Has An Alt Season Begun? Here’s What The Altcoin Season Index Says

bitcoinistPubblicato 2026-06-03Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-06-03

Introduzione

The recent rally in some altcoins and Ethereum's recovery have sparked speculation about the start of an altcoin season. However, data from the Altcoin Season Index suggests otherwise. Currently scoring only 36 out of 100, the index indicates the market is not in an alt season, which typically requires a score above 75. This score reflects that less than 75% of the top 100 altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin over the past 90 days. Furthermore, Bitcoin's market dominance has risen to around 59.88%, contradicting the decline expected during an alt season. The analysis concludes that current altcoin gains are likely isolated rallies, not a broad market shift. For a true alt season to begin, Ethereum would need to consistently outperform Bitcoin, and altcoin dominance would have to rise significantly.

Recently, there have been rallies across some altcoins, with Ethereum seeing some recovery as well, pushing the idea of an alt season. With the likes of Hyperliquid pumping to new all-time highs, this has propelled some of the top 100 altcoins by market cap to surpass Bitcoin’s performance during this time. As more altcoins continue to outperform, does this mean that another alt season has begun? This report takes a look at what the data says.

Altcoin Season Index Sitting At A Score Of 36

The Altcoin Season Index has historically been the index that tells when the crypto market has entered an alt season. According to the index, it measures the performance of the top 100 altcoins against that of Bitcoin over a 90-day period and then plots this across a score of 1-100 to show when the market has entered into an alt season.

Historically, the higher the score goes, the more the likelihood that the crypto market is experiencing an alt season. Usually, this means that the Bitcoin outperformance has stalled, and its dominance over the rest of the crypto market has dropped drastically.

Presently, the Altcoin Season Index is reading at a score of 36, according to data from the Coinglass website. Also, the Bitcoin dominance began to recover again during the weekend, rising above 59.88% by the time Sunday rolls around. Naturally, neither of these bodes well for an alt season.

Dissecting The Data For An Alt Season

With the Altcoin Season Index sitting this low at 36, it means that the market is not actually experiencing an alt season. Usually, an alt season would begin with the score sitting above 75. This would mean that 75% of the top 100 altcoins are performing better than Bitcoin in a 3-month timeframe to make this happen.

Additionally, the Bitcoin dominance over the crypto market has continued to rise instead of dropping. This is a sign that the market is actually not moving into an altcoin season. This would only happen when the Bitcoin dominance begins to crash, and the altcoin dominance starts to rise.

Given the data, it suggests that the rallies of some altcoins are only spot rallies. Ethereum is also underperforming compared to Bitcoin during this time, and being the historical leader of the altcoin season, Ethereum would have to begin outperforming Bitcoin to trigger the next alt season.

Altcoin market cap falters | Source: Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC on TradingView.com

Domande pertinenti

QWhat is the current score of the Altcoin Season Index according to the article?

AThe current score of the Altcoin Season Index is 36.

QAccording to the Altcoin Season Index, what score is usually required to indicate the beginning of an alt season?

AAn alt season would usually begin when the Altcoin Season Index score sits above 75.

QWhat does the data suggest about the recent rallies in some altcoins?

AThe data suggests that the recent rallies of some altcoins are only spot rallies and do not signify the start of an alt season.

QWhat trend in Bitcoin dominance is observed, and what does it indicate regarding an alt season?

ABitcoin dominance has continued to rise instead of dropping. This indicates that the market is not moving into an altcoin season, which typically happens when Bitcoin dominance crashes and altcoin dominance rises.

QWhat role does Ethereum play historically in triggering an alt season, and what is its current performance?

AEthereum is the historical leader of the altcoin season. Currently, it is underperforming compared to Bitcoin. For the next alt season to be triggered, Ethereum would need to begin outperforming Bitcoin.

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Bitcoin market analysis for Week 19 indicates a phase of consolidation and weakening near-term momentum. Overhead supply is capping price gains, evidenced by declines in price momentum, net buying pressure, and trading activity. Futures markets show increased speculative interest but also strong sell-side pressure. Options data reflects a cautious outlook with heightened perceived risk. Traditional finance signals are mixed: U.S. Spot ETFs saw significant net outflows and lower volume, suggesting softer institutional demand and potential profit-taking. However, on-chain activity shows a rise in daily active addresses, indicating steady user engagement. Overall, liquidity and positioning metrics point to a relatively stable market structure with easing bearish pressure, balancing weaker institutional flows with gradually improving sentiment.

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BTC Market Pulse: Week 22

Bitcoin experienced a week of consolidation and moderated activity. The price fell from around $79K to $74K before recovering to $77K, with overall momentum declining, reflecting softer price action. However, some metrics signaled a balancing sentiment: spot and perpetual Cumulative Volume Deltas increased, suggesting selling pressure may be easing. Trading activity cooled, with spot volume and futures open interest declining, pointing to reduced speculative appetite. Contrasting signals emerged in sentiment. Long-side funding payments surged significantly, indicating strong demand for bullish exposure. In options markets, there was slightly greater demand for downside protection. US spot ETF netflows improved, hinting at stabilizing capital flows, though trade volume fell. On-chain network activity showed minor reductions, hinting at a consolidation phase. Liquidity metrics suggested a more stable market with higher conviction among holders. However, profitability metrics flagged potential stress, with an increase in loss realization compared to profit-taking, indicating a cautious and potentially bearish undercurrent. In summary, the market displayed mixed signals: reduced volatility and speculative activity alongside a complex blend of stabilizing flows, cautious sentiment, and emerging but selective risk appetite.

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BTC Market Pulse: Week 20

Bitcoin climbed from the high-$77Ks to low-$82Ks last week, with buyers absorbing pullbacks despite cooling momentum near highs. Spot metrics show strong bullish conviction and higher volume, though moderated price momentum hints at potential stabilization. Futures activity indicates increased speculative risk appetite but a decline in long-side funding suggests waning bullish sentiment. Options data points to neutral-to-bullish expectations but with high priced-in risk, signaling uncertainty. On-chain fundamentals strengthened, with rises in active addresses, transfer volume, and fees, reflecting greater network engagement and user activity. Liquidity stabilized with reduced immediate sell pressure and modest net capital inflows. Profitability improved, though the supply in profit remains below heavy profit-taking levels, indicating measured optimism. Overall, Bitcoin's market structure is improving with stronger on-chain activity, healthier profitability, and stable holder positioning. While bullish undertones are building, softer capital inflows and cautious sentiment suggest the market remains sensitive to shifts in risk appetite.

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