Michael Saylor “We Are in a Crypto Winter” as Markets Continue Weakness

TheNewsCryptoPubblicato 2026-02-18Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-02-18

Introduzione

Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of MicroStrategy, has declared a "crypto winter," acknowledging a sustained market downturn. He characterized this as Bitcoin's fifth major correction but described it as potentially "milder" and shorter than previous cycles due to institutional and political support. Despite the downturn, his firm continues to accumulate Bitcoin, purchasing an additional 2,486 BTC for $168.4 million, bringing its total holdings to over 717,000 BTC. Saylor stated the company could withstand a Bitcoin price as low as $8,000. This follows significant market volatility in early February, where over $2.6 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated in a single day. Bitcoin fell 16% intraday on Feb. 6, dropping to around $60,000 before rebounding to approximately $68,000. Other major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, XRP, and Solana also saw declines of 10-27%. Analysts suggest upcoming developments and institutional activity could influence market momentum in the coming weeks.

Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor has said the cryptocurrency market is in a “crypto winter,” acknowledging the sustained downturn after earlier statements that such a phase would not return. In a Tuesday interview on Fox Business, Saylor described the current market drawdown as a significant correction, marking what he called the fifth major drawdown for Bitcoin since he entered the space. He characterised this cycle as “milder” and potentially shorter than the downturns seen in past cycles, citing institutional interest and policy support.

Michael Saylor later reiterated similar sentiment in a post on X, saying: “We may be in the middle of a crypto winter, but spring is coming — and Bitcoin is winning.”

Saylor’s comments come as Strategy continues to accumulate Bitcoin. Between Feb. 9 and Feb. 16, the firm acquired 2,486 BTC for approximately $168.4 million at an average price of about $67,710 per coin. The purchase brings its total holdings to 717,131 BTC, as per the 8-K filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Tuesday. This makes Strategy one of the largest corporate holders of Bitcoin, even as its aggregate cost basis remains above current prices, reflecting unrealized paper losses.

Saylor also said Strategy could withstand a further sharp decline in Bitcoin’s price, stating in public remarks that the company could survive even if BTC were to fall as low as $8,000 given its cash reserves and capital structure.

Also, Saylor pointed to what he described as stronger institutional and political support for Bitcoin compared with prior bear markets, citing the development of digital credit networks and a U.S. administration he views as supportive of digital assets.

Feb. 5–6 Liquidations Drive Significant Market Decline Across Major Cryptocurrencies

Over $1.45 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated across major cryptocurrencies within a 24‐hour period on Feb. 5, 2026, marking one of the largest single‐day liquidation events in recent weeks. Bitcoin accounted for roughly $738.83 million of those liquidations, with Ethereum’s long positions near $337.45 million and Solana around $77.28 million. Long positions made up the bulk of these forced closures as prices breached key support levels.

Additionally, Feb. 6 saw an even broader cascade of forced closures, with derivatives platforms showing roughly $2.6 billion future positions in total liquidations as Bitcoin briefly plunged toward $60,000 before rebounding later in the day and the Fear & Greed Index fell into extreme fear territory. Over 580,000 trader positions were reportedly wiped out during that period amid the steep price swings.

Crypto market performance has started to move downward with mixed results since the beginning of February. The largest single short-term drop occurred on Feb. 6, when Bitcoin fell from around $71,681 to $60,074 intraday, a drop of around 16%. As of today, Bitcoin is trading around $68,000, down approximately 15% from its price near $79,322 on Feb. 1. Data from CMC show BTC’s market cap remains above $1.34 trillion.

Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest token by market cap, traded near $2,400 at the start of February, then fell below $1,748 during the early-month downturn before stabilising. As of today, ETH is trading around $1,970–$1,990, down roughly 27% since Feb. 1. The ETH market cap remains above $237 billion.

Other major tokens such as XRP and Solana (SOL) experienced similar patterns. XRP began February near $1.62, briefly retreating toward $1.15 before recovering slightly to trade near $1.45–$1.50 today, a decrease of more than 10% since the start of the month. SOL started February above $100–$115, dropped below $75 on Feb. 6, and currently trades near $82–$86, down roughly 12–15%.

However, analysts note that upcoming developments, such as potential ETF activity and continued institutional buying, could influence market momentum in the coming weeks.

Highlighted Crypto News:

BlackRock Begins Acquiring Ethereum Ahead of Staking ETF Launch

TagsBitcoinCrypto Marketcrypto winterETHEREUMMichael Saylorsaylor

Domande pertinenti

QWhat did Michael Saylor call the current state of the cryptocurrency market?

AMichael Saylor called the current state of the cryptocurrency market a 'crypto winter'.

QHow much Bitcoin did MicroStrategy acquire between February 9 and 16, and at what average price?

AMicroStrategy acquired 2,486 BTC for approximately $168.4 million at an average price of about $67,710 per coin.

QWhat was the total value of leveraged positions liquidated on February 5, 2026, and which cryptocurrency accounted for the largest portion?

AOver $1.45 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated on February 5, 2026. Bitcoin accounted for the largest portion, with $738.83 million of those liquidations.

QAccording to Saylor, what two factors make the current market cycle potentially 'milder' and shorter than past downturns?

ASaylor cited stronger institutional interest and policy support as factors making the current cycle potentially milder and shorter than past downturns.

QWhat was the approximate percentage drop in Bitcoin's price from its February 1st value to its price as of the article's writing?

ABitcoin was down approximately 15% from its price near $79,322 on February 1st, trading around $68,000 as of the article's writing.

