National-Level Players Enter the Game: The 2025 Revelation of Cryptocurrency Crime Spiraling Out of Control

marsbitPubblicato 2026-01-10Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-01-10

Introduzione

Summary: In 2025, state-level cryptocurrency activity surged, marking a new phase in the maturation of illicit on-chain ecosystems. Illicit addresses received at least $154 billion, a 162% year-over-year increase, largely driven by a 694% spike in transactions involving sanctioned entities. Stablecoins dominated these flows, accounting for 84% of all illicit transaction volume. Key trends include North Korean hackers stealing a record $2 billion, including the largest crypto theft in history from Bybit. Russia launched the ruble-backed A7A5 token, which saw $93.3 billion in transaction volume within a year, facilitating large-scale evasion. Chinese money laundering networks emerged as dominant, sophisticated operators offering full-service criminal enterprises. Iran-linked proxy networks moved over $2 billion for activities including oil sales and weapons procurement. Illicit actors and nations increasingly rely on full-stack infrastructure providers resistant to takedowns and sanctions. Furthermore, the connection between crypto and real-world violent crime is growing, with increased use in human trafficking and a rise in violent coercion attacks to seize crypto assets during price peaks. Collaboration between law enforcement, regulators, and crypto firms is crucial to counter these evolving, interconnected threats.

Original Author: Chainalysis

Original Compilation: Chopper, Foresight News

In 2025, we observed a significant increase in cryptocurrency-related activities at the national level, marking a new mature stage in the development of the illegal on-chain ecosystem. Over the past few years, the professionalization of the cryptocurrency crime sector has deepened; illegal organizations have now established large-scale on-chain infrastructure to support transnational criminal networks in procuring goods and services and laundering proceeds from crypto crimes. Against this backdrop, governments have also begun to enter this field, leveraging these mature professional service providers on one hand, while building their own customized infrastructure on the other to evade sanctions on a large scale. As governments connect to this cryptocurrency supply chain originally built for cybercriminals and organized crime groups, government agencies, compliance, and security teams now face severe challenges in terms of consumer rights protection and national security.

What are the specific on-chain manifestations of these trends and other industry changes? Next, we will analyze them by combining data and macro trends.

According to our monitoring data, the scale of funds flowing into illegal cryptocurrency addresses in 2025 reached at least $154 billion, a sharp increase of 162% year-on-year. This growth was primarily driven by a surge in fund inflows to sanctioned entities, which soared by 694% year-on-year. However, even excluding the growth from sanctioned entities, 2025 was still a record year for cryptocurrency crime, as the scale of the vast majority of illegal activities increased.

Nevertheless, the scale of these illegal transactions still pales in comparison to the overall cryptocurrency economy, as the main participants in the cryptocurrency market remain legitimate transactions. According to our estimates, although the proportion of illegal transactions in the total traceable cryptocurrency transaction volume in 2025 increased slightly compared to 2024, it remained below 1%.

As shown in the figure below, we also observed a continuous shift in the types of assets involved in cryptocurrency crimes.

Over the past few years, stablecoins have gradually become the dominant asset in illegal transactions, currently accounting for 84% of the total illegal transaction volume. This trend aligns with the overall development characteristics of the cryptocurrency ecosystem: with advantages such as convenient cross-border transfers, low volatility, and wide application scenarios, stablecoins continue to expand their share in the overall cryptocurrency transactions.

The following sections will delve into the core trends that defined the cryptocurrency crime landscape in 2025, which remain worthy of attention in the future.

National-Level Threats Drive Transaction Scale: North Korea Sets New Record in Theft, Russia's A7A5 Token Facilitates Large-Scale Sanction Evasion

In 2025, stolen funds remained a major threat to the cryptocurrency ecosystem, with hacking groups linked to North Korea alone stealing $2 billion. This figure was primarily driven by several highly destructive large-scale hacking incidents, the most notable of which was the attack on the Bybit exchange in February. The incident involved nearly $1.5 billion, making it the largest digital asset theft in the history of cryptocurrency. Although North Korean hackers have long been a major force threatening the cryptocurrency ecosystem, the past year set new records both in terms of the amount stolen and the sophistication of intrusion and money laundering methods.

Particularly noteworthy is that the scale of on-chain activities by governments reached unprecedented levels in 2025. Russia introduced relevant legislation in 2024 to promote the use of cryptocurrencies to evade sanctions, and this measure was officially implemented in February 2025. The country launched the ruble-backed token A7A5, which achieved a transaction volume of over $93.3 billion in less than a year since its launch.

Meanwhile, over the past few years, Iran's proxy networks have conducted money laundering, illegal oil transactions, and bulk commodity procurement for weapons through confirmed wallet addresses that have been placed on the sanctions list, with a cumulative transaction volume exceeding $2 billion. Despite multiple military strikes, Iran-supported terrorist groups such as Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis continue to use cryptocurrencies on an unprecedented scale.

