How to Do Research Well: Deliberately Practice the Real Skills That Matter

marsbitPubblicato 2026-06-15Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-06-15

Introduzione

No one truly teaches you how to do research. You're often given a desk, a pre-selected problem, and vague instructions to "create something new." Consequently, many people reverse-engineer the job based on visible outputs—papers, posts, announcements—learning only how to *appear* like a researcher rather than how to *become* one. True research capability is built from stacking small, trainable skills, nearly all of which can be developed through deliberate practice. **Pick Your Own Problem:** Most researchers absorb problems from advisors or trends, lacking the underlying reasoning. Choosing a problem you genuinely care about, as John Schulman advises, leads to original work. Develop "taste" like a muscle: predict experiment outcomes, guess paper results from methods, and track which findings remain important over time. **Upgrade Your Inputs:** Relying on shared reading lists (arXiv hot lists, filtered group chats) leads to unoriginal conclusions. Undervalued old literature often holds crucial insights (e.g., MoE, LSTM, backpropagation). Richard Sutton's "The Bitter Lesson" or Claude Shannon's 1952 talk on creative thinking are more predictive than lengthy modern surveys. Breadth matters as much as depth: draw from neuroscience, mechanism design, hardware knowledge, and honest statistics. Read papers directly, especially appendices and limitations sections. **Write Everything Down:** As Paul Graham noted, writing exposes flaws in seemingly mature ideas. Writing is the chea...

No one ever really taught you how to do research. You get a desk, a problem someone else picked out, and a vague instruction to "make something new."

So most people reverse-engineer the job from what they can see—papers, posts, and announcements—and end up learning how to look like a researcher rather than how to be one. Real research ability is a stack of small skills, and almost every one of them can be cultivated through deliberate practice.

Choose Your Own Problems

Richard Hamming had a habit at Bell Labs that made him unwelcome at lunch. He would ask the person next to him what the important problems in their field were, and then ask them why they weren't working on those. People would switch tables.

The question stings because most of us don't have a good answer. We aren't choosing problems; we're absorbing them—from advisors, from last quarter's announcements by a big lab, from papers everyone is citing and sharing this week.

The trouble with absorbed problems is that you hold the conclusion but not the reasoning behind it. You know some famous lab cares about a direction, but you don't know why, what they expect to find, or what would make them abandon it.

You'll notice their pivot a year later. And on a problem that's already trending, you're racing against 1,000 people who started earlier and have more compute than you.

John Schulman's guide to ML research splits the work into two modes. In the first, you read the literature and look for things to improve. In the second, you choose an outcome you genuinely want to achieve and work backwards to design experiments.

He argues for the latter, the subtle reason being that it manufactures originality. A goal you actually care about will drag you into territory no review paper has ever covered.

As for "taste," people often discuss it as a talent. But it behaves more like a muscle.

Before running each experiment, predict its outcome; cover up a paper's results section and guess the data from its methods; note which results announced this month will still matter in two years, and later check your hit rate. One prediction plus one correction, repeated hundreds of times—every good model is trained that way, including the one in your head.

Upgrade Your Inputs

Shared reading lists produce shared ideas. If your information diet is just the arXiv trending list plus whatever filters through group chats, you'll inevitably reach the same conclusions as everyone else at the same time, making those conclusions nearly worthless.

Old material is severely undervalued. The field keeps replaying its own past with a delay: Mixture of Experts (MoE) traces back to 1991, LSTMs to 1997, backpropagation went mainstream in 1986.

Richard Sutton wrote The Bitter Lesson in 2019 in just over a thousand words, and it predicted the field's trajectory more accurately than reviews ten times its length. Claude Shannon gave a talk on creative thinking in 1952; his first move was to shrink the problem until it was almost trivial, solve the small version, then add the difficulty back bit by bit.

That single move will help you break through more walls than any modern productivity advice.

