Major Coins Plummet + Speculative Coins Dance Wildly, ETH Breaks Below 3000, XRP Crashes to 1.9, RATS Buying Opportunity + MERL Shorting Opportunity Both Emerge

金色财经Pubblicato 2025-12-16Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-12-16

Introduzione

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a sharp divergence. Major coins like ETH and XRP are declining sharply, while some altcoins show volatile, mixed performances. ETH dropped over 5%, breaking below the key $3,000 support and falling to around $2,916. It faces resistance at $2,980, $3,050, and $3,080. If the downtrend continues, support levels to watch are $2,950, $2,920, $2,880, and $2,800. Technical indicators like MACD and RSI suggest bearish momentum remains. XRP broke below $1.95, with its price falling to around $1.855. Key resistance levels are at $1.90, $1.92, and $1.95. If it fails to rebound, further decline toward $1.82 or even $1.765 is possible. In contrast, RATS shows strength with three consecutive bullish daily candles, forming a W-pattern. A pullback to around $0.000035 may present a buying opportunity, with a potential rise toward $0.00005. MERL surged 17%, possibly due to low-liquidity manipulation. A short position around $0.46-$0.48 is suggested, with downside targets at $0.40 or even $0.35. ASTER dipped to $0.765 but quickly recovered. It may be forming a descending wedge—wait for a clearer bottom signal before entering. FOLKS shows a pump-and-dump pattern, with a gradual decline after a sharp rise. A low-leverage long-term short position could be profitable. Overall, major coins like ETH and XRP remain bearish short-term. RATS offers a potential long opportunity on dips, while MERL and FOLKS may be suited for short strategies. ASTER require...

The crypto space is experiencing "polar opposites" again! ETH and XRP are diving along with Bitcoin, while some altcoins are surging wildly and others are setting traps. Let's break it down one by one to avoid pitfalls and seize opportunities~Free group access +Q:3260353596

? ETH: Drops 5%, Breaks Below 3000! $2920 Becomes the Lifeline

Ethereum really couldn't hold up this time. After failing to defend $3150, it plunged straight down, breaking through the $3120, $3050, and $3000 support levels, hitting a low of $2916. It's now hovering below $3000 and has fallen below the 100-hour moving average. The bearish momentum is strong.

Want a rebound? It must first break through 3 hurdles:

First hurdle: $2980, any minor rise might face resistance here;

Second hurdle: $3050 (the 50% retracement level of the previous decline);

The tough one is $3080. Only a break above this could target $3120 and $3175.

If the rebound fails, watch these support levels closely: $2950→$2920→$2880→$2800. If $2920 doesn't hold, a deeper decline is highly probable. Technical indicators are also weak: MACD is strengthening in the bearish zone, RSI is below 50, and the downward momentum hasn't stopped.

? XRP: Crashes Through 1.95! $1.85 Hangs by a Thread

XRP just attempted a rebound at $2.02 but was immediately beaten back down, breaking below $2.00 and $1.95, hitting a low of $1.855. It now can't even hold $1.90 or the 100-hour moving average. A bearish trendline has formed on the hourly chart, with resistance pressing down at $1.980.

Key levels for a rebound are: $1.90→$1.92→$1.95. Only by stabilizing above $1.92 is there hope to charge towards $1.98 and $2.05. If it can't break above $1.90, watch the support level at $1.855 closely. A break below that targets $1.82 and $1.765. MACD is accelerating in the bearish zone, RSI is below 50, short-term bias remains bearish.Free group access +Q:3260353596

? RATS: 3 Consecutive Green Candles, Strong Rise! Buy Opportunity Around 0.000035

Contrary to the major coins, RATS has been strengthening against the trend recently, with 3 consecutive green daily candles and a W-bottom pattern forming. MACD is above the zero axis, and momentum is increasing. It's highly likely to fill the upper wick next and challenge the resistance around $0.00005.

Trading suggestion: On a short-term pullback to around $0.000035, those who like trading swings can buy spot with a small position. Take profit near $0.00005. Good risk-reward ratio~Free group access +Q:3260353596

⚠️ MERL: Hard Pump of 17% Luring Bulls! Short on Rallies at 0.46-0.48

MERL's move is too obvious – a 17% pump in 24 hours to $0.48, now struggling around $0.46-$0.47. This is purely the whales pumping in a low liquidity window to trap bulls.

