Why TRON is gearing up for $0.45 despite the market slowdown

ambcryptoPubblicato 2026-02-23Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-02-23

Introduzione

Despite a broader market slowdown with total daily active users across major chains declining by 4.9%, TRON (TRX) demonstrated notable network strength and structural stability. It recorded 3.4 million daily active users, a 0.4% increase, ranking second only to BNB Chain. In contrast, competitors like Solana saw significant declines. TRX maintained key support levels, including an ascending weekly support from the 2022 bottom and trading above critical Fibonacci retracement levels. With open interest holding steady around $243 million and strong support at $0.2575, TRX is positioned for a potential move toward the $0.45 Fibonacci target, contingent on sustained volume expansion.

Participation slowed across major chains, and sentiment leaned cautious. At press time, TRON [TRX] stood out by holding both network engagement and structural stability.

Meanwhile, competitors showed sharper declines in activity and weaker price behavior. Therefore, focus shifted toward TRON’s relative strength. Is this durability merely temporary, or is it structural?

TRON: Total network activity slips

Total Daily Active Users across tracked chains stood at 26.45M, down 4.9%. The slowdown reflected contraction across multiple ecosystems.

However, the decline suggested cooling rather than collapse. Activity remained present, but capital became selective. As a result, stronger networks began separating from weaker ones.

This environment tested durability. TRON did not flinch.

Active addresses approach 2025 highs

As from the image above, TRON recorded 3.4M Daily Active Users , up 0.4% over 30 days, ranking second behind BNB Chain’s 3.9M. In contrast, Solana dropped 32.2% to 2.1M users.

In particular, TRON’s Active Addresses surged toward levels last seen in 2025, when TRX traded near $0.37. That repeated pattern during February 2026 confirmed sustained on-chain engagement.

This was not a speculative rotation. It reflected steady usage while others lost traction.

TRX holds ascending weekly support above 50%

On the weekly timeframe, TRX maintained ascending support originating from the 2022 bottom. That structure survived multiple market downturns and reinforced its reputation as a crypto winter survivor.

Moreover, TRX traded above the 50% and 61% Fibonacci retracement levels. Historically, holding these zones separated resilient assets from those suffering structural breakdowns.

At the time of writing, Open Interest remained elevated around $243M. It did not explode higher, but it held firm and steady. Meanwhile, many altcoins saw derivatives unwind aggressively.

The major support on the chart stood near $0.2575. Failure to hold that zone would shift the tone. However, as long as that floor remained intact, buyers retained control.

Will TRX clear the $0.45 first Fibonacci target?

Network strength persisted while broader participation cooled. Structure held where others fractured.

Looking ahead, the first Fibonacci objective stood near $0.45. However, clearing that level required sustained volume expansion. Without volume, the move would lack conviction.

Should activity remain firm and volume build gradually, TRX could attempt that breakout.


Final Summary

  • TRON maintained usage strength and structural stability during market cooling.
  • Holding $0.2575 support and steady OI positioned TRX for a potential push toward $0.45.

Domande pertinenti

QDespite the overall market slowdown, what was unique about TRON's performance according to the article?

ATRON stood out by holding both network engagement and structural stability, while competitors showed sharper declines in activity and weaker price behavior.

QHow did TRON's Daily Active Users (DAUs) compare to BNB Chain and Solana?

ATRON recorded 3.4M Daily Active Users, ranking second behind BNB Chain's 3.9M. In contrast, Solana dropped 32.2% to 2.1M users.

QWhat key support level must TRX hold to maintain buyer control, according to the analysis?

AThe major support on the chart stood near $0.2575. As long as that floor remained intact, buyers retained control.

QWhat on-chain metric for TRON surged toward levels last seen in 2025?

ATRON's Active Addresses surged toward levels last seen in 2025, when TRX traded near $0.37.

QWhat is the first Fibonacci price objective for TRX mentioned in the article, and what is required to achieve it?

AThe first Fibonacci objective stood near $0.45. Clearing that level required sustained volume expansion; without volume, the move would lack conviction.

Letture associate

The Value Distribution of Stablecoins

**Summary: The Value Distribution of Stablecoins** The article argues that stablecoins are evolving from mere trading tools into broader channels for dollar access. It divides the stablecoin ecosystem into four layers to analyze how value is distributed: 1. **Issuance Layer:** Mints stablecoins, holds reserve assets, and captures the spread between reserve yield and user costs (e.g., Tether, Circle). This layer currently earns the largest profit margin. 2. **Infrastructure Layer:** Connects stablecoins to the traditional financial system, handling fiat on/off-ramps, banking integration, compliance (KYC/AML), and asset management (e.g., Bridge, BVNK). This is the "unglamorous" but critical work, building the essential bridges between crypto and real-world finance. 3. **Acquiring/Distribution Layer:** Integrates stablecoins into merchant systems, manages payment flows, and provides enterprise financial software (e.g., Stripe, Coinbase). They act as the access point for businesses. 4. **Application Layer:** The end-users and businesses that ultimately use stablecoins for payments, settlements, or as a store of value. They benefit from convenience but have little pricing power. The core thesis is that while the issuance layer currently dominates profits, the often-overlooked **infrastructure layer holds significant long-term potential**. The real challenge and barrier to mass adoption is not the on-chain transfer of stablecoins (which is simple), but the complex "last mile" integration into existing business workflows, banking systems, and regulatory frameworks across different countries. Companies in this layer are currently in a "land grab" phase, investing heavily to build networks, secure bank partnerships, and establish compliance pathways. While their position is currently pressured by the profitable issuers above and distribution platforms below, the article suggests that if stablecoins become a default financial rail for businesses, the infrastructure providers who have done the hard work of integration will ultimately gain strong pricing power and become entrenched, essential players.

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The Value Distribution of Stablecoins

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The Value Distribution of Stablecoins

The Value Distribution of Stablecoins The article argues that stablecoins are evolving from a mere trading tool into a broad "dollar channel." It analyzes the industry's value chain through four layers: 1. **Issuance Layer (e.g., Tether, Circle):** The top layer that mints stablecoins, holds reserve assets, and captures the thickest interest rate spread. 2. **Infrastructure Layer (e.g., Bridge, BVNK):** Connects stablecoins to the traditional financial system, handling critical but complex "dirty work" like fiat on/off-ramps, banking integration, compliance (KYC/AML), and cross-border settlement. 3. **Acquiring/Distribution Layer (e.g., Stripe, Coinbase):** Embeds stablecoins into merchant systems, manages payment flows, and integrates with enterprise software. 4. **Application Layer:** End-users and businesses that ultimately use stablecoins for payments, settlement, or storing value. The author posits that while the issuance layer currently captures the most profit, the most overlooked and potentially critical layer is infrastructure. The core challenge for stablecoin adoption isn't the on-chain transfer (which is simple), but bridging the gap between blockchain and the real-world financial system. This involves solving practical problems for businesses: fiat conversion, reconciliation, tax handling, and user onboarding. Infrastructure companies are currently in a difficult "land-grab" phase—building networks, securing banking relationships, and achieving compliance country-by-country. They face pressure from both the profitable issuance layer above and distribution platforms below. However, the author suggests this layer is building a crucial moat. Once stablecoins become a default business rail, the infrastructure players who have done the hard work of integration may gain significant, durable value and pricing power.

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