:

由于地缘政治紧张局势和日本最近的利率更新,整个加密货币市场在过去 24 小时内暴跌了 16%。

Solana 无法突破其历史最高水平,再加上高通胀率和低实际交易量,预示着未来可能会出现崩盘。

  • 风险资本继续增加 SOL 的供应量。

  • Solana 疲软的财务报表引发了人们对 SOL 长期前景的质疑。

Solana可能永远不会突破其在 2021 年 11 月创下的 260 美元的历史高点。购买更多 SOL 的投资者担心会失去投资,因为风险投资公司继续通过发行新代币来增加供应量。 

SOL 达到 ATH 时的流通供应量为 3.01 亿,但三年后又增加了 1.61 亿个代币。 

自 2023 年 8 月起,已增加了 6000 万索尔,导致年通货膨胀率为 15%。 

根据 Messari 指标,实际交易量处于五年来的最低水平,Solana 很可能会崩溃,正如 AMBCrypto 之前的研究表明的那样。

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负收益使 Solana 陷入严重亏损

根据 Bankless 的数据,Solana 在过去四个季度净亏损 25.3 亿美元,抹去了营收,陷入深渊。 

这种财务压力凸显了 Solana 当前经济模式的不可持续性。 

由于高通胀率,SOL 可能永远不会突破其历史最高水平。 

进一步投资的风险越来越大,因为不断增加的损失和通胀压力可能会危及 Solana 的长期生存能力和市场表现。

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全球 M2 货币供应量创历史新高后 SOL 价格表明看跌情绪

正如 TradingView 图表所示,全球 M2 货币供应量已达到历史最高水平,资金充斥经济。 

随着货币价值下降,流动性的增加通常会导致加密货币价格上涨。 

尽管有这种趋势,但 Solana (SOL) 并未像比特币 (BTC) 那样创下历史新高。这一差距表明 SOL 将面临大幅市场下滑。

尽管 BTC 凭借额外的资金蓬勃发展,但 SOL 未能崛起同样表明可能存在问题或市场条件,可能会限制其相对于其他加密货币的增长。

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BTC 与 SOL 历年图表对比

此外,图表还提供了客观的见解,表明 Solana 可能在本周期达到顶峰,而许多人仍未意识到这一点。 

比特币创下了历史新高,但正如 Walletinvestor.com 对比图所示,Solana 并未超越之前的峰值。 

这种差异凸显了尽管市场整体呈看涨趋势,但 Solana 仍面临困境。 

比特币的崛起凸显了其主导地位,而 Solana 未能达到新的高度则表明存在潜在问题或需求下降。 

投资者应该留意图表,因为 Solana 的表现表明它可能无法与比特币在当前周期中的成功相提并论。

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SOL 即将达到的清算水平

据链上分析公司 CoinGlass 称,截至目前,两个主要清算水平分别为 100 美元(下方)和 130 美元(上方)。

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如果市场继续下跌并跌至 100 美元的水平,则 4050 万美元的多头仓位将被清算。相反,如果情绪发生变化,SOL 升至 130 美元的水平,则近 1.4 亿美元的空头仓位将被清算。

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