ZCash traders, patience may pay off – But only after THIS move

ambcryptoPubblicato 2025-12-16Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-12-16

Introduzione

ZCash (ZEC) declined 3.82% in 24 hours, underperforming Bitcoin. Despite a bullish structure shift earlier in December, momentum has slowed. ZEC is defending the $400 support level, but repeated tests may weaken it. A breakdown is possible due to ongoing selling pressure. Traders should wait for a move above $425 and a successful retest before considering long positions. Market-wide sentiment and Bitcoin's performance remain key factors. The privacy sector, including Monero and Dash, has also underperformed recently.

ZCash fell 3.82% over the past 24 hours, following Bitcoin’s slide to the $87.5k low.

While Bitcoin [BTC] managed to bounce higher, ZCash [ZEC] was not able to undo the recent losses.

In a recent report, AMBCrypto noted that a rally to $605 was on the cards after a breakout from a descending channel. Another report observed that, so long as the $382-$395 demand zone was defended, there’s a chance of a ZEC rally.

As things stand, the bullish momentum has slowed down in recent days but has not died down.

There is still the possibility of a ZCash recovery. However, the market-wide sentiment is impacting the altcoins.

The underperformance of the privacy sector, with Monero [XMR] and Dash [DASH] down 0.89% and 14.5% within the past four days, helped explain the ZCash performance.

ZCash continues to defend the $400 support

On the daily chart, the move past the $409.3 local high on the 9th of December confirmed a bullish structure shift. Additionally, the $410 area was an imbalance on the same timeframe from the end of November.

Highlighted in white, the imbalance has served as a steady demand zone in recent days.

The OBV has begun to push higher, and the RSI signaled momentum was turning as well.

On the 1-hour chart, bearish momentum and structure were observed. The OBV also showed heightened selling pressure since Friday, the 12th of December.

Chances of a breakdown below $400?

So far, the psychological $400 support has held up well, but multiple retests of the same level weaken it.

Over the past week, this support has been tested thrice. Given the lower timeframe selling pressure, a breakdown was possible.

Traders’ call to action – wait for THIS trigger for longs

It is best to allow the lower timeframe to align with the higher timeframe trend before looking to trade in the trend’s direction. In ZEC’s case now, a move above the $425 local resistance and a retest of the same would offer a buying opportunity.

Traders can look to remain neutral until market-wide sentiment and Bitcoin capital inflows improve, as BTC faced high selling pressure recently.


Final Thoughts

  • ZCash was unable to clear the $480 resistance and has retraced back to the $400 psychological support.
  • ZEC bulls are likely to have more success in the short-term, provided the $425 supply zone is overcome.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion

Letture associate

The Rally That Wasn't

The article analyzes Bitcoin's sharp decline amid a shift in macroeconomic expectations, with strong US job data leading markets to price out Fed rate cuts. Bitcoin fell 13% to around $67,000, triggering significant outflows from US spot ETFs and indicating institutional de-risking. On-chain data confirms a bearish structure. Price has dropped back into the "bear market range," with the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis falling below a key mean level—a pattern last seen in early 2022. The profitability bias has collapsed, with loss realization now dominating, mirroring a panic wave from February. Recent buyers who accumulated near the $82k top are under pressure, and loss realization is accelerating across both short-term and long-term holder cohorts. Off-chain, the rally failed at the aggregate US ETF cost basis near $83k, turning it into resistance. Spot market demand has deteriorated sharply, with sellers dominating order books. While a major long liquidation event cleared over $400M in leverage, spot buyers have not returned to absorb supply. Options markets show sustained demand for downside protection (elevated put premiums) but not panic, with volatility premiums near three-month highs. The conclusion is that the market remains fragile, with overhead supply from trapped ETF investors, weak spot demand, and accelerating losses. Without a return of spot buying and a reclaim of key cost bases, Bitcoin is vulnerable to further downside within the prevailing bear market structure.

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The Rally That Wasn't

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