In 2025, Chinese money laundering networks emerged as a dominant force in the illegal on-chain ecosystem. These organizations operate with high precision, greatly driving the diversification and professionalization of cryptocurrency crimes, offering specialized criminal services including "money laundering services." Building on early illegal operation models such as "Huiyin Guarantee," these networks have established full-service criminal enterprises, covering areas such as fraud, scams, laundering proceeds from North Korean hacking thefts, sanction evasion, and terrorism financing.

Full-Stack Illegal Infrastructure Providers Fuel Malicious Network Activities

While governments are increasing their use of cryptocurrencies, traditional cybercrime activities remain rampant: ransomware operators, child sexual abuse and cybercrime platforms, malware distributors, scammers, and illegal trading markets still rely on extensive support networks to maintain operations. Illegal actors and governments are increasingly dependent on full-stack on-chain infrastructure providers, including domain registrars, secure and reliable hosting services, and other technical infrastructure that can be used to carry out malicious network activities.

These infrastructure providers have evolved into comprehensive infrastructure platforms capable of resisting platform takedowns, abuse complaints, and sanction enforcement. As the scale of these services continues to expand, they may become key drivers in expanding the scope of malicious network activities for economic crime and state-supported forces.

The Increasing Correlation Between Cryptocurrency and Violent Crime

In the perception of many, cryptocurrency crime is still confined to the virtual world. The masterminds are merely anonymous figures hiding behind keyboards, posing no real-world threat. However, in reality, the connection between on-chain activities and violent crime is deepening. Human trafficking groups are increasingly using cryptocurrencies for transactions; at the same time, disturbingly, the number of violent coercion attacks has risen significantly, with criminals using violent means to force victims to transfer crypto assets, and such assaults often occur during peak cryptocurrency price periods.

Looking ahead, collaboration between law enforcement agencies, regulatory bodies, and cryptocurrency companies will be key to addressing these complex, ever-changing, and interconnected threats. Although the proportion of illegal transactions in legitimate cryptocurrency transaction volume remains limited, maintaining the integrity and security of the cryptocurrency ecosystem has never been more important.

Domande pertinenti

QWhat was the total value of illicit cryptocurrency transactions in 2025, and what was the primary driver of this growth?

AThe total value of illicit cryptocurrency transactions in 2025 reached at least $154 billion, representing a 162% year-over-year increase. This growth was primarily driven by a massive 694% surge in transaction volume from sanctioned entities.

QWhich asset has become the dominant currency for illicit transactions and what percentage of the total illicit volume does it represent?

AStablecoins have become the dominant asset for illicit transactions, currently accounting for 84% of the total illicit transaction volume.

QWhat significant role did nation-states play in the 2025 crypto crime landscape according to the article?

ANation-states significantly escalated their involvement in 2025. Russia launched the ruble-backed A7A5 token, which processed over $93.3 billion in volume to circumvent sanctions. North Korean hacking groups stole a record $2 billion, and Chinese money laundering networks emerged as dominant, sophisticated players in the illicit ecosystem.

QWhat new concerning trend connects cryptocurrency to real-world physical violence?

AA concerning trend is the rise in violent coercion attacks, where criminals use physical violence to force victims to transfer their cryptocurrency assets. These attacks often occur during periods of peak cryptocurrency prices.

QDespite the growth in illicit activity, how does its scale compare to the overall cryptocurrency economy?

ADespite the significant growth, illicit transactions still represent less than 1% of the total traceable cryptocurrency transaction volume, meaning the vast majority of cryptocurrency market activity remains legitimate.

Letture associate

7 Months After the Collapse of Huiwang, Southeast Asia's Escrow Platforms Undergo a Major Reshuffle

Following the collapse of Huione Pay—dubbed the "Alipay of Southeast Asia"—seven months ago, the region's underground financial guarantee platform sector is undergoing a significant reshuffle. This power vacuum has been swiftly filled by emerging platforms such as XinBi, Tiger/Navigator, JinBei (renamed JinBo), Dali/Tiancheng, and FullyLight. These platforms, operating largely via Telegram and offering services like escrow for illicit transactions, have absorbed the vast user base and markets left behind by Huione. While positioning themselves as "trust intermediaries," their primary clientele consists of networks involved in online scams, money laundering, illegal gambling, and even human trafficking. For instance, the Tiger/Navigator platform explicitly provides "escrow" services for kidnapping-for-ransom operations ("强押车交易"). Data underscores the immense scale: Huione alone processed over $103 billion in cryptocurrency payments and facilitated over $31 billion through its escrow market before its downfall, linking it to Cambodia's notorious Prince Group. Since its collapse, competitors have seen explosive growth. For example, the XinBi platform has accumulated over $1.6 billion in total USDT revenue, while platforms like NewPay, OkPay (under Dali), and FullyLight Wallet collectively processed over $4.8 billion in USDT in a single year. This ecosystem thrives in regions like Cambodia and Myanmar, where regulatory gaps allow these platforms to act as critical financial infrastructure for sprawling cybercrime industries, from scam compounds to online casinos. The article concludes that the moniker "Southeast Asian Alipay" is a misnomer, obscuring the platforms' fundamental role in enabling serious criminal enterprises rather than representing legitimate financial innovation.