Letture associate

How Risky is the "Death Spiral" of MSTR and STRC?

Summary: This article explores the perceived "death spiral" risk between MicroStrategy (MSTR), its Bitcoin holdings, and its perpetual preferred stock (STRC), drawing comparisons to the LUNA-UST collapse. While both systems feature price anchors, high yields for holders, and potential feedback loops, their core mechanisms differ fundamentally. The MSTR-STRC structure relies on continuous financing to sustain its high dividend payouts, primarily through stock ATM offerings. A negative feedback cycle could occur: falling MSTR stock price makes raising equity capital harder, increasing pressure to sell Bitcoin, which undermines STRC confidence and further depresses MSTR. However, unlike LUNA-UST's automated, direct linkage, the MSTR-STRC loop is weaker and has brakes: STRC dividends can be deferred or rates lowered, and STRC holders have a $100/share liquidation preference in bankruptcy, providing a price floor. The company's sustainability hinges on its ability to continue financing. Its current ~$900 million USD reserves cover only about 6.3 months of its ~$1.71 billion annual interest/dividend burden. The next six months are critical, aligning with both the potential bottom in Bitcoin's four-year cycle and the depletion timeline of its reserves. While a LUNA-style catastrophic collapse is deemed highly unlikely due to structural differences, the key question is whether MicroStrategy can navigate this period through healthy deleveraging to restart its capital engine.

Foresight News13 min fa

How Risky is the "Death Spiral" of MSTR and STRC?

Foresight News13 min fa

How Much Debt Does Strategy Really Have? Is There a Risk of Implosion?

MicroStrategy's Debt Risk: A Turning Point in the "Never Sell" Strategy As of June 3, 2026, MicroStrategy holds 843,706 bitcoins (valued at ~$53.1B) but faces significant financial obligations. Its capital structure includes $6.75B in convertible notes and $15.48B in perpetual preferred stock (led by the $8.5B STRC series), creating an annual payout burden of ~$1.71B. With software revenue at only ~$500M, interest and dividend obligations far exceed operating income. A critical shift occurred in late May 2026 when the company sold 32 bitcoins for ~$2.5M to cover dividends, breaking CEO Michael Saylor's long-standing "never sell" pledge. This symbolic move triggered a sharp decline in both Bitcoin's price and MSTR stock, reflecting market fears about cash flow sustainability. The core of the strain is the STRC perpetual preferred stock, designed as a "permanent loan" with no maturity date but requiring high monthly dividends (currently 11.5%). Its business model relies on a three-part cycle: issuing new STRC shares, using proceeds to buy more Bitcoin and fund a USD reserve, and using that reserve to pay dividends. This cycle depends on continuous investor demand for STRC and Bitcoin's price appreciation. Analysis shows Bitcoin needs to appreciate at least 2.3% annually to cover the $1.71B in yearly obligations at current holdings. With Bitcoin price down ~22% from March 2026 highs, this pressure has intensified. The company's $900M USD reserve can only cover about 7 months of payments if STRC issuance stalls. Key risks are not immediate bankruptcy or forced Bitcoin liquidation (as BTC is not collateral), but rather: 1) The erosion of MSTR's premium to its Bitcoin holdings (mNAV), which would cripple its ability to raise cheap capital; 2) A vicious cycle where stagnant Bitcoin prices reduce STRC demand, draining the USD reserve and forcing BTC sales, further depressing prices. The period from February 2027 to September 2028 is a crucial test, with over $5.9B in convertible notes facing put options or maturity. In essence, MicroStrategy has evolved from a simple Bitcoin holder into a complex financial entity acting like a "private Bitcoin bank," leveraging its BTC holdings to create layered financial products. Its survival depends on maintaining Bitcoin's price trend, its stock premium, and market appetite for its preferred shares. The recent token sale marks not a betrayal of its Bitcoin thesis, but an admission that the leveraged strategy must eventually be paid for.

marsbit23 min fa

How Much Debt Does Strategy Really Have? Is There a Risk of Implosion?

marsbit23 min fa

Anthropic Cries Wolf: Is the AGI Threat Real, or Just an IPO Story?

Anthropic has published an article titled "When AI builds itself," discussing the emerging concept of "recursive self-improvement," where AI begins to actively participate in designing, training, testing, and optimizing its own subsequent versions. The company presents internal data showing that by May 2026, over 80% of code merged into its codebase was written by Claude, its AI model. Claude's capabilities have expanded to handling complex, open-ended engineering tasks, achieving a 76% success rate in such areas, and even contributing to research processes, such as optimizing code performance and conducting AI safety experiments. Anthropic outlines an evolution from human-driven development to AI-assisted workflows, culminating in the current stage where AI agents can autonomously write, run, and delegate code. The company cautions that the path toward a "closed loop," where AI continuously improves itself, is becoming visible. It calls for coordinated global mechanisms to potentially slow or pause frontier AI development to allow safety research and societal structures to catch up. However, the timing of this warning coincides with Anthropic's preparations for an IPO, framing the narrative not just as a safety concern but also as a demonstration of Claude's advanced capabilities and its integral role in accelerating Anthropic's own R&D—creating a potential "flywheel" effect for competitive advantage. This contrasts with OpenAI's recent, more policy-oriented discussion of the same risks, highlighting the competitive dynamics in the AI industry as companies position themselves in both the technological and regulatory landscape.

marsbit1 h fa

Anthropic Cries Wolf: Is the AGI Threat Real, or Just an IPO Story?

marsbit1 h fa

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片