Lighter drops 14% after losing $2 support – More pain ahead for LIT?

ambcryptoPubblicato 2026-01-15Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-01-15

Introduzione

LIT has experienced significant bearish pressure, dropping 14% to $1.86 after losing the crucial $2 support level. The decline intensified following a rejection at $3.2, extending a week-long downtrend. Despite the negative price action, Lighter launched LIT staking, which quickly attracted 10% of the circulating supply. Analysts are divided on the impact: some see it as a bullish development due to potential fee revenue, while others warn it could increase selling pressure as users withdraw from liquidity pools to buy and stake LIT. On-chain data reveals substantial losses for whales, including one with a $2.84 million unrealized loss on a leveraged long position. Liquidations have surged, with $8.7 million total liquidated recently. Technical indicators like the Stochastic RSI (2.3) and RSI (44) suggest strong seller dominance. If selling continues, LIT could fall toward $1.5; a demand recovery, potentially from staking, could push it back to $2.6.

Since it touched a high of $4.5, Lighter has experienced massive downside pressure. A week ago, the altcoin attempted an upside movement but was met with a sharp rejection at $3.2.

As a result, the altcoin’s downside pressure intensified, breaching the $2 support level. As of this writing, Lighter [LIT] traded at $1.86, down 14.31% on daily charts, extending a week-long bearish pressure.

Lighter debuts staking of LIT

Despite prevailing market conditions, Lighter expanded its market reach by launching staking for LIT on Lighter.

According to the team, users who have staked LIT will have access to the Lighter Liquidity Pool (LLP). Also, for every 1 LIT staked, 10 USDC will be deposited into the LLP.

Thus, the ecosystem will see improvements in the gap between LIT and LLP holders, thereby effectively adjusting risk-adjusted returns.

Most importantly, staking LIT on Lighter will earn yield, thereby incentivizing market players to continue staking.

Interestingly, just a few hours after staking went live, the demand for the services surged significantly. According to Oxjermo, after staking went live on Lighter, the amount staked jumped to 10% of the total circulating supply.

Coupled with that, analysts have experienced different opinions following the launch. One such analyst was Thor, who posited that LIT staking will be a bullish addition, as revenue will rise as MMS pays higher trading fees.

At the same time, the analyst noted that staking could put higher bearish pressure on LIT. This could be the case with TVL facing increased outflows as holders seek to withdraw and buy LIT.

Despite the launch, the market’s bearish trend has continued, as LLP holders withdrew to purchase LIT tokens.

Lighter whale sits on $2.84 million unrealized loss

As Lighter downside momentum persisted, LIT dropped below $2, and whales’ futures losses rose significantly.

According to Onchain Lens, a whale holding a LIT (3x) long position is now having a floating loss of over $2.84 million.

If the whale chooses to sell at the current rate, he will take losses, and if he continues to hold, a forced liquidation could come his way.

Another whale also faced the same fate. This whale partially liquidated its LIT (1x) long position, resulting in a $509K loss, according to Onchain Lens.

Despite the rising liquidation threat, this whale still holds the position with the next liquidation price of $1.49.

Interestingly, these two whales are not isolated cases, as liquidations, especially for longs, have surged significantly.

On January 15, Lighter saw $2.17 million in long positions liquidated, bringing the total liquidated to $8.7 million.

Is LIT on the verge of more losses?

Lighter fell on its price charts as investors across the markets panicked and closed positions after a drop below $2.

As a result, the downward momentum strengthened even further. In fact, its Stochastic RSI fell further into the oversold zone, sitting at 2.3 as of this writing.

At the same time, the altcoins’ Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 44, after making a bearish crossover days ago.

With these momentum indicators deep in the bearish zone, they suggested seller dominance and heightened downside momentum.

Therefore, if sellers continue to dominate, LIT is likely to drop further towards $1.5. Conversely, if demand for LIT rebounds, driven by the staking series, it could push it back towards $2.6.


Final Thoughts

  • A Lighter whale holding a LIT (3x) long position now sits on unrealized loss of over $2.84 million.
  • LIT staked on Lighter reached a record-breaking 10% of the circulating supply hours after staking went live.

Domande pertinenti

QWhat is the current trading price of Lighter (LIT) and what is its daily percentage decline?

ALighter (LIT) is currently trading at $1.86, down 14.31% on daily charts.

QWhat new feature did Lighter recently launch and what was a significant early result of this launch?

ALighter recently launched staking for LIT. Just hours after it went live, the amount staked jumped to 10% of the total circulating supply.

QWhat is the unrealized loss for the whale holding a LIT (3x) long position?

AThe whale holding a LIT (3x) long position has an unrealized loss of over $2.84 million.

QAccording to the momentum indicators, what is the current market sentiment for LIT and what are the potential price targets?

AThe momentum indicators suggest seller dominance and heightened downside momentum. If sellers continue to dominate, LIT could drop further towards $1.5. Conversely, if demand rebounds, it could push back towards $2.6.

QHow much in long positions was liquidated on Lighter on January 15th?

AOn January 15, Lighter saw $2.17 million in long positions liquidated.

Letture associate

Computing Power Constrained, Why Did DeepSeek-V4 Open Source?

DeepSeek-V4 has been released as a preview open-source model, featuring 1 million tokens of context length as a baseline capability—previously a premium feature locked behind enterprise paywalls by major overseas AI firms. The official announcement, however, openly acknowledges computational constraints, particularly limited service throughput for the high-end DeepSeek-V4-Pro version due to restricted high-end computing power. Rather than competing on pure scale, DeepSeek adopts a pragmatic approach that balances algorithmic innovation with hardware realities in China’s AI ecosystem. The V4-Pro model uses a highly sparse architecture with 1.6T total parameters but only activates 49B during inference. It performs strongly in agentic coding, knowledge-intensive tasks, and STEM reasoning, competing closely with top-tier closed models like Gemini Pro 3.1 and Claude Opus 4.6 in certain scenarios. A key strategic product is the Flash edition, with 284B total parameters but only 13B activated—making it cost-effective and accessible for mid- and low-tier hardware, including domestic AI chips from Huawei (Ascend), Cambricon, and Hygon. This design supports broader adoption across developers and SMEs while stimulating China's domestic semiconductor ecosystem. Despite facing talent outflow and intense competition in user traffic—with rivals like Doubao and Qianwen leading in monthly active users—DeepSeek has maintained technical momentum. The release also comes amid reports of a new funding round targeting a valuation exceeding $10 billion, potentially setting a new record in China’s LLM sector. Ultimately, DeepSeek-V4 represents a shift toward open yet realistic infrastructure development in the constrained compute landscape of Chinese AI, emphasizing engineering efficiency and domestic hardware compatibility over pure model scale.

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244 Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2026.01.15Aggiornato il 2026.01.15

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Discussioni

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