U.S. Crypto Regulatory 'Civil War' Ceasefire: A Turning Point in the Decade-Long Power Struggle Between SEC and CFTC

marsbitPubblicato 2026-03-13Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-03-13

Introduzione

For over a decade, the U.S. cryptocurrency industry has operated under regulatory uncertainty, with two key questions unresolved: what exactly are crypto assets, and which agency should regulate them? The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) have long held overlapping and conflicting claims over crypto oversight, creating a "regulatory fog" that hindered innovation and pushed businesses to more predictable jurisdictions. Recently, signs of change have emerged. The SEC introduced a new classification framework in November 2025, categorizing digital assets into four types—digital commodities, digital collectibles, digital tools, and tokenized securities—acknowledging that not all crypto assets are securities. More significantly, the SEC and CFTC signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to enhance coordination in areas like crypto regulation, investor protection, and federal policy. Although non-binding, the MOU signals a move toward resolving jurisdictional conflicts and creating an "adaptive regulatory framework" tailored to digital assets. This shift is partly a response to global competition, as other financial centers develop clearer crypto regulations. Additionally, the growing integration of crypto with traditional finance—through stablecoins and real-world asset tokenization—demands a more structured regulatory approach. If successful, these efforts may lead to a unified federal framework, ending long-standing a...

For over a decade, the U.S. crypto industry has remained in a peculiar state.

The market has grown to a trillion-dollar scale, yet a complete regulatory framework has never been established. The two most critical questions have long gone unanswered:

  • What exactly are crypto assets?
  • If issues arise, who is ultimately responsible for regulation?

These questions may seem simple, but they have been the root cause of long-term regulatory chaos in the U.S. crypto space.

Over the past few months, however, the U.S. regulatory system has begun sending a series of new signals—these two questions are being answered anew.

Regulatory Fog

Within the U.S. financial regulatory system, crypto assets have long existed at the jurisdictional boundary between two major agencies: the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The SEC oversees the securities market, while the CFTC regulates commodity and derivatives trading.

The problem is that crypto assets exhibit characteristics of both. Some tokens have fundraising attributes and resemble securities. Others function more like digital commodities or network resources.

Consequently, for many years, the U.S. crypto industry has faced a core uncertainty: the same asset could be interpreted under two different regulatory logics simultaneously. This situation has been termed the "regulatory fog" by many industry insiders.

Companies often struggle to determine which set of rules a particular product must comply with. In some cases, firms even have to deal with both regulatory agencies at once.

The impact of this regulatory conflict extends beyond legal disputes. It directly influences corporate business decisions. SEC Chairman Paul Atkins acknowledged in a public speech that regulatory conflicts, duplicate registration requirements, and differing rule systems have, to some extent, stifled innovation and driven some market participants to other jurisdictions.

In other words, the divisions within the U.S. regulatory system itself are diminishing its appeal to the crypto industry.

How are Crypto Assets Classified?

For a long time, U.S. federal securities law lacked the concept of "crypto assets."

Regulators typically rely on the Howey Test to determine if an asset qualifies as a security—assessing whether a transaction constitutes an investment contract. Simply put, if investors provide capital and expect profits primarily from the efforts of others, that arrangement may be deemed a security.

For decades, this standard has been a cornerstone of U.S. securities regulation. But applying this logic to crypto assets introduces complexity.

Some tokens clearly have investment attributes. Others function more like network access credentials. Some are merely digital collectibles.

Within the same market, the nature of assets can vary drastically.

Faced with this complexity, the SEC proposed a new regulatory approach in November 2025. SEC Chairman Paul Atkins stated that the SEC is establishing a four-category token classification framework based on the Howey Test. This framework divides digital assets into four types:

  • Digital commodities or network tokens
  • Digital collectibles
  • Digital instruments
  • Tokenized securities

This classification framework also marks the first time U.S. regulators have systematically acknowledged that not all crypto assets are securities.

Who Regulates?

But even as asset types begin to clarify, another question remains.

If certain tokens are classified as digital commodities, who ultimately holds regulatory authority?

In the U.S. financial system, the primary regulator for commodity markets is the CFTC. This means that once certain digital assets are deemed commodities, regulatory power no longer rests solely with the SEC.

This has been the longstanding institutional conflict between the SEC and CFTC over the past years.

The Fog Lifts

Recently, signs of easing have emerged in this long-standing regulatory divide.

The SEC and CFTC announced the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU), committing to enhance coordination in several areas, including:

  • Crypto asset regulation
  • Novel digital asset products
  • Investor protection
  • Federal-level policy frameworks

Although the MOU itself is not legally binding, it sends a clear signal: U.S. regulators are beginning to attempt to resolve long-standing jurisdictional conflicts.