Odaily星球日报40 min fa

7 Months After the Collapse of Huiwang, Southeast Asia's Escrow Platforms Undergo a Major Reshuffle

Odaily星球日报40 min fa

The Changing Landscape: What Are Crypto VCs Experiencing?

Title: The Shifting Landscape of Crypto Venture Capital The era of dedicated crypto venture capital funds is undergoing a significant transformation. Once essential for navigating the sector's complexity and high risk, these specialized funds are now facing an identity crisis as the market matures. This shift mirrors historical patterns in other specialized investment classes like cleantech and SPACs, where initial information advantages dissipate as technologies become mainstream and integrated into existing industry frameworks. The article argues that crypto is reaching a critical inflection point, transitioning from a "building phase" to an "integration phase." Major players like Stripe, BlackRock, and Visa now engage with crypto not for its novel mechanics but as a foundational financial infrastructure. Their needs—regulatory compliance, banking partnerships, distribution channels—align with traditional fintech, a domain easily understood by large, generalist funds like Sequoia and Founders Fund. This evolution creates a "barbell effect" within the VC landscape. On one end are massive, diversified platforms that can incorporate crypto as one vertical among many. On the other are small, nimble funds focused on niche, experimental projects. The middle ground—medium-sized dedicated crypto funds—is being squeezed out. Their typical fund size makes it impossible to generate sufficient returns solely from early-stage crypto bets, yet they cannot compete with giants for later-stage deals. Consequently, leading crypto-native firms like Paradigm and Framework Ventures are expanding into AI, robotics, and other sectors, driven partly by LP pressure for better returns amid a broader VC DPI crisis. Others, like Dragonfly and a16z, have narrowed their crypto focus predominantly to financial infrastructure like stablecoins, reframing the sector's core narrative. For crypto entrepreneurs, this consolidation presents challenges. While generalist funds offer larger checks and broader resources, crypto projects now compete fiercely with AI for attention and capital within these firms. Furthermore, the long-term, non-commercial foundational work that built the ecosystem—funded by dedicated crypto VCs—is less likely to attract generalist capital focused on direct returns. The conclusion is that "crypto investor" as a standalone category is becoming obsolete, akin to "internet investor." Crypto is becoming a baseline infrastructure layer. The future will see a barbell structure: large-scale growth financing handled by generalist funds, while pioneering, speculative projects are funded by small, specialized vehicles. The dedicated crypto funds of the 2017-2021 boom, which incubated core infrastructure, are giving way to this new, bifurcated reality.

Foresight News58 min fa

The Changing Landscape: What Are Crypto VCs Experiencing?

Foresight News58 min fa

As Consensus Accelerates, What Are Young Investors Betting On?

Title: As Consensus Forms Faster, What Are Young Investors Betting On? In the rapid evolution of tech investment, a new generation of young investors is navigating a landscape where AI, robotics, commercial aerospace, and quantum computing are advancing simultaneously. Traditional investment logic based on financial models is giving way to a need for deep technical understanding and the ability to act before industry consensus forms. An analysis of trends from the "WAIC FUTURE TECH" list of young investment leaders reveals key shifts in focus. The first major trend is the movement of AI from the digital screen into the physical world. Investment is shifting from large language models and chatbots towards embodied AI, robotics, AI hardware, and edge computing. While demonstrations generate excitement, the real challenge lies in achieving scalable, reliable, and cost-effective delivery in complex real-world environments like factories and logistics. Success depends not just on algorithms but on the integration of sensors, actuators, and control systems. Second, the competitive focus for large models is moving beyond raw capability toward building an "intelligence flywheel." The goal is to create self-reinforcing systems where user interaction generates data, improving the model, which in turn enhances the user experience and attracts more engagement. Companies that successfully embed AI into workflows to create these closed-loop systems can build lasting value that isn't easily erased by the next model upgrade. Third, facing a potential bottleneck in high-quality human-generated data, investors are looking at new underlying technologies. Reinforcement learning and self-play, as demonstrated by AlphaGo Zero, offer paths for AI to generate its own experience. Scientific foundation models, which aim to build general AI capabilities for fields like life sciences and materials discovery, represent a non-consensus direction that could unlock new frontiers of knowledge and data. Finally, in deep-tech areas like quantum computing, commercial aerospace, and space-based infrastructure, patient capital is essential. These fields have long, uncertain development and validation cycles involving complex engineering, supply chains, and regulations. Investment here requires a long-term view, focusing on foundational team capabilities and the eventual emergence of market demand, even if commercial returns are distant. Collectively, these trends illustrate how young investors are adapting to a new era. They are learning to make earlier, technically-informed judgments, balance hype with real-world viability, and provide the patient capital needed to build the deep-tech foundations of the future.

marsbit1 h fa

As Consensus Accelerates, What Are Young Investors Betting On?

marsbit1 h fa

Trading

Spot
活动图片