Zcash whales buy the dip after 42% slide – 60% rally possible ONLY IF…

ambcryptoPubblicato 2026-01-27Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-01-27

Introduzione

Zcash (ZEC) shows signs of a potential bullish reversal after a 42% decline, driven by whale accumulation and improving market sentiment. The top 100 wallets increased holdings by 8.85%, while trading volume surged 43%. Derivatives data indicate bullish positioning, with significant long leverage. ZEC is holding key support at $320, a level that historically preceded a 60% rally. Technical indicators like the Money Flow Index are rising, though price remains below the 50-day EMA. Analysts suggest a possible trend reversal, with speculative targets as high as $2,000, though broader market conditions remain a factor.

Zcash’s bearish stretch began to ease after the token lost roughly 42% over the past two weeks. Recent data pointed to growing bullish interest, driven by whale accumulation, derivatives positioning, and improving price structure.

Whales accumulated during the dip

According to Nansen, the top 100 ZEC wallet addresses have increased their holdings by 8.85%, adding 42,623 tokens. Other whale cohorts have followed the same trend, with their holdings rising by over 5.06%.

This accumulation suggests that major crypto players are following a ‘buy-the-dip’ strategy.

At the same time, it highlighted that this could be an ideal buying opportunity, a sentiment reflected in trading volume, which jumped by 43% to $495.35 million, according to CoinMarketCap data.

On top of that, derivatives data suggested traders leaned bullish.

CoinGlass data showed heavy long positioning around the $325.1 level, while shorts clustered near $365.1.

At these levels, traders have built $7.37 million in long-leveraged positions and $5.45 million in short-leveraged positions. This positioning suggests that the current trend and market sentiment for ZEC are bullish.

ZEC tested key support

By contrast, Spot price action remained the main focus.

Zcash [ZEC] traded near $351, up about 7% on the day, according to TradingView. The daily chart showed ZEC holding the $320 support, a level defended since October 2025.

This marked the fourth retest of that zone.

Historically, the previous visit to this level preceded a rally of over 60% within one month. Even so, history alone did not guarantee a repeat.

Technical analysis and expert prediction

Adding to this bullish outlook, the Money Flow Index (MFI), which measures buying and selling pressure, is continuously rising.

According to the data, its value has recently moved up from the oversold zone to 37.76, suggesting that the upside move is backed by strong volume and signaling a bullish trend for the asset.

However, the price remains below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which suggests that the asset is still in a downtrend. That said, during the last strong rally in ZEC, the price also remained below the 50 EMA for a period.

Of course, optimism extended beyond charts.

A prominent crypto trader, Whale.Guru, suggested on X that ZEC could eventually surge toward $2,000. While the target appeared speculative, it reflected rising confidence around a potential trend reversal.

Such projections remained highly uncertain and depended on broader market conditions.


Final Thoughts

  • The top 100 ZEC wallet addresses have increased their token holdings by 5.06%, hinting at a potential buying opportunity.
  • Price action suggests that ZEC could be poised for its next leg up, similar to past moves, provided it holds the $320 support level.

Domande pertinenti

QWhat percentage of holdings did the top 100 ZEC wallet addresses increase during the dip, according to Nansen?

AThe top 100 ZEC wallet addresses increased their holdings by 8.85%.

QWhat key support level is ZEC currently holding, and how many times has it been retested?

AZEC is holding the $320 support level, which has been retested four times.

QWhat was the historical price performance of ZEC after a previous visit to the $320 support level?

AHistorically, a previous visit to the $320 level preceded a rally of over 60% within one month.

QWhat does the rising Money Flow Index (MFI) value of 37.76 suggest about the current ZEC price movement?

AThe rising MFI value suggests that the upside move is backed by strong volume and signals a bullish trend for the asset.

QWhat highly speculative price target for ZEC did the trader Whale.Guru suggest on social media platform X?

AWhale.Guru suggested that ZEC could eventually surge toward $2,000.

Letture associate

Must-Watch Events Next Week|CLARITY Act Could Face Senate Vote; SpaceX, Circle to Report Earnings (8.3-8.9)

**Summary: Key Events and Developments to Watch (August 3-9)** The upcoming week is marked by significant financial disclosures, key legislative deadlines, and notable product updates. **Major Financial Events:** Several companies are scheduled to release their Q2 2026 earnings. American Bitcoin (ABTC) will report on August 3, followed by SpaceX and Hut 8 Mining Corp. on August 4, and Circle on August 5. Notably, a significant portion of SpaceX shares (up to 12% of total shares) will be unlocked on August 6 following their earnings release. **Key Legislative Deadline:** The U.S. Senate faces an August 7 deadline to secure 60 votes for the CLARITY Act, a bipartisan bill aiming to establish a federal regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies. The Senate may hold a full vote on the bill during the week. **Economic Data:** The U.S. July Non-Farm Payrolls report will be released on August 7, providing crucial labor market data. **Technology & Product Updates:** * **Shutdowns:** DeFi portfolio tracker Zapper and wallet app Ctrl Wallet will cease operations on August 3. * **Upgrades:** LayerZero will deprecate its v1 relayers on August 3. XRP Ledger's new version 3.3.0, featuring five new functions, is expected next week. * **AI:** Elon Musk announced that the advanced Grok 4.6 AI model is set for release around August 7. * **Bitcoin:** The BIP-110 forced signaling for a potential Bitcoin network change is scheduled to begin around August 8. **Other Notable Events:** Chinese robotics firm Unitree Tech has set its preliminary price inquiry for its IPO for August 5. South Korean exchange Upbit will delist AQT and AERGO tokens on August 3.

marsbit6 min fa

Must-Watch Events Next Week|CLARITY Act Could Face Senate Vote; SpaceX, Circle to Report Earnings (8.3-8.9)

marsbit6 min fa

Stocks Are Plummeting More Sharply Than Cryptocurrencies. Where Has the Money Gone?