I'm bearish! The likely script is "expected selling pressure → slow grinding bottom → panic dump". I suggest shorting on rallies near $0.46-$0.48 directly. Don't wait for the whales to paint a big green candle to lure the last batch of bulls. Short-term target first at $0.4, a drop to $0.35 is also possible.Free group access +Q:3260353596

? ASTER: Wicked Down to 0.765 and Recovered! Wait for Buying Opportunity

ASTER wicked down to $0.765 and immediately recovered,正好踩在 0.618 Fib level (though opening wicks have limited reference value). It now looks like it might be forming a falling wedge. Need to observe if the base is stable.

Those not in yet, don't rush. No need to chase the high. Wait to buy near the bottom before acting. Adjust strategy随时 as needed to avoid getting trapped by wicks.

? FOLKS: Pump then Grind Down! Low Leverage Long-term Short Opportunity

FOLKS is truly "heaven one moment, hell the next". After a sharp pump, it started grinding down relentlessly. Many new contract coins play this trick.

Trading suggestion: After the top appears, you can go short with low leverage for the long term. If you can hold, the returns could be high! Once this grinding downtrend forms, it's hard to reverse短期内. Don't worry about missing out.Free group access +Q:3260353596

Summary: ETH, XRP are short-term bearish, watch key support levels and don't blindly buy the dip; RATS can be bought on pullbacks, MERL is a suggested short, ASTER watch and wait, FOLKS suitable for low leverage long shorts. The crypto space is severely fragmented right now. Don't be greedy, focus on 1-2 targets~

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Domande pertinenti

QWhat are the key resistance levels for ETH to watch for a potential rebound according to the article?

AThe key resistance levels for ETH are $2980 (first level), $3050 (50% retracement of the previous decline), and $3080. A break above $3080 could push the price toward $3120 and $3175.

QWhy does the article suggest a short opportunity for MERL around $0.46-$0.48?

AThe article suggests shorting MERL because it believes the 17% pump to $0.48 was a low-liquidity manipulation by whales to lure in buyers, and it expects a pattern of 'expected selling pressure → slow grinding bottom → panic sell-off' to follow.

QWhat pattern did RATS form that indicates a potential rise to $0.00005?

ARATS formed a 'W-bottom' pattern on the daily chart and showed three consecutive bullish candles, with the MACD moving above the zero axis, indicating strong momentum and a potential rise to the $0.00005 resistance level.

QWhat is the critical support level for XRP that, if broken, could lead to further decline?

AThe critical support level for XRP is $1.855. If this level is broken, the price could fall further toward $1.82 and then $1.765.

QWhat trading strategy does the article recommend for FOLKS after its pump and subsequent decline?

AThe article recommends a low-leverage, long-term short position for FOLKS after its pump, as it believes the consistent downtrend is unlikely to reverse quickly, making it a high-potential profit opportunity for patient traders.

Letture associate

Bitcoin Miners Are Waving the White Flag, But Their Stocks Are Soaring

Bitcoin miners are capitulating as evidenced by a sustained drop in network hash rate and a record-steep 19.9% decline in mining difficulty, signaling the shuttering of unprofitable machines. However, in a significant divergence from historical patterns, the stocks of publicly traded mining companies have soared, with one major player gaining over 430% in the past year, even as BTC's price fell roughly 46%. This surge is largely attributed to these companies pivoting toward the more lucrative AI narrative. Simultaneously, miners face a structural squeeze. Daily block reward revenue in BTC terms has hit a new all-time low following the latest halving, with current dollar-denominated daily revenue around $30 million compared to a longer-term average of ~$40 million. Fee revenue remains negligible, covering less than one block's subsidy over a 28-day average and accounting for only about ten minutes of the network's daily security budget. This capitulation cycle is unique: miner stress and crypto price weakness have decoupled due to alternative revenue streams (AI), while the long-term reliance on increasing bitcoin prices to offset shrinking subsidies continues, with fee income still far from filling the impending gap.

marsbit2 min fa

Bitcoin Miners Are Waving the White Flag, But Their Stocks Are Soaring

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Will the Fed Definitely Raise Interest Rates in September? How Will Crypto and U.S. Stocks Withstand the Pressure?

