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BTC Articles

Blackrock invested $11.75 million in ETHA as ether funds again outperform bitcoin funds

Institutional demand for crypto started the week unevenly. Bitcoin ETFs faced net outflows of $11.64 million, marking a third consecutive day of withdrawals, with BlackRock's IBIT and Fidelity's FBTC seeing modest outflows. In contrast, Ethereum ETFs attracted $9.23 million in inflows, led by BlackRock's ETHA fund which pulled in $11.75 million. Meanwhile, Solana and XRP ETFs saw smaller inflows of $1.03 million and $592,470 respectively, while Hyperliquid ($HYPE) ETFs continued to struggle with significant outflows of $2.89 million. The data highlights a shift in institutional capital, showing selective preference for Ethereum and certain altcoins over Bitcoin and newer tokens like HYPE.

Blackrock invested $11.75 million in ETHA as ether funds again outperform bitcoin funds - cryptonews.ru

Raoul Pal: Bitcoin's 87% Correlation with Global Liquidity Outweighs Financial Results and News

Raoul Pal, founder of Real Vision and former Goldman Sachs hedge fund manager, asserts that Bitcoin and major indices like the Nasdaq trade primarily based on global liquidity conditions, not fundamentals like earnings or news. He claims an 87% correlation between Bitcoin and global liquidity, with Nasdaq showing a 97% correlation. Global liquidity is measured by central bank balance sheets, the M2 money supply, and bank lending growth. Analysts at crypto market maker Keyrock developed a model supporting Pal's correlation claim, noting an eight-month lag between Treasury bill issuance and Bitcoin's price response. Pal's theory, which he detailed earlier this year, posits that central banks are forced to inject liquidity in a recurring cycle to manage global debt refinancing every four years. This forms the basis for his $450,000 Bitcoin price target, contingent on continued liquidity expansion. The high correlation suggests Bitcoin and tech stocks are trading as similar liquidity indicators rather than distinct asset classes. This view challenges narratives centered on Bitcoin's own supply dynamics, halving cycles, or adoption news. Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy has expressed a similar sentiment, downplaying the halving cycle's dominance in favor of capital flows from ETFs, corporate treasuries, and sovereign reserves. It's noted that Pal's post does not include the original datasets or methodology. Furthermore, the correlation's strength has fluctuated in 2026, and Keyrock's model indicates an eight-month lag, meaning current correlations reflect past, not real-time, liquidity conditions. The future path of central bank balance sheet expansion remains a key test for Pal's thesis.

Raoul Pal: Bitcoin's 87% Correlation with Global Liquidity Outweighs Financial Results and News - cryptonews.ru

A New Era for Bitcoin and Altcoins Begins in Russia: Central Bank Publishes Draft Regulations!

Russia is taking significant steps to prepare for a new era in its cryptocurrency sector. Following the State Duma's recent approval of a bill regulating Bitcoin and altcoins, the Central Bank of Russia has published a draft framework to establish the first legal basis for systematic crypto trading in the country. This framework, an extension of the crypto market law expected to take effect in September, outlines procedures for buying and selling digital assets and sets key rules for their custody. It proposes that crypto custodians must maintain a capital of 50 to 250 million rubles (over $3 million USD) and meet additional requirements for storage and record-keeping. Furthermore, cryptocurrency exchanges will be allowed to define their own trading procedures and calculate weighted average prices for assets traded on their platforms. The Central Bank will also maintain a register of institutions authorized to hold digital deposits.

A New Era for Bitcoin and Altcoins Begins in Russia: Central Bank Publishes Draft Regulations! - cryptonews.ru

Bitcoin Expert Commentary Ahead of Fed Decision: 'Everything Will Be Different'

Bitwise's Chief Investment Officer, Matt Hougan, suggests that the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decisions may have a less decisive impact on Bitcoin's price over the next five years compared to the past. He argues that future interest rate fluctuations are likely to be more limited in scale. Historically, Bitcoin experienced rate swings measured in full percentage points (e.g., 0% to 5%). In contrast, current market expectations, per CME data, point to a total increase of around 50 basis points over the next year. Hougan believes such smaller moves will have a more muted effect on Bitcoin. He further speculates that the Fed, under potential future leadership, might adopt a policy of smaller, gradual adjustments akin to the mid-1990s Greenspan era, rather than the large-scale shifts seen more recently. While interest rates will remain relevant, their market influence is expected to diminish. Other factors like institutional adoption, regulatory changes, capital flows, and Bitcoin-specific supply/demand dynamics are predicted to become more significant price drivers in the coming years.

