Ethereum On Exchanges Crashes To Historic Low Amid Market Volatility, A Bullish Signal For Price?

bitcoinistPublished on 2025-12-08Last updated on 2025-12-08

Abstract

Ethereum has rebounded above $3,000 amid growing bullish sentiment, while the supply of ETH on centralized exchanges has dropped to a historic low of just 8.7%—the lowest level since its launch in 2015. This decline suggests a shift toward long-term holding, staking, and self-custody, potentially reducing selling pressure and setting the stage for a strong price rally when demand increases. However, mid-size whale wallets (holding 1,000–10,000 ETH) continue to sell, adding bearish pressure near recent highs, while larger whales remain neutral. ETH is currently trading at $3,135, up over 3% in 24 hours, with trading volume surging 142%.

Ethereum saw a bounce back above the $3,000 price market, with bullish sentiment gaining momentum among investors, especially those on centralized exchanges. Even with the market experiencing sideways movements, the overall supply of ETH on crypto exchanges has fallen sharply, hitting unprecedented levels.

Lowest Supply Of Ethereum On Exchanges

Recent signals from on-chain metrics indicate that the Ethereum market environment is undergoing a quiet yet significant transformation. This unfolding trend is due to the sharp drop in the supply of ETH available on cryptocurrency exchanges.

Related Reading: Ethereum Network Fatigue? Monthly On-Chain Transactions Drops As Activity Slows Down

As reported by Coin Bureau on the social media platform X, ETH supply on centralized exchanges has hit levels not seen in years. With more holders choosing long-term storage, staking, and self-custody over keeping their assets available for trade, this significant supply drain indicates a change in investor behavior.

Data from the ETH Percent Balance on Exchanges metric shows a total of 8.7% of Ethereum supply available on exchanges, marking the lowest level since ETH’s launch in 2015.

ETH on exchanges falls to the lowest level ever | Source: Chart from Coin Bureau on X

As exchange reserves decrease, the structural pressure on ETH’s circulating supply is increasing, which could create a scenario for a more explosive price environment. Coin Bureau stated that several crypto analysts are currently warning that tightening liquidity might trigger a robust rally when demand recovers.

Mid-Size Whale Holders Are Still Existing In The Market

Despite a sharp withdrawal of ETH from exchanges, selling pressure still remains in the market as indicated by the Ethereum Accumulation Heatmap. After examining the metric, Alphractal, an advanced investment and on-chain data analytics platform, uncovered that wallet addresses holding 1,000 ETH to 10,000 ETH, or mid-size whales, are offloading their holdings, signaling weakening sentiment among the group due to ongoing market fluctuations.

According to the metric, these investors carried out heavy distribution just near the price top. The cohort was the one who took advantage of the euphoria to secure profits while others were celebrating at the all-time high.

What’s interesting is that these investors are still selling, mounting heavy bearish pressure on the market, which is likely fueling the current bearish wave. Meanwhile, wallet addresses holding at least 10,000 ETH or mega whale holders continue to be considerably more neutral, with relatively light distribution, demonstrating no panic, no aggressive buying, at least not yet.

Such a trend suggests that supply behavior is not completely aligned with the euphoria of retail investors. These accumulation and distribution patterns are vital to gauge those who are actually driving ETH’s price moves. It also determines those who are quietly heading for the exit, while others are still entering.

At the time of writing, the price of ETH was trading at $3,135, demonstrating a more than 3% rise in the last 24 hours. Bullish sentiment seems to be returning strongly, as evidenced by an over 142% increase in trading volume over the past day.

ETH trading at $3,132 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

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December 10: BTC, ETH, SOL, MERL, ZEC Market Analysis

On December 10, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a sharp rally during U.S. trading hours, reaching a high of $94,640 before pulling back to around $92,000. Continued Coinbase premium suggests strong institutional accumulation. Analysts note that retail sentiment remains weak and may only recover if BTC reclaims $100,000. Technically, BTC has broken out of a descending trendline on the daily chart with increasing volume. A retest of support levels around $92,000 or $90,540 could offer long opportunities, with a break below $90,540 invalidating the bullish structure. Key resistance lies near $98,000. Ethereum (ETH) shows stronger momentum with four consecutive bullish daily closes, breaking above $3,260. However, the 4-hour chart suggests a pullback may be due. Resistance is seen at $3,380 and $3,480, while supports are at $3,230, $3,150, and $3,060. Solana (SOL) has been relatively weak, struggling to break $147. A decisive move above $147.50 could open the path toward $154–$158, provided it holds above $138.85. Both long and short opportunities are possible around key levels. MERL remains in a clear downtrend, with repeated rejections near $0.50. The critical level to watch is $0.20, which aligns with project cost bases and retail psychological support. A break below could trigger further declines. ZEC is showing signs of a potential short-term correction with a 1-hour rising wedge and M-top pattern. Long positions are advised to take profit around $440 levels due to emerging bearish divergence. Overall, institutional optimism is growing, but retail participation remains low. A sustained bullish move across major cryptocurrencies may require stronger price momentum and broader market confidence.

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