一场自导自演的控盘大戏?解读AEVO上线两个月间的抓马故事

Odaily星球日报Published on 2024-05-16Last updated on 2024-05-16

Abstract

100%代币价差、神秘砸盘力量、砸盘事后澄清,AEVO用跌宕起伏的两个月低成本完成历史负担承接。

原创 | Odaily星球日报

作者 | 南枳

一场自导自演的控盘大戏?解读AEVO上线两个月间的抓马故事

上周,AEVO 市值仅 1.4 亿美元,而关于 AEVO 即将“解锁”价值高达 10 亿美元代币的说法在市场上愈演愈烈。对此,不论是 Aevo 官方或者相关的数据网站都没有做出解释。而在“解锁”事件到期时,AEVO 一小时应声下跌 16% 。下跌完毕后,Aevo 却才开始对“解锁”做出说明和澄清,并做出了锁仓承诺,随着这一公告 AEVO 又开始快速上涨。Odaily星球日报将于本文解读该事件。

AEVO 代币由来

2023 年 4 月,期权交易平台 Aevo 主网正式上线,该平台由链上结构化产品 Ribbon Finance 推出。在推出 AEVO 代币前,该平台没有原生代币,而 Ribbon Finance 此前曾发行了代币 RBN。

在产品上线时,Aevo 在白皮书中提到将推出代币 AEVO,而 AEVO 并非凭空产生,而是 Aevo 先前治理代币 RBN 的品牌重塑。

RBN 大部分代币沉淀在 DAO Treasury 中,难以得到利用,因此 Aevo 在 AGP-1 提案中提出,对财库进行更动态和功能性的分配,该财库的代币将在 TGE 时转换为 AEVO,分别用于空投、流动性、社区增长和 DAO 支出。

2024 年 3 月,AEVO 代币正式推出并上线币安 Launchpool,代币总量共 10 亿枚,初始流通 1.1 亿枚。RBN 持有者能够以 1 : 1 的汇率将他们的 RBN 转换为 AEVO,但需要 2 个月的锁定期(即 5 月解锁)。其中私募投资者(种子轮和 A 轮)、团队和其他普通 RBN 持有者均可在 5 月进行转换,转换开放后,AEVO 的流通量将上升至约 9.5 亿枚。

RBN 差价与 AEVO 过山车行情

3 月 6 日公布上线币安 Launchpool 前,RBN 价格约为 0.79 USDT,公布后开始上升,在 3 月 13 日创下最高价 1.83 USDT。

AEVO 上线后,AEVO 却一直与 RBN 存在 90% -100% 的价差,直至本月才有可见的抹平。尤其在上线早期,二者价差过大,市场上部分用户选择购入 RBN 现货,在合约市场开空套保,以至于 AEVO 在 3 月末进行了一轮爆空行情。爆空后价格维持了约 10 天,便领先大盘开始下跌。

一场自导自演的控盘大戏?解读AEVO上线两个月间的抓马故事

天量代币解锁?

在 RBN 向 AEVO 的转换开启前,用户能够在代币解锁网站 token.unlocks 中查询到,AEVO 将于 5 月 15 日解锁价值 10.6 亿美元的代币,为流通市值的 770% 。市场也开始流传相应的恐慌砸盘言论。

然而如前文所述,这一转换仅是将 RBN 的流通市值转为 AEVO 的流通市值,可以理解为两个代币市值的合并。而常规意义上的解锁,应当是代币从“不可出售“的状态转为”可出售“的状态,但转换前 RBN 本身就处于大量的流通状态,可自由交易。

下跌后澄清

对于市场天量解锁传闻,Aevo 并未做出明确的澄清,而是为用户输出如何进行 RBN 转换的相关内容。5 月 15 日“解锁”事件到期时,AEVO 一小时应声下跌 16% 。而在今天 5 月 16 日,Aevo 却发文对“解锁”进行了说明,其原文为:“(本轮)‘解锁’不是典型的内部人员 / VC / 团队解锁,它是 RBN 持有者(获得)将其 RBN 迁移到 AEVO 代币的能力。”

在该澄清推文下,Aevo 团队表示:“为了表明长期致力于将 Aevo 打造为以太坊上排名第一的衍生品 DEX,团队和支持者将自愿在 2024 年底前重新锁定约 15% 的供应量。”在该说明后,AEVO 代币开始快速反弹,三小时最高上涨超 10% 。

结论

诚然,Aevo 以低成本承接住了来自 Ribbon Finance 时期的历史负担,但高达 100% 的代币价差、“转换”而非“解锁”时的天量砸盘力量、砸盘后才做出澄清公告的种种反常情况,或意味着背后是一场自导自演的控盘之路。

但相关事件已全部落幕,AEVO 代币进入近全流通状态,承接历史债务完毕的团队能否通过其业务继续发展,就交由市场检验。

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