From Bitcoin To Ethereum: Exchange Data Signals A Major Rotation In Trading Activity

bitcoinistPubblicato 2025-12-26Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-12-26

Introduzione

Exchange data from Alphractal indicates a significant shift in crypto trading activity, with a major rotation from Bitcoin to Ethereum. While both assets face market volatility, the number of perpetual trades for BTC has dropped sharply, with its 7-day average falling to 13 million. In contrast, Ethereum's trade count has risen, maintaining a higher 7-day average of 17.5 million. This suggests traders are pivoting towards ETH, reflecting a change in market dynamics and conviction. Bitcoin is now in a reset phase following its largest Open Interest drawdown, indicating reduced leverage and a cautious market. At the time of writing, Bitcoin traded at $88,875.

While the price of Bitcoin and Ethereum is still struggling with heightened volatility in the crypto market, the balance of trading activity among the two leading digital assets is quietly shifting. This current pivot is sighted across cryptocurrency exchanges as the number of trades displaying a distinct action.

Traders Pivoting From Bitcoin To Ethereum

Amid the ongoing volatile market phase, a growing disparity has been observed among traders of Bitcoin and Ethereum, the largest cryptocurrency assets. In the report from Alphractal, an advanced investment and on-chain data analytics platform, it appears BTC traders are gradually considering ETH.

After examining the action of investors, Alphractal revealed that the number of perpetual market trades completed for BTC across major crypto exchanges has dropped drastically, which indicates a drop in short-term activity. At the same time, the number of trades for ETH has increased as the altcoin grabs a growing share of overall trade flow, signaling renewed involvement from traders and on-chain players.

According to the platform, more trades are now being processed in ETH, putting the altcoin ahead of Bitcoin in terms of traders’ conviction. This difference reveals a shifting market dynamic in which focus and liquidity are slowly shifting from the consolidation phase of Bitcoin to the growing ecosystem and use-driven activities of Ethereum.

Source: Chart from Alphractal on X

It is worth noting that the market experienced the highest number of leveraged trades in the history of BTC between August and November. During the period, over 19 crypto exchanges, including BitMEX and HyperLiquid, recorded up to 80 million trades in a single day, marking their highest level. However, this activity has remarkably decreased, and the 7-day average is now positioned at just 13 million trades. Such a trend implies a drastic contraction in leveraged trading activity.

On the other hand, Ethereum also experienced a surge in 2025, reaching a peak of nearly 50 million trades. What is noteworthy is that the number of recent Ethereum trades is still far higher than that of BTC. Data shows that the 7-day average for ETH is about 17.5 million trades, indicating a clear divergence between the two crypto leaders.

BTC Now In A Reset Phase Following Reduced Trades

Furthermore, this demonstrates that in the perpetual futures market, BTC and ETH exhibit distinct behavioral patterns. Following the massive liquidation event in October, the market turned extremely cautious toward Bitcoin and leverage itself.

Alphractal noted that the impact of this divergence is evident in the largest Open Interest (OI) drawdown in the history of Bitcoin. In the meantime, the platform believes that Bitcoin is currently in a reset phase. Meanwhile, it will take a long time before conditions go back to normal and institutional and whale interest resumes.

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price was trading at $88,875, demonstrating a 1.33% rise in the last 24 hours. Its trading volume has also followed suit, attracting a more than 43% increase over the same time period.

BTC trading at $88,646 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Domande pertinenti

QWhat does the exchange data from Alphractal indicate about the shift in trading activity between Bitcoin and Ethereum?

AThe data indicates a major rotation in trading activity, with Bitcoin's perpetual market trades dropping drastically while Ethereum's trades have increased, signaling that traders are pivoting from Bitcoin to Ethereum.

QHow many trades did Bitcoin record at its peak between August and November, and what is its current 7-day average?

ABitcoin recorded up to 80 million trades in a single day at its peak between August and November, but its current 7-day average has dropped to just 13 million trades.

QWhat is the current 7-day average number of trades for Ethereum, and how does it compare to Bitcoin?

AThe 7-day average for Ethereum is about 17.5 million trades, which is significantly higher than Bitcoin's current average of 13 million trades.

QAccording to the article, what phase is Bitcoin currently in following the reduced trading activity?

ABitcoin is currently in a reset phase following the reduced trading activity and the largest Open Interest (OI) drawdown in its history.

QWhat was the Bitcoin price and its 24-hour performance at the time of writing?

AAt the time of writing, the Bitcoin price was trading at $88,875, demonstrating a 1.33% rise in the last 24 hours.

Letture associate

Not Speculation but a Necessity: The 4 Unique Values of Prediction Markets

Polymarket's recent $4 billion funding round and soaring valuation of $15 billion highlight the explosive growth of prediction markets, with trading volume reaching $25.7 billion in March 2026—a 10.6% monthly increase. This analysis argues that prediction markets serve critical non-speculative functions, positioning them as essential tools rather than mere gambling platforms. Prediction markets offer four unique values: entertainment consumption, insurance-like protection, risk hedging, and truth discovery. Firstly, they stimulate economic activity by engaging users in event-based betting, similar to the broader sports industry. Secondly, they act as a form of decentralized insurance, allowing users to hedge against specific, well-defined risks (e.g., weather events) transparently and without traditional overhead costs. Thirdly, institutions and individuals use these markets to hedge against geopolitical and commodity price risks, as demonstrated during the U.S.-Iran conflict and the launch of 24/7 commodity markets on platforms like Kalshi. Finally, prediction markets counter media bias by aggregating crowd-sourced information, often achieving 30% higher accuracy than surveys due to users' vested interests. Experts like Bitwise’s Jeff Park and SIG’s Jeff Yass emphasize the markets' role in risk transfer and financial innovation. As these platforms evolve, they are poised to become trillion-dollar markets, offering more reliable, decentralized mechanisms for information pricing and risk management.

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Not Speculation but a Necessity: The 4 Unique Values of Prediction Markets

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