Breadth is as important as depth. Interpretability research unapologetically borrows from neuroscience; evaluation design is mechanism design in a lab coat; a practical awareness of how GPUs actually move memory lets you judge which architecture papers will fail before benchmarks are even run; and honest statistics is arguably the rarest skill in machine learning, where much published "rigor" is just "vibes with error bars."

One more thing. Read the papers themselves, not the posts that summarize them. The appendix is where secrets are buried, and the "Limitations" section is often the most honest part of the entire document.

Write Everything Down

Paul Graham observed that an idea always feels fully formed until you try to write it down. But words on a page expose the varnished-over holes in your brain: the untested assumptions, the steps that don't actually connect, the two claims that quietly contradict each other.

Feynman's rule was that the first person you must avoid fooling is yourself, because you're the easiest person to fool. Writing is the cheapest defense mechanism ever invented.

Darwin took it further and systematized it: any fact contrary to his theory was written down immediately, because he found his memory deleted inconvenient evidence far faster than favorable evidence. Your memory does the same with your failed runs.

Keep a log: hypotheses, setup, expectations, results, updated understanding. Rereading last month's entries will humble you like no reviewer ever could.

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Domande pertinenti

QWhat is the key difference between learning to 'look like' a researcher and learning to 'be' a researcher, according to the article?

ALearning to 'look like' a researcher involves reverse-engineering the work through visible outputs like papers and announcements, mimicking the surface actions. Learning to 'be' a researcher involves cultivating a stack of small, foundational skills through deliberate practice, focusing on genuine problem-solving and critical thinking rather than appearances.

QWhy does John Schulman advocate for choosing a result you truly want and working backwards, as opposed to finding gaps in the literature?

AJohn Schulman advocates for this approach because it fosters originality. A goal you genuinely care about will pull you into territory not covered by any review paper, leading to unique exploration and preventing you from merely running a crowded race against others on popular, pre-defined problems.

QAccording to the article, how can one practically develop 'taste' in research?

ATaste is developed like a muscle through deliberate, iterative practice. This includes predicting an experiment's outcome before running it, guessing a paper's results based only on its methods, noting which recent results will still be important in two years, and then verifying the accuracy of these predictions to continuously train and correct one's internal mental model.

QWhat are two specific strategies the article recommends for 'upgrading your input' as a researcher?

ATwo strategies are: 1) Valuing old literature, as the field often re-runs its past, and foundational ideas from papers, speeches, or lessons from decades ago can provide timeless insights and predictions. 2) Reading primary sources (the papers themselves, especially appendices and limitations sections) instead of relying solely on summaries or posts, and cultivating breadth in knowledge across adjacent fields.

QWhat defensive function does writing serve in the research process, as illustrated by the examples of Paul Graham and Darwin?

AWriting serves as a crucial, low-cost defense mechanism against self-deception. Paul Graham notes that writing exposes logical flaws and untested assumptions that feel complete in one's mind. Darwin programmatically wrote down facts contradicting his theory to prevent his memory from conveniently forgetting unfavorable evidence, a practice that applies equally to documenting experimental failures and flawed hypotheses.

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Why Is AI Agent Shopping Hard to Popularize?