Stock Markets Plunge Deeper Than Cryptocurrencies: Where Did the Money Go? In late July, Seoul's Kospi index triggered circuit breakers for two consecutive days, plummeting over 40% from its June high. The collapse was led by heavyweight stocks like SK Hynix, whose record profits still disappointed investors, and devastating leveraged ETFs, with one major product losing over 83% of its value. This signaled a global, forced deleveraging targeting the most crowded trades. Interestingly, while stocks exhibited extreme volatility akin to crypto markets, Bitcoin rose nearly 15% in July after a prior steep drop. Analysis shows the money fleeing equities did not flow into Bitcoin. Instead, Bitcoin had already absorbed its sell-off in May-June, when U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw historic outflows. The true safe-haven beneficiary was gold, whose price rose over 20% year-on-year, highlighting a decoupling between Bitcoin and gold as "digital gold." The sell-off was a targeted unwinding of leveraged positions in tech and semiconductors, accelerated by broker-dealer risk management and shifts in the AI narrative, including new competition from Chinese memory chipmakers. The retreat path was clear: from high-valuation tech stocks to cash and U.S. Treasuries, then to gold. For Bitcoin to attract sustained institutional inflows, conditions like eased global liquidity pressure, a "soft-landing" Fed rate cut, and U.S. regulatory clarity via legislation like the stalled CLARITY Act are needed. Currently, Bitcoin is not a safe haven but an already-cleared asset. Its low correlation with tech stocks, however, makes it a potential diversification play for institutional portfolios once the storm passes. The money isn't here yet, but the positioning is underway.

marsbit6 min fa

Stocks Are Plummeting More Sharply Than Cryptocurrencies. Where Has the Money Gone?

marsbit6 min fa

In Conversation with Ray Dalio: We Are Currently in an AI Bubble, with 1% of My Portfolio in Bitcoin

Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, warns in an interview that the current AI boom shows classic bubble characteristics, which could lead to significant economic downturns as seen in past cycles like 1929 or 2000. He explains that speculative enthusiasm, fueled by debt and overvaluation, often precedes a crash when rising rates or taxation force asset sales, causing widespread losses and recession. Dalio also outlines his "Big Cycle" theory, describing an approximate 80-year pattern where widening wealth gaps, massive government deficits, and shifting geopolitical power (like China's rise) create internal conflict and global instability. He emphasizes that we are in a late-cycle, transitional phase where traditional powers like the US and UK face decline. For personal wealth protection, Dalio advises diversification beyond cash into assets like stocks, bonds, real estate, and particularly gold, which he prefers over Bitcoin. While he holds about 1% of his portfolio in Bitcoin as a non-printable hard asset, he views gold as more secure from technological or governmental threats. Regarding AI's impact, Dalio believes it will disproportionately benefit capital owners, worsening inequality by replacing both physical and cognitive labor. He suggests that human intuition and emotional intelligence, combined with AI, will be key for future workers. On taxation, Dalio argues that wealth taxes are impractical and risk triggering asset sell-offs, reducing productive investment. He points to the UK as a cautionary example of debt, low productivity, and political strife. Geopolitically, Dalio foresees a more regionalized world, with the US showing weakness in prolonged conflicts like with Iran, akin to past imperial declines. The ideal outcome, he suggests, is coexisting powerful blocs (e.g., Americas, China-Asia Pacific) without major war.

marsbit4 h fa

In Conversation with Ray Dalio: We Are Currently in an AI Bubble, with 1% of My Portfolio in Bitcoin

marsbit4 h fa

Daily 7.2 Trillion KRW: Foreign Capital's Record Net Buying on Friday! Wall Street Says Headwinds for Korean Stock Fund Flows Have Subsided

South Korean stock market sees a dramatic shift in fund flows. On July 31, foreign investors made a record net purchase of approximately KRW 7.2 trillion in KOSPI stocks, marking a fundamental reversal from the persistent large-scale net outflows seen in previous months. This contributed to a significant narrowing of foreign net selling in July to KRW 9.8 trillion, down sharply from KRW 48.4 trillion in June and KRW 44.5 trillion in May. Simultaneously, domestic institutional pressure eased. South Korean pension funds and asset managers turned to a net buying position in July, purchasing KRW 1.0 trillion worth of KOSPI shares, contrasting with net sales in May and June. Market volatility is expected to be dampened by new financial regulations. Effective July 31, the Financial Services Commission tightened access for retail investors to single-stock leveraged ETFs by raising the minimum cash deposit requirement. Trading volumes for these products subsequently dropped to about 50% of their monthly average. Citigroup Research maintains its year-end KOSPI target of 10,000 points. The firm cites several supportive factors: the substantial easing of headwinds from capital outflows, a robust fundamental outlook for the semiconductor sector, historically low market valuations, strong economic fundamentals, and the potential for policy support from financial authorities if needed.

marsbit4 h fa

Daily 7.2 Trillion KRW: Foreign Capital's Record Net Buying on Friday! Wall Street Says Headwinds for Korean Stock Fund Flows Have Subsided

marsbit4 h fa

Trading

Spot
活动图片