The market's expectation for a September Fed rate hike surged dramatically in early August, jumping from under 50% to over 80% within a week. This shift followed a contentious July FOMC meeting, where a 9-3 vote to hold rates revealed growing dissent from hawkish members advocating for an immediate hike to combat persistent inflation. The primary catalyst for this repricing is rising oil prices, driven by renewed geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, which threaten global supply. Energy costs directly influence inflation metrics, making the upcoming July CPI report (due August 12th) a critical data point. If it shows inflation reaccelerating, the probability of a September hike will solidify. For Bitcoin and crypto assets, this is typically bearish news. Bitcoin continues to behave as a high-beta, liquidity-sensitive risk asset. A rate hike raises the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets and could drive capital toward money markets, pressuring crypto prices in the short term. However, historical patterns suggest that if a hike is perceived as the end of a tightening cycle rather than the start, any negative price impact may be brief. U.S. stocks, particularly crypto-linked equities like Coinbase and growth-oriented tech stocks, are also vulnerable. Higher rates increase discount rates in valuation models, putting pressure on high-multiple companies. This coincides with a pivotal tech earnings season where investor focus has shifted from massive AI capital expenditure to tangible revenue and cash flow generation. Companies with negative cash flow and weak growth narratives could face heightened volatility if borrowing costs rise in September. In summary, a September Fed hike has evolved into a mainstream market scenario. Key factors to watch are oil prices, the July CPI report, and Fed communications, which will determine the final decision and its impact on volatile crypto and equity markets.

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A 'Overlooked' Market Event: Joint US-Japan-South Korea Intervention, Rare US Treasury Involvement, and Bessent's Quiet 'Market Rescue'?

Summary: The United States, Japan, and South Korea executed their largest coordinated foreign exchange intervention in nearly 30 years. The action targeted depreciation pressure on the Japanese yen and South Korean won. This move is seen as a significant effort by the US to stabilize the financial markets of its key allies and prevent the spillover of risks. Key details: * Japan reportedly intervened on July 30 using approximately 8.45 trillion yen (about $52.8 billion). South Korean authorities also intervened that day, selling dollars to support the won. * Notably, the US Treasury Department intervened directly in yen markets for the first time in roughly 30 years. The New York Fed, reportedly acting on behalf of the Treasury, sold euros to buy yen via Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on July 31. Analysts view the use of the euro-yen pair as a way to alleviate yen pressure without adding selling pressure to the US dollar. * Prior to the action, the New York Fed conducted "rate checks" on both USD/JPY and EUR/JPY, a newer signaling tool that falls between verbal and physical intervention. The intervention is interpreted as going beyond traditional currency stabilization. Analysts, such as Michael Hartnett of Bank of America, suggest it resembles a "Price Keeping Operation" for the AI era. The core US objectives are perceived to be: 1. Preventing rapid yen depreciation from triggering a sharp rise in Japanese government bond yields. 2. Containing financial stress from spreading across Asian markets like South Korea and Japan. 3. Reducing the risk of disorderly capital flows impacting the US bond market. This coordinated action underscores the importance of Japan and South Korea as critical partners in the US semiconductor and AI supply chain. Stabilizing their financial markets is seen as vital to mitigating risks to the broader tech industry and the US market itself. The intervention coincides with market pressures, including the KOSDAQ index hitting a low since October 2022. While seen as a move to control volatility, some analysts caution it may not fundamentally reverse existing market trends.

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A 'Overlooked' Market Event: Joint US-Japan-South Korea Intervention, Rare US Treasury Involvement, and Bessent's Quiet 'Market Rescue'?

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Will the Federal Reserve Definitely Raise Interest Rates in September? How Will Cryptocurrencies and US Stocks Bear the Pressure?