Bitcoin Expert Commentary Ahead of Fed Decision: 'Everything Will Be Different' - cryptonews.ru

$134 Million in Bitcoin Long Positions 'Evaporated' as BTC Price Dropped Below $63K Ahead of Critical Fed Meeting

Bitcoin's price tumbled below $63,000 on Tuesday, leading to a sharp spike in leveraged long position liquidations totaling $134 million and bringing total BTC-related liquidations over $156 million. The drop, which saw BTC briefly hit a daily low near $62,684, extended its monthly losses to 4%. Market experts are pointing to a pivotal week ahead, highlighted by the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, core PCE inflation data, and major earnings reports from companies like Apple and Amazon. According to analysts, the tone from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference will be crucial. A dovish Fed stance coupled with strong AI capex forecasts and positive PCE data could propel Bitcoin toward $68,000-$70,000 in August. Conversely, hawkish signals alongside disappointing corporate earnings could quickly bring the $58,000-$60,000 range back into view.

$134 Million in Bitcoin Long Positions 'Evaporated' as BTC Price Dropped Below $63K Ahead of Critical Fed Meeting - cryptonews.ru

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FAQs

QWhy is Bitcoin a good asset for grid trading?

ABitcoin is one of the most popular assets for grid trading for three reasons. First, it has consistently high volatility — even during relative calm Bitcoin regularly oscillates 3–8% within weekly ranges, providing frequent grid triggers. Second, Bitcoin has the deepest liquidity among all cryptocurrencies, ensuring buy and sell orders fill quickly without slippage. Third, BTC's price history shows recurring oscillation patterns around well-defined support and resistance zones, making it easier to set a meaningful grid range. On HTX, BTC/USDT is consistently among the most-copied and highest-volume grid strategies on the platform.

QWhat price range and grid count works best for BTC/USDT grid trading?

AFor BTC/USDT grid trading, a practical starting framework uses the 30 to 60-day recent high and low as your price boundaries. This covers a realistic oscillation band without being so wide that each individual grid level rarely triggers. For grid count, 20–50 levels works well for most capital sizes; each grid step should represent at least 0.5–1% of the price to cover trading fees and generate meaningful net profit per trade. HTX's AI parameter tool analyses current BTC volatility and automatically suggests an optimised range and grid count based on your investment amount — recommended for first-time BTC grid deployment.

QHow does Bitcoin's halving cycle affect grid trading strategies?

ABitcoin's approximately four-year halving cycle creates distinct market phases that affect optimal grid configuration. In the 12–18 months following a halving, Bitcoin historically enters a bull phase with strong upward trends — standard neutral grids may sell Bitcoin too early and miss the full upside. A Long Grid biased toward accumulating on dips is more appropriate during these phases. During the accumulation phase before a halving or in bear conditions, neutral or slightly short-biased grids perform better. The 2024 halving occurred in April 2024, placing us in a mid-to-late bull phase as of mid-2026 — grid configurations should be biased accordingly toward long-oriented parameters with wider upside range.

QWhat is the difference between BTC spot grid and BTC futures grid trading?

ABTC spot grid and BTC futures grid share the same buy-low-sell-high logic but differ in four key dimensions. Asset ownership: spot grid buys give you actual BTC; futures grid holds perpetual contract positions. Liquidation risk: spot has none — even a 50% drop just means holding BTC at a higher cost; futures with leverage can be liquidated if margin falls below the maintenance level. Funding rates: futures incur or earn funding rate payments every eight hours based on premium or discount to spot. Leverage: futures can amplify returns 2–10× but losses proportionally. For BTC grid trading beginners, spot is recommended as the lower-risk starting point; futures suits traders comfortable with leverage and margin management.

QWhat technical indicators help identify good entry timing for a BTC grid?

