Greatest Wealth Transfer Is about To Happen For Altcoins, Analyst Warns

bitcoinistPubblicato 2026-03-28Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-03-28

Introduzione

An analyst warns that a major wealth transfer to altcoins may be imminent, despite their underperformance in the last bull run. Altcoins have been consolidating within a large wedge pattern since 2018, including during the 2021-2022 rally. The analyst, Cryptollica, suggests the altcoin market bottomed in 2025 and is poised for a breakout, predicting a potential 500% surge that could propel assets like Ethereum and Solana to new all-time highs. However, the Altcoin Season Index remains neutral at 50, well below the 75 threshold indicating a true altcoin season. With Bitcoin dominance still high at 58.8%, a full altcoin season typically requires a further drop in Bitcoin's market share.

One part of the last bull run that disappointed investors was the fact that altcoins seemed to completely fall behind against Bitcoin. Going by previous bull markets, the expectation was that altcoins would rally once the Bitcoin price topped, leading to the legendary ‘altcoin season.’ While there has been nothing like that since then, many in the space have still not given up hope of an altcoin season, predicting that it is only a matter of time before altcoins rally again.

Altcoins Are Getting Ready To Take Off

Crypto analyst Cryptollica shared a chart showing that altcoins have actually been trading in an interesting trend for a while. According to the post, these cryptocurrencies have been compressing inside a massive wedge, and this did not begin recently.

Cryptollica pointed out that the total altcoin market cap has actually been compressed inside this massive wedge since 2018. This would mean that it has been this way for more than seven years, and that even the explosive altcoin season that was experienced in 2021-2022 also happened inside of this massive wedge.

Using the same trend over the years, the crypto analyst point out that the altcoin market has actually bottomed back in 2025. A similar trend was seen in early 2021, after which followed a legendary altcoin season that saw various altcoins hitting multiple new all-time highs at rapid speed.

If the crypto analyst is correct and the altcoin market is about to break out of this wedge, then it would be very bullish for price. The analyst predicts an over 500% increase, which would mean the likes of Ethereum, Solana, and other altcoins would be hitting new all-time highs.

Source: X

Altcoin Season Index Stays Neutral

The Altcoin Season Index measures how the top 100 altcoins are performing against Bitcoin. The more of the altcoins are performing better than Bitcoin, the higher the chances that the market is experiencing an altcoin season. This index charts the performance on a scale of 1-100, and in an altcoin season, the index sits above 75.

Presently, the index is sitting at 50, which means that altcoin season is still not here. The Bitcoin dominance has since dropped below 60%, but remains quite high at 58.8%. Hence, it is unlikely that the altcoin season is starting now. This is because an altcoin season usually happens when the Bitcoin dominance drops.

Altcoin market cap still below $3 billion | Source: Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC on TradingView.com

Crypto di tendenza

Domande pertinenti

QAccording to the analyst Cryptollica, what pattern has the total altcoin market cap been trading in since 2018?

AThe total altcoin market cap has been compressing inside a massive wedge pattern since 2018.

QWhat does the current Altcoin Season Index reading of 50 indicate about the market?

AAn Altcoin Season Index reading of 50 indicates that an altcoin season is not currently happening, as the index needs to be above 75 to signal an altcoin season.

QWhat is the predicted percentage increase for the altcoin market if it breaks out of the wedge, according to the analyst?

AThe analyst predicts an over 500% increase for the altcoin market if it breaks out of the wedge.

QWhat is the relationship between Bitcoin dominance and the start of an altcoin season, as mentioned in the article?

AAn altcoin season usually happens when the Bitcoin dominance drops, as it indicates that altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin.

QWhat significant event does the analyst compare the current altcoin bottom to, suggesting a similar outcome could happen?

AThe analyst compares the current altcoin market bottom to the one seen in early 2021, which was followed by a legendary altcoin season where many altcoins rapidly hit new all-time highs.

Letture associate

In Jinjiang, Fujian, a Storage Super Unicorn Lies Quiet

In Fujian's Jinjiang, a city known for sportswear, lies a quiet semiconductor giant: Fujian Jinhua Integrated Circuit Co. (JHICC). Once a promising domestic DRAM manufacturer alongside Yangtze Memory and ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), its journey was derailed in 2018 when the U.S. placed it on an Entity List and filed criminal charges for alleged trade secret theft. This halted production for years. A turning point came in February 2024 when a U.S. federal court found JHICC not guilty. However, it had lost crucial time. While CXMT soared to become a top-valued A-share company in 2024, JHICC, with an estimated valuation of 80 billion RMB, was just restarting. Its current output is primarily customized DDR4 chips, not the advanced DDR5/HBM demanded for AI, but it still benefits from the broader memory chip upcycle. JHICC's story is tied to Chen Zhengkun, a veteran engineer who left Micron to lead the venture. Founded in 2016 with state-backed funding, JHICC partnered with Taiwan's UMC to develop DRAM technology. Rapid progress was cut short by the U.S. actions, which Micron initiated, partly due to its heavy reliance on the Chinese market. Post-sanctions, Chen's team worked to rebuild the production line with reduced reliance on U.S. technology. According to its records, JHICC achieved small-scale production and revenue growth under immense pressure. It now focuses on the stable "niche" DRAM market (e.g., TVs, routers) with a monthly capacity of ~40,000 wafers, aiming for 60,000 by 2026. It holds over 1,000 patents but remains on the Entity List. For Jinjiang, investing in JHICC was a bold industrial leap. The local government provided unwavering financial and logistical support during the crisis, helping the company survive. JHICC has become the anchor for a growing local semiconductor cluster. Though its scale lags behind domestic peers, JHICC's persistence symbolizes a hard-won foothold in a global market long dominated by Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. Having missed one boom, it seeks a place in the new AI-driven memory supercycle.

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**Summary: Key Events and Developments to Watch (August 3-9)** The upcoming week is marked by significant financial disclosures, key legislative deadlines, and notable product updates. **Major Financial Events:** Several companies are scheduled to release their Q2 2026 earnings. American Bitcoin (ABTC) will report on August 3, followed by SpaceX and Hut 8 Mining Corp. on August 4, and Circle on August 5. Notably, a significant portion of SpaceX shares (up to 12% of total shares) will be unlocked on August 6 following their earnings release. **Key Legislative Deadline:** The U.S. Senate faces an August 7 deadline to secure 60 votes for the CLARITY Act, a bipartisan bill aiming to establish a federal regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies. The Senate may hold a full vote on the bill during the week. **Economic Data:** The U.S. July Non-Farm Payrolls report will be released on August 7, providing crucial labor market data. **Technology & Product Updates:** * **Shutdowns:** DeFi portfolio tracker Zapper and wallet app Ctrl Wallet will cease operations on August 3. * **Upgrades:** LayerZero will deprecate its v1 relayers on August 3. XRP Ledger's new version 3.3.0, featuring five new functions, is expected next week. * **AI:** Elon Musk announced that the advanced Grok 4.6 AI model is set for release around August 7. * **Bitcoin:** The BIP-110 forced signaling for a potential Bitcoin network change is scheduled to begin around August 8. **Other Notable Events:** Chinese robotics firm Unitree Tech has set its preliminary price inquiry for its IPO for August 5. South Korean exchange Upbit will delist AQT and AERGO tokens on August 3.

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