The question of when SpaceX shares will rise in price again is being heard more and more frequently on the stock market. At present, a real recovery of SpaceX shares is unlikely before early 2027, when the current insider lock-up period ends.
Over the last couple of days, SPCX shares have traded in a narrow range from $118.24 on July 23, 2026 to $123.54 on July 21, 2026, but still remain 48% below their 52-week high of $225.64.
The short-term forecast depends on how many shares insiders will sell in the coming months, especially considering that the 52-week low of $110.85 currently remains the lower boundary.
SpaceX's current market capitalization is $1.56 trillion, with a 52-week price range fluctuating between $110.85 and $225.64. The P/E ratio is currently unknown as the company is not profitable. Furthermore, there is a significant gap among Wall Street analysts between the most pessimistic and most optimistic forecasts for SpaceX shares in 2027.
On August 4, 2026, SpaceX will release its first quarterly results, and strong Starlink performance, or perhaps the successful completion of the Starship project, could trigger a short-term rise. On August 6, 2026, 911.5 million shares worth approximately $116 billion will be unlocked. From August to December 2026, a phased share release schedule will be in effect, with insiders opening new tranches every 15-30 days. This is precisely why it is difficult to predict when SpaceX shares will increase in price again.
In 2025, SpaceX recorded a net loss of $4.9 billion, followed by another $4.28 billion just in the first quarter of 2026, which is explained by significant investments in Starship infrastructure and AI. The current forecast for SpaceX shares, trading at a price more than 84 times the previous period's revenue, is only accurate if Starlink's cash flow increases significantly.
Analysts disagree on how quickly this can happen. Adam Jonas from Morgan Stanley confirmed an "Overweight" rating and kept the target price unchanged at $300, citing SpaceX's vertical integration and its long-term growth potential as reasons for this.
Timothy Horan from Oppenheimer assigned a more modest "Outperform" rating with a $190 target price, based on the fact that no other publicly traded company operates across three major sectors simultaneously like SpaceX does.
According to a consensus of 33 surveyed analysts, the average 12-month target price for SpaceX shares is around $240, with individual estimates ranging from $63 to $800. This spread shows that Wall Street has categorically different views on the prospects for a recovery in SpaceX shares.
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