ASeveral technical indicators signal favourable conditions for deploying a BTC grid. Bollinger Bands: when BTC is trading inside a tightening Bollinger Band squeeze, compressed volatility often precedes a range-bound phase ideal for grid entry. ATR (Average True Range): low ATR values suggest price moves are small and contained, suitable for grids; high ATR with directional momentum suggests waiting. RSI between 40 and 60 indicates BTC is in a neutral zone without strong directional bias — the ideal deployment window. High-volume price zones from Volume Profile analysis provide natural grid boundaries where the market is likely to oscillate. HTX's AI market summary integrates these signals to provide daily grid suitability assessments for BTC.

QCan I run a BTC grid on pairs other than BTC/USDT?

AYes. On HTX you can run grid strategies on multiple BTC trading pairs. BTC/USDC behaves similarly to BTC/USDT but uses Circle's USDC as the quote currency. BTC perpetual futures are available in both USDT-margined and BTC-margined variants. In coin-margined (BTC-margined) contracts, profits and losses are denominated in BTC rather than USDT — this benefits you in bull markets as your BTC balance grows, but amplifies losses in bear markets since the collateral itself is declining in value. For most grid traders, BTC/USDT remains the most straightforward and liquid choice.

QWhat realistic annual returns can I expect from a BTC grid strategy?

ARealistic annual returns from BTC grid trading depend heavily on market conditions during the period. In high-volatility, range-bound markets, well-configured spot grids have historically demonstrated 25–70% after-fee annual returns on major exchanges. In low-volatility or strongly trending markets, returns may fall to 5–20% or turn negative if price moves strongly outside the grid. Futures grids with 3–5× leverage can amplify these returns proportionally but with higher risk. These ranges reflect historical outcomes under specific conditions and are not guaranteed. Use HTX's backtest tool to see what a specific parameter set would have earned over any chosen historical period before deploying real capital.

QCan BTC grid trading work during a bear market?

AGrid trading can still work during a BTC bear market but requires a different strategic approach. The key shift is strategy direction: instead of a neutral grid centred on current price, a Long Grid configured toward the lower end of a falling price range is more appropriate. This approach accumulates BTC at progressively lower prices — similar to DCA — while sell orders placed at higher grid levels recapture some profit on any rebounds. The critical risk is that the accumulation continues if the decline goes deeper than your grid's lower boundary, and with no stop-loss, exposure grows. Best practices for bear market BTC grids: use only spot (no leverage), set wider grid ranges with fewer levels, maintain an explicit stop-loss, and keep 20–30% of intended capital as reserve rather than deploying it all upfront.

QCan on-chain Bitcoin metrics help me set better grid parameters?

AYes. Several on-chain metrics provide useful context for BTC grid parameter setting. MVRV Ratio (Market Value to Realised Value): values above 3.5 historically indicate overvaluation — the grid's upper boundary should be set more conservatively; values below 1 suggest undervaluation — wider downside room is appropriate. NVT Ratio (Network Value to Transactions): acts like a P/E ratio for BTC; high NVT with declining on-chain activity signals overvaluation risk relevant to your upper grid limit. Puell Multiple: measures daily issuance value relative to the 365-day average; high values indicate elevated miner selling pressure, relevant to your lower grid boundary. Free data for these metrics is available on Glassnode's basic tier, CryptoQuant, and LookIntoBitcoin.com. While no metric precisely predicts price, they provide a probabilistic context for setting boundaries aligned with broader market valuation.

QHow do I choose a good BTC grid strategy to copy on HTX?

AWhen browsing BTC grid strategies on HTX's leaderboard to copy, evaluate five key metrics. Runtime: prioritise strategies running for at least 7–14 days to ensure the track record reflects real market conditions rather than an initial lucky run. Drawdown: the 7-day max drawdown should be below 15% for conservative investors and below 25% for moderate risk tolerance. ROI consistency: look for strategies with steady realised PnL growth rather than a single large spike — consistent daily growth indicates a working grid while a spike may reflect one unusual price move. Grid parameters: check that the current BTC price still sits within the strategy's active range. If current price is at or near the range boundary, the strategy may be about to stop trading. Minimum investment: ensure the copy minimum matches your available capital.