From Bitcoin To Ethereum: Exchange Data Signals A Major Rotation In Trading Activity

bitcoinistPubblicato 2025-12-26Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-12-26

Introduzione

Exchange data from Alphractal indicates a significant shift in crypto trading activity, with a major rotation from Bitcoin to Ethereum. While both assets face market volatility, the number of perpetual trades for BTC has dropped sharply, with its 7-day average falling to 13 million. In contrast, Ethereum's trade count has risen, maintaining a higher 7-day average of 17.5 million. This suggests traders are pivoting towards ETH, reflecting a change in market dynamics and conviction. Bitcoin is now in a reset phase following its largest Open Interest drawdown, indicating reduced leverage and a cautious market. At the time of writing, Bitcoin traded at $88,875.

While the price of Bitcoin and Ethereum is still struggling with heightened volatility in the crypto market, the balance of trading activity among the two leading digital assets is quietly shifting. This current pivot is sighted across cryptocurrency exchanges as the number of trades displaying a distinct action.

Traders Pivoting From Bitcoin To Ethereum

Amid the ongoing volatile market phase, a growing disparity has been observed among traders of Bitcoin and Ethereum, the largest cryptocurrency assets. In the report from Alphractal, an advanced investment and on-chain data analytics platform, it appears BTC traders are gradually considering ETH.

After examining the action of investors, Alphractal revealed that the number of perpetual market trades completed for BTC across major crypto exchanges has dropped drastically, which indicates a drop in short-term activity. At the same time, the number of trades for ETH has increased as the altcoin grabs a growing share of overall trade flow, signaling renewed involvement from traders and on-chain players.

According to the platform, more trades are now being processed in ETH, putting the altcoin ahead of Bitcoin in terms of traders’ conviction. This difference reveals a shifting market dynamic in which focus and liquidity are slowly shifting from the consolidation phase of Bitcoin to the growing ecosystem and use-driven activities of Ethereum.

Source: Chart from Alphractal on X

It is worth noting that the market experienced the highest number of leveraged trades in the history of BTC between August and November. During the period, over 19 crypto exchanges, including BitMEX and HyperLiquid, recorded up to 80 million trades in a single day, marking their highest level. However, this activity has remarkably decreased, and the 7-day average is now positioned at just 13 million trades. Such a trend implies a drastic contraction in leveraged trading activity.

On the other hand, Ethereum also experienced a surge in 2025, reaching a peak of nearly 50 million trades. What is noteworthy is that the number of recent Ethereum trades is still far higher than that of BTC. Data shows that the 7-day average for ETH is about 17.5 million trades, indicating a clear divergence between the two crypto leaders.

BTC Now In A Reset Phase Following Reduced Trades

Furthermore, this demonstrates that in the perpetual futures market, BTC and ETH exhibit distinct behavioral patterns. Following the massive liquidation event in October, the market turned extremely cautious toward Bitcoin and leverage itself.

Alphractal noted that the impact of this divergence is evident in the largest Open Interest (OI) drawdown in the history of Bitcoin. In the meantime, the platform believes that Bitcoin is currently in a reset phase. Meanwhile, it will take a long time before conditions go back to normal and institutional and whale interest resumes.

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price was trading at $88,875, demonstrating a 1.33% rise in the last 24 hours. Its trading volume has also followed suit, attracting a more than 43% increase over the same time period.

BTC trading at $88,646 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Crypto di tendenza

Domande pertinenti

QWhat does the exchange data from Alphractal indicate about the shift in trading activity between Bitcoin and Ethereum?

AThe data indicates a major rotation in trading activity, with Bitcoin's perpetual market trades dropping drastically while Ethereum's trades have increased, signaling that traders are pivoting from Bitcoin to Ethereum.

QHow many trades did Bitcoin record at its peak between August and November, and what is its current 7-day average?

ABitcoin recorded up to 80 million trades in a single day at its peak between August and November, but its current 7-day average has dropped to just 13 million trades.

QWhat is the current 7-day average number of trades for Ethereum, and how does it compare to Bitcoin?

AThe 7-day average for Ethereum is about 17.5 million trades, which is significantly higher than Bitcoin's current average of 13 million trades.

QAccording to the article, what phase is Bitcoin currently in following the reduced trading activity?

ABitcoin is currently in a reset phase following the reduced trading activity and the largest Open Interest (OI) drawdown in its history.

QWhat was the Bitcoin price and its 24-hour performance at the time of writing?

AAt the time of writing, the Bitcoin price was trading at $88,875, demonstrating a 1.33% rise in the last 24 hours.

Letture associate

Analyst Forecasts Bitcoin's Movement in August

Analyst Forecasts Bitcoin Movement in August Bitcoin ends July under market caution due to a lack of new macroeconomic catalysts and regulatory uncertainty, according to Bitbanker analyst Andrey Poroshin. He forecasts that in August, BTC may first test the $60,000–$62,000 range before recovering to around $70,000. The analyst notes that the U.S. Federal Reserve's neutral stance provided no strong market signals, with inflation remaining above target. Currently, Bitcoin trades below the U.S. mining cost range of $73,000–$75,000, a key global profitability benchmark, though costs are lower in some countries like Russia. Significant July events include the bankruptcy of derivatives exchange BitMEX, which Poroshin views as a capitulation of weaker market participants, often preceding potential reversal zones. Retail investor activity has declined, with many placing stop orders in the $60,000–$62,000 range, where significant liquidity is concentrated and could be tested. While geopolitical factors like U.S.-Iran tensions are losing market impact, regulatory uncertainty persists as the U.S. CLARITY Act vote was postponed to September. Typically, August sees lower trading activity due to holidays, leading to more technical, less volatile price movements. Poroshin's base scenario for August is a test of $60,000–$62,000 followed by a recovery to $70,000, with more significant moves likely in September post-Fed signals and potential CLARITY Act developments. Separately, a Russian deputy finance minister stated that non-qualified investors in Russia will soon be allowed to legally purchase Bitcoin, Ethereum, and major stablecoins, with an annual limit of 300,000 rubles per intermediary.

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In Q2 2026, the blockchain industry demonstrated a divergence between market sentiment and fundamental network growth. While on-chain activity surged, network fee revenues declined due to protocol designs making block space cheaper and more abundant. Ethereum saw institutional staking reach an all-time high of 40.2 million ETH. Despite processing nearly double the transactions per second, its network revenue fell 51% YoY to $64 million, with staker yields driven primarily by consensus rewards. Solana processed nearly 10 billion transactions, but its economic value also dropped to $51 million due to reduced congestion. Notably, its real-world asset (RWA) sector boomed, with tokenized stock trading volume growing 2,479x YoY to $3.32 billion in June 2026. Hyperliquid emerged as an outlier, generating $175 million in revenue with 32% of its $652 billion trading volume from non-crypto markets like commodities. Avalanche saw transaction growth but a sharp drop in fee revenue, while focusing on sovereign L1s for enterprise use. The NEAR Protocol ecosystem shifted from gas-intensive apps to Intents-based trading and introduced a novel feature allowing users to pay for AI services via staked tokens. The Tempo network, backed by Stripe and Paradigm, processed $386 million in stablecoin transfers, including $30 million for contractor payouts by Deel. The report concludes that the industry is transitioning from high-fee speculation to a phase of mass adoption and infrastructure efficiency, where cheap block space fuels transaction growth and institutional entry.

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