美联储决议全文:维持利率不变,并未发出降息信号

链捕手Published on 2024-07-31Last updated on 2024-07-31

美联储连续第八次将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在5.25%-5.50%区间不变,并重申在对通胀有更大信心之前不会降息,表示委员会将同时关注通胀和就业风险。

利率决议全文

近期指标表明,经济活动继续以稳固的步伐扩张。就业增长有所放缓,失业率有所上升,但仍处于低位。过去一年中,通胀有所缓解,但仍略高(somewhat elevated)。最近几个月,委员会在实现2%的通胀目标方面取得了一些进一步进展(further progress)。

委员会致力于在长期内实现就业最大化和2%的通胀率。委员会认为,实现就业和通胀目标的风险逐渐趋于平衡。经济前景不确定,委员会关注其双重使命的风险。

为支持其目标,委员会决定将联邦基金利率的目标区间维持在5.25%-5.5%之间。在考虑对联邦基金利率目标区间进行任何调整时,委员会将仔细评估新数据、不断变化的前景和风险的平衡。委员会认为,除非对通胀朝着2%目标持续达成的信心增强,否则不适合降低目标区间。此外,委员会将继续减少其持有的国债、机构债务和机构抵押贷款支持证券。委员会坚定地致力于将通胀恢复到2%的目标。

在评估适当的货币政策立场时,委员会将继续监测新信息对经济前景的影响。如果出现可能妨碍委员会实现目标的风险,委员会将准备适当调整货币政策立场。委员会的评估将考虑广泛的信息,包括劳动力市场状况、通胀压力和通胀预期,以及金融和国际发展情况。

投票支持此次货币政策行动的有:主席杰罗姆·H·鲍威尔、副主席约翰·C·威廉姆斯、托马斯·I·巴尔金、迈克尔·S·巴尔、拉斐尔·W·博斯蒂克、米歇尔·W·鲍曼、丽莎·D·库克、玛丽·C·戴利、奥斯坦·D·古尔斯比、菲利普·N·杰斐逊、阿德里亚娜·D·库格勒和克里斯托弗·J·沃勒。奥斯坦·D·古尔斯比在本次会议上作为替补成员投票。

Related Reads

Yao Shunyu's 88 Days

Yao Shunyu, a 27-year-old AI expert with a background from Princeton and OpenAI, joined Tencent in September 2025. Within 88 days, he led a major overhaul of Tencent’s AI strategy and organization, resulting in the release of Hunyuan Hy3 preview—a MoE model with 295B total parameters and 21B active parameters, supporting up to 256K context length. The launch came after Tencent leadership, including CEO Ma Huateng and President Martin Lau, openly criticized Hunyuan's earlier underperformance—citing slow development, over-reliance on superficial benchmark optimization, and poor generalization in real-world applications. Internal adoption was low, with key business units like WeChat and gaming seeking external AI solutions. Yao reshaped Tencent’s AI approach by integrating previously siloed teams, dissolving the ten-year-old Tencent AI Lab, and establishing new units focused on AI infrastructure and data. Hy3 preview was developed using co-design principles, closely aligned with product teams to ensure practical usability from the start. It has already been integrated into core products like Yuanbao, QQ, and enterprise tools. The release signals a shift from chasing rankings to building usable, scalable AI grounded in Tencent’s ecosystem. While external partnerships (like with DeepSeek and OpenClaw) helped retain users temporarily, the focus is now on making Hunyuan a reliable internal foundation. The real test lies in sustaining this new organizational momentum amid fierce competition from Alibaba, DeepSeek, and others.

marsbit11m ago

Yao Shunyu's 88 Days

marsbit11m ago

20 Billion Valuation, Alibaba and Tencent Competing to Invest, Whose Money Will Liang Wenfeng Take?

DeepSeek, an AI startup founded by Liang Wenfeng, is reportedly in talks with Alibaba and Tencent for an external funding round that could value the company at over $20 billion. This marks a significant shift, as DeepSeek had previously relied solely on funding from its parent company,幻方量化 (Huanfang Quantitative), and had resisted external investment. The potential valuation would place DeepSeek among the top-tier AI model companies in China, comparable to competitors like MoonDark (valued at ~$18 billion) and ahead of recently listed firms like MiniMax and Zhipu. The funding—which could range from $600 million (for a 3% stake) to $2 billion (for 10%)—is seen as a move to secure resources for model development, retain talent, and support infrastructure needs, particularly as competition in inference models and AI agents intensifies. Both Alibaba and Tencent are eager to invest, not only for financial returns but also to integrate DeepSeek into their broader AI ecosystems. However, DeepSeek’s leadership is cautious about maintaining independence and may prefer financial investors over strategic ones to avoid being locked into a specific tech ecosystem. Alternative options, such as state-backed funds, offer longer-term capital and policy support but may come with slower decision-making and potential constraints on global expansion. With competing AI firms accelerating their IPO plans, DeepSeek’s window for securing optimal terms may be narrowing. The final decision will reflect a trade-off between capital, resources, and strategic independence.

marsbit1h ago

20 Billion Valuation, Alibaba and Tencent Competing to Invest, Whose Money Will Liang Wenfeng Take?

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片