Where Are the Sellers? Low Bitcoin Inflows Hint At Holder Conviction Amid Deepest Pullback of 2025

bitcoinistPublished on 2025-12-09Last updated on 2025-12-09

Abstract

Bitcoin is attempting to recover toward $92,000 after a significant 36% pullback, its deepest of 2025. Despite the sharp decline, a CryptoQuant report highlights an unusual trend: cryptocurrency inflows to Binance remain extremely low. Historically, large corrections trigger high exchange inflows as investors rush to sell, indicating fear or capitulation. This time, however, investors are holding rather than offloading assets, showing patience and lack of panic. The current inflow levels are five times lower than during past sell-offs, suggesting strong holder conviction and a resilient market structure. This restraint may signal underlying strength and support a potential bullish recovery once the correction ends.

Bitcoin is attempting to reclaim the $92,000 level as bullish momentum gradually returns after weeks of uncertainty. The market has spent nearly two months in a corrective phase, shedding roughly 36% from its highs, yet signs of stabilization are beginning to emerge. A new CryptoQuant report from analyst Darkfost highlights a striking deviation from typical mid-cycle correction behavior—one that may explain why sentiment is starting to shift.

According to the report, inflows of cryptocurrencies onto Binance remain unusually low, even as Bitcoin has experienced one of its deepest pullbacks of the cycle. Historically, during significant corrections, investors tend to send large amounts of BTC and other assets to exchanges, signaling growing willingness to sell and escalating market fear. This pattern appeared repeatedly in past downturns, often marking periods of capitulation.

But this time, the data suggests something different: investors are not rushing to offload their holdings. Instead, they appear more comfortable holding through volatility, showing patience rather than panic. Such low inflows contrast sharply with prior mid-cycle resets and hint at a more resilient market structure beneath the surface—one where holders may be preparing for the next phase rather than abandoning ship.

A Shift in Inflows Reveals Unusual Investor Behavior

Darkfost notes that today’s data shows a markedly different behavior from what Bitcoin typically displays during major corrections. Instead of focusing on BTC alone, the analysis aggregates total inflows of all cryptocurrencies sent to Binance, offering a broader view of market intent. The logic behind this metric is straightforward: rising inflows signal growing selling pressure, while shrinking inflows indicate that investors prefer to hold rather than exit their positions.

Binance Total Coins Inflows | Source: CryptoQuant

During previous downturns, inflows surged. In April 2024, right after Bitcoin hit a new all-time high at $73,800, total inflows exceeded 200 million coins, reflecting intense selling pressure. A similar spike appeared in December 2024, as BTC broke above $100,000, signaling that investors were preparing to lock in profits.

Today’s environment looks nothing like those periods. Despite experiencing a much deeper correction, inflows are five times lower—and notably stable. Investors are not sending coins to exchanges, which means they’re not eager to sell. Instead, they are sitting through the decline, showing patience rather than panic.

This unusual calm suggests a more confident market structure. If selling pressure continues to fade, this investor restraint could become one of the most constructive signals supporting a future bullish recovery once the correction runs its course.

Related Reads

"The Market in Russia is Only Just Emerging": Anton Popov on Sber's Crypto Strategy

Sberbank is increasing its activity in the digital finance sector, offering clients investment products linked to crypto assets and developing its own blockchain platform. In an interview, Deputy Chairman Anatoly Popov discussed the bank's strategy, which is focused on expanding its range of digital financial assets (DFAs), participating in the development of regulations for decentralized finance (DeFi), and integrating with public blockchains. Sber is in constant dialogue with Russian regulators to build a secure infrastructure. It currently offers qualified investors products like structured bonds and DFAs that provide exposure to cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum within the Russian legal framework, with a total issuance volume of 1.5 billion rubles. The bank sees these regulated, ruble-based products as a safer alternative to direct purchases on unregulated crypto exchanges. While Sber plans to be an active player and liquidity provider on future regulated crypto platforms, it will act conservatively, prioritizing client interests and financial system stability. It does not view crypto as a vehicle for its own speculative investments. Looking forward, Sber believes a key trend is the convergence of traditional finance and DeFi. Its in-house blockchain lab has evolved into a full product unit, and its proprietary platform for issuing DFAs is already operational. The bank is exploring tokenization of real-world assets like movable property and shares in LLCs, pending new legislation. For the future, Sber anticipates the institutionalization of blockchain technology. Bitcoin will likely remain a core asset, while networks like Ethereum will form the technological base for tokenization and smart contracts. A crucial step is the legalization of a broad range of blockchain-based digital assets, starting with pilot projects to demonstrate utility and manage risks. The bank is interested in stablecoins and their potential future use in the Russian legal field, emphasizing the need for collaborative work with the central bank.

RBK-cryptoちょうど今

"The Market in Russia is Only Just Emerging": Anton Popov on Sber's Crypto Strategy

RBK-cryptoちょうど今

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片