The two agencies also proposed a key goal—establishing a "fit-for-purpose regulatory framework."

This suggests that the U.S. may no longer simply apply traditional financial rules directly to digital assets but instead attempt to design a more suitable system for this emerging market.

This shift is set against a broader macro backdrop.

In recent years, major global financial centers have been accelerating the construction of digital asset regulatory systems. Some regions have already launched unified regulatory frameworks. Others are attracting crypto businesses by clarifying rules.

In contrast, although the U.S. possesses the largest crypto market, its regulatory system has long been fragmented. An increasing number of companies are choosing to operate in jurisdictions with clearer regulations. For the U.S., this trend is clearly not ideal.

Simultaneously, the structure of the crypto market is also changing.

The early crypto industry primarily revolved around native crypto assets, but now the two fastest-growing areas are: stablecoins and RWA (Real World Assets). Dollar stablecoins are often backed by assets like U.S. Treasury reserves; RWA involves the direct tokenization of traditional financial assets.

This means that crypto finance is gradually integrating with the traditional financial system. As the two begin to converge, the regulatory structure must also adapt accordingly.

The New Regulatory Structure

Viewing this series of changes together, the U.S. regulatory system appears to be undergoing a structural reorganization.

  • The first step is clarifying the basic classification of digital assets.
  • The second step is coordinating the jurisdictional boundaries between different regulatory agencies.
  • The third step may involve establishing unified federal-level rules for the digital asset market.

If this process is ultimately completed, the U.S. will have formed a comprehensive digital asset regulatory system.

From a broader perspective, this regulatory restructuring is not only about the crypto industry itself. It also concerns the right to set the rules for the future financial system.

With the development of stablecoins, tokenized assets, and on-chain finance, digital assets are gradually becoming new financial infrastructure.

Regulators worldwide are attempting to answer the same question: in the era of digital finance, who makes the rules?

The current regulatory adjustments in the U.S. are part of this competition.

And as the rules gradually become clearer, the crypto industry may also transition from a long period of regulatory uncertainty into a new phase.

*This content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market carries risks, and investment requires caution.

Domande pertinenti

QWhat is the core issue causing regulatory confusion in the US crypto industry?

AThe core issue is the lack of how to classify crypto assets and determine which regulatory body has jurisdiction, leading to overlapping and conflicting oversight between the SEC and CFTC.

QWhat is the SEC's new classification framework for digital assets based on the Howey Test?

AThe SEC's new classification framework divides digital assets into four types: digital commodities or network tokens, digital collectibles, digital instruments, and tokenized securities.

QWhat recent development indicates a potential resolution to the SEC-CFTC jurisdictional conflict?

AThe SEC and CFTC signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to enhance coordination in areas like crypto asset regulation, investor protection, and developing a federal policy framework.

QHow has regulatory uncertainty impacted the US crypto market's global competitiveness?

ARegulatory conflicts and unclear rules have driven some market participants to relocate to jurisdictions with clearer regulations, reducing the US's attractiveness as a crypto hub.

QWhat broader trend is driving the need for a new regulatory structure in the US?

AThe integration of crypto finance with traditional finance, particularly through stablecoins and real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, necessitates updated regulatory frameworks to address this convergence.

Letture associate

Not Speculation but a Necessity: The 4 Unique Values of Prediction Markets

Polymarket's recent $4 billion funding round and soaring valuation of $15 billion highlight the explosive growth of prediction markets, with trading volume reaching $25.7 billion in March 2026—a 10.6% monthly increase. This analysis argues that prediction markets serve critical non-speculative functions, positioning them as essential tools rather than mere gambling platforms. Prediction markets offer four unique values: entertainment consumption, insurance-like protection, risk hedging, and truth discovery. Firstly, they stimulate economic activity by engaging users in event-based betting, similar to the broader sports industry. Secondly, they act as a form of decentralized insurance, allowing users to hedge against specific, well-defined risks (e.g., weather events) transparently and without traditional overhead costs. Thirdly, institutions and individuals use these markets to hedge against geopolitical and commodity price risks, as demonstrated during the U.S.-Iran conflict and the launch of 24/7 commodity markets on platforms like Kalshi. Finally, prediction markets counter media bias by aggregating crowd-sourced information, often achieving 30% higher accuracy than surveys due to users' vested interests. Experts like Bitwise’s Jeff Park and SIG’s Jeff Yass emphasize the markets' role in risk transfer and financial innovation. As these platforms evolve, they are poised to become trillion-dollar markets, offering more reliable, decentralized mechanisms for information pricing and risk management.

marsbit2 h fa

Not Speculation but a Necessity: The 4 Unique Values of Prediction Markets

marsbit2 h fa

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片