The article argues that the popular narrative of "AI agent shopping" – equipping AI with a wallet to autonomously handle purchases – is fundamentally flawed and oversimplifies the complexity of shopping. It deconstructs shopping into two core actions: **information retrieval** (standardized, easily automated) and **value judgment** (deeply subjective and human-centric). The narrative mistakenly assumes AI can fully handle both. Value judgment itself has two layers: **evaluation** (assessing options against criteria) and **demand definition** (setting the criteria, weights, and values). The latter is inherently human and dynamic, as preferences are not fixed but constructed during the decision-making process ("constructive preferences"). The real dividing line for automation is not product standardization, but whether the **act of choosing** itself holds experiential value. For mundane purchases (e.g., printer paper), full AI delegation works. For experiential goods (e.g., wine, furniture), the joy of selection is core to consumption, so AI should act as an assistant that narrows options, leaving the final choice to humans. The "AI wallet" concept confuses three separate elements: decision-making, execution, and fund custody. Current payment industry solutions (e.g., from Stripe, Mastercard, Google, Visa) show that limited, scoped payment authorization tokens are sufficient for most consumer scenarios, not full fund custody. The true use case for autonomous AI wallets is in **B2B procurement** and **machine-to-machine (M2M) settlements** for standardized, high-frequency, low-value transactions. The real bottlenecks for AI shopping are not payment technology, but **1) the lack of trusted data sources** (e.g., fake reviews, counterfeit goods) and **2) the impossibility of automating human demand definition**. The conclusion is that the focus should be on safely automating the assessment and filtering process while reserving for humans the rights to define their criteria and enjoy the final act of choice. For experiential goods, the platform's competitive advantage shifts to providing a superior selection experience.

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After Nine Months of Shorting, a Full Turn to Long: Renowned Trader Opens Bitcoin Positions Around 64K, Crypto Market Long-Short Divergence Intensifies

After nine months of being short, prominent crypto trader Doctor Profit has closed all his bearish positions and started buying Bitcoin near $64,000, signaling a complete bullish reversal. He argues that structural market changes—such as impending U.S. regulation (CLARITY Act) and institutional adoption via securities tokenization—are rewriting the traditional four-year cycle script, potentially bringing the market bottom forward from the widely expected September/October timeframe. This view finds some technical support from on-chain analyst gumsays, who notes a bullish divergence on Bitcoin's weekly chart has persisted for 147 days, nearing the 161-day duration seen before the 2022 cycle low. However, cycle researcher Jake Pahor presents a counter-argument based on historical data. Analyzing patterns since 2014, he identifies three common features of past bear market bottoms: a ~12-month duration from peak to trough, a sustained period of extreme fear (with a proprietary risk score below 20), and the price falling below Bitcoin's realized price (~$53,000 currently). The current cycle, only nine months from its October 2025 peak, meets none of these conditions. The debate highlights a market torn between "front-running" a potential early bottom driven by new fundamentals and waiting for confirmation through traditional on-chain and sentiment metrics. While Doctor Profit opts for aggressive buying, Pahor maintains a disciplined, tiered accumulation strategy, continuing weekly buys at current risk levels but reserving larger orders for if more extreme fear emerges.

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Senior Trader's Confession: How to Trade Market's False Expectations?

Veteran trader's case study: trading the market's "wrong expectations". This trade centered on a textbook "expectation error" after a weak CPI report. While the market initially priced in broad monetary easing (sending Nasdaq to 30,060), the crucial 30-year real yield hit a 20-year high. This signaled a fractured transmission mechanism: short-term rates eased, but long-term funding costs (vital for tech valuations) refused to fall. The trader executed five short positions on the Nasdaq (NQ) as it fell from 30,060 to 28,768. The core methodology: don't just trade the data, but analyze the market's implied causal chain and identify where it breaks. In this case, the chain was: Weak CPI → Policy Easing → Lower Long-Term Funding Costs → NQ Valuation Expansion. The break occurred between policy easing and long-term rates. The "veto variable" – long-term real yields – refused to confirm the bullish narrative. Trades were structured around "fast variables" (price) temporarily repairing while "slow variables" (funding conditions) remained broken. The article outlines a repeatable framework: 1) Map the market's implied causal chain. 2) Identify the veto variable. 3) Observe if it rejects the narrative. 4) Enter when price still follows the old script. 5) Choose the cleanest asset expression (e.g., short NQ, not broad S&P). 6) Define both invalidation and fulfillment exit conditions. The key insight: Alpha often comes not from an information edge, but from a "reaction function edge" – recognizing when the market is applying an outdated causal logic to new data. The critical question: What causal chain is the market's first reaction relying on, and is that chain still valid today?

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