In early August 2024, market expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate hike surged dramatically, from below 50% to over 80%, driven by renewed inflation concerns. This shift followed a contentious July FOMC meeting where a 9-3 vote to hold rates revealed a growing hawkish faction advocating for an immediate hike, citing prolonged above-target inflation. The key catalyst is escalating conflict near the Strait of Hormuz, which has pushed oil prices up approximately 20% in July, threatening to reignite inflation. The next critical data point is the July CPI report on August 12th; a hot reading could solidify hike expectations. For crypto assets, particularly Bitcoin, this represents near-term pressure. Bitcoin continues to exhibit high-beta, risk-on characteristics, making it sensitive to tightening liquidity and higher opportunity costs. However, historical precedent suggests that if a hike is perceived as the cycle's end rather than its start, the negative impact may be brief, with markets quickly pivoting to anticipate future rate cuts. U.S. stocks, especially crypto-linked equities like Coinbase and high-valuation tech stocks, face amplified volatility. Higher rates increase discount rates in valuation models, pressuring growth stocks. This coincides with a pivotal tech earnings season where investor focus has shifted from massive AI capital expenditures to demonstrable revenue and cash flow generation. Companies with negative cash flows and weak growth narratives could see severe pressure if a September hike materializes, as financing costs would rise. Key indicators to watch include oil prices, upcoming inflation data, and Fed commentary at events like the Jackson Hole symposium.

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How Likely is it for TradeXYZ to Go Solo from Hyperliquid?

The article analyzes the possibility of TradeXYZ, a dominant project on Hyperliquid's HIP-3 real-world asset (RWA) perpetual contracts market, splitting off to build its own independent trading platform. With TradeXYZ commanding over 90% of HIP-3 volume and over 35% of Hyperliquid's total open interest, its leverage and influence are significant. The primary motive for a split is seen as capturing the underlying protocol fees, of which TradeXYZ currently receives only half. However, several factors strongly discourage such a move. First, replicating Hyperliquid's high-performance infrastructure would be challenging and could degrade TradeXYZ's product quality. Second, Hyperliquid serves as a crucial distribution channel, with most users accessing TradeXYZ's liquidity through its frontend. Third, the close, trusting relationship between the founders of both projects makes a hostile "betrayal" unlikely. The conclusion is that a split would likely result in a lose-lose scenario. Hyperliquid would lose its main growth narrative and see its valuation impacted, while TradeXYZ would face immense technical hurdles, lose its primary user channel, and damage its reputation. Instead of a full separation, the more probable path is for TradeXYZ to negotiate better terms while deepening integration, focusing on enhancing its own brand and user ownership.

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How Likely is it for TradeXYZ to Go Solo from Hyperliquid?

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Come comprare RATS

Benvenuto in HTX.com! Abbiamo reso l'acquisto di RATS (RATS) (RATS) semplice e conveniente. Segui la nostra guida passo passo per intraprendere il tuo viaggio nel mondo delle criptovalute.Step 1: Crea il tuo Account HTXUsa la tua email o numero di telefono per registrarti il tuo account gratuito su HTX. Vivi un'esperienza facile e sblocca tutte le funzionalità,Crea il mio accountStep 2: Vai in Acquista crypto e seleziona il tuo metodo di pagamentoCarta di credito/debito: utilizza la tua Visa o Mastercard per acquistare immediatamente RATS (RATS)RATS.Bilancio: Usa i fondi dal bilancio del tuo account HTX per fare trading senza problemi.Terze parti: abbiamo aggiunto metodi di pagamento molto utilizzati come Google Pay e Apple Pay per maggiore comodità.P2P: Fai trading direttamente con altri utenti HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): Offriamo servizi su misura e tassi di cambio competitivi per i trader.Step 3: Conserva RATS (RATS) (RATS)Dopo aver acquistato RATS (RATS) (RATS), conserva nel tuo account HTX. In alternativa, puoi inviare tramite trasferimento blockchain o scambiare per altre criptovalute.Step 4: Scambia RATS (RATS) (RATS)Scambia facilmente RATS (RATS) (RATS) nel mercato spot di HTX. Accedi al tuo account, seleziona la tua coppia di trading, esegui le tue operazioni e monitora in tempo reale. Offriamo un'esperienza user-friendly sia per chi ha appena iniziato che per i trader più esperti.

317 Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2024.12.12Aggiornato il 2026.06.02

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