Bitnomial gains CFTC approval to launch prediction markets in the US

cointelegraphPubblicato 2025-12-12Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-12-12

Introduzione

Bitnomial Clearinghouse LLC has obtained approval from the U.S. CFTC to clear fully collateralized swaps, enabling its parent company, Bitnomial, to launch prediction markets and provide clearing services to external platforms. The prediction markets will cover crypto and economic events, allowing traders to take positions on outcomes like token prices and macroeconomic data. This expands Bitnomial’s existing suite of Bitcoin and crypto derivatives products. The company’s operates as an infrastructure-only clearing provider, offering margin and settlement systems with support for both USD and cryptocurrency collateral. The approval follows recent regulatory clearance for Bitnomial to operate a CFTC-regulated spot crypto exchange. The article also notes the growing momentum of prediction markets in the U.S., highlighting platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, the latter of which recently received CFTC approval for intermediated trading platform operations.

Bitnomial Clearinghouse LLC received approval from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to clear fully collateralized swaps, enabling its parent company, Bitnomial, to launch prediction markets and offer clearing services to other platforms.

According to Friday’s announcement, Bitnomial’s prediction market will cover crypto and economic events, alongside its existing Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto derivatives products. The contracts are designed to allow traders to take positions on outcomes, such as token price levels and macroeconomic data.

The approval expands the umbrella of the trading products offered by Bitnomial. Based in Chicago, the company’s exchange and clearing arms offer perpetuals, futures, options contracts and leveraged spot trading. The company’s clearinghouse also supports crypto-based margin and settlement, allowing approved products to be margined and settled directly in digital assets.

Bitnomial president Michael Dunn said the approval allows the company to serve “both our own exchange and external partners, building a clearing network that strengthens the entire prediction market ecosystem.”

Bitnomial Clearinghouse operates as an infrastructure-only clearing provider, rather than a retail competitor, giving approved partners access to its margin and settlement systems and allowing collateral to be converted between US dollars and cryptocurrency.

The approval follows a recent green light to launch a CFTC-regulated spot cryptocurrency trading platform in the US, allowing customers to buy, sell and trade leveraged and non-leveraged crypto products on a federally supervised exchange.

Event contracts on Polymarket. Source: Polymarket

Related: Coinbase may debut prediction markets, tokenized stocks on Wednesday: Report

Polymarket gains momentum in the US

Prediction markets have emerged as a major trend in 2025. According to DefiLlama data, prediction market Kalshi has generated $5.27 billion in trading volume over the last 30 days, while blockchain-based Polymarket recorded just under $2 billion over the same time period.

Kalshi trading volume. Source: DefiLlama

In November, Polymarket received regulatory approval from the CFTC to operate an intermediated trading platform, allowing access through registered brokers under the rules governing US markets.

The approval followed the closure of an investigation in July led by the CFTC and US Department of Justice into whether Polymarket had allowed trading by US users, a probe that included an FBI search of founder Shayne Coplan’s home.

Polymarket, which settles contracts on the Polygon blockchain using the USDC (USDC) stablecoin, has also secured several partnerships in recent months, including the UFC and Zuffa boxing and fantasy sports operator PrizePicks in November.

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Letture associate

Bitcoin Withdrawals Continue: 8 Years of Storage in a Coldcard Cold Wallet Ended in Zero

Coldcard Hardware Wallet Hacked: Losses Mount Due to Vulnerable Seed Generation A critical vulnerability in Coldcard hardware wallets has led to a continued wave of fund thefts. According to Galaxy Research, the total stolen has reached 1,367.05 BTC (approx. $88.6 million) from 4,585 addresses, a significant increase from the initial 594.5 BTC reported on July 30, 2026. Most of the stolen funds remain on the attackers' addresses. The issue is not with the current firmware, which Coinkite has updated, but with seed phrases generated on vulnerable devices between March 2021 and the release of fixed firmware versions. Due to a programmer error, devices switched from using a hardware random number generator to the software-based Yasmarang generator, which was initialized with publicly accessible data like the chip's serial number. This made the seed phrases predictable through offline brute-force attacks, meaning wallets remain at risk until funds are moved to a new wallet generated with the patched firmware. Affected devices include Mk2/Mk3 with firmware 4.0.1–4.1.9 (and up to 5.0.3), Mk4/Mk5 up to version 5.6.0, and Q models up to 1.5.0Q. The only exceptions are seeds created with a high-entropy method like at least 50 independent dice rolls or a strong unique BIP-39 passphrase. All other owners must generate a new seed on the fixed firmware and transfer their assets. A case highlighting the human impact involves a 39-year-old long-term investor who lost 2 BTC (approx. $130,000) in minutes. He had accumulated the Bitcoin over eight years through physical labor, viewing it as a financial lifeline and a retirement plan in a country suffering from hyperinflation. His story underscores that even conservative "buy and hold in cold storage" strategies can be compromised by such underlying technical flaws. From a technical perspective, this incident echoes historical failures where weak random number generators undermined cryptographic security, challenging the assumption that offline storage is automatically foolproof.

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Bitcoin Withdrawals Continue: 8 Years of Storage in a Coldcard Cold Wallet Ended in Zero

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