Bitcoin Network Activity Drops to Yearly Low. What Has Changed

RBK-cryptoPubblicato 2025-12-16Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-12-16

Introduzione

Bitcoin network activity has dropped to its lowest level of the year, with the 7-day moving average of active addresses falling to 660,000. This decline is attributed to reduced activity following the peak in December 2024, which was driven by Ordinals and Runes protocols. These technologies, used for creating and trading on the Bitcoin blockchain, have shifted transaction dynamics, now accounting for most transactions but contributing only 5-10% of total fee revenue. This shift has negatively impacted miner economics. Daily miner revenue has decreased from around $50 million in Q3 to approximately $40 million, with fees making up a smaller portion of earnings (0.65% in December compared to 2.73% a year ago). Average transaction fees have also fallen to $0.48, down from $3.7 a year earlier. With block subsidies continuing to halve (currently 3.125 BTC per block until spring 2028), miner profitability is increasingly dependent on transaction fees. Fred Thiel, CEO of MARA Holdings, warned that without Bitcoin appreciating by at least 50% annually or a significant rise in network fees, traditional mining could become unprofitable in the coming years.

The number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network is currently at its lowest level of the year, noted The Block. A decline in metrics is also observed in other network indicators.

The seven-day moving average of the number of active addresses has dropped to 660,000. This is the lowest value since December 2024, when the network experienced a peak in activity related to Ordinals and Runes technologies, writes the publication. Similar NFT "Ordinals" are a method of recording data, such as images or text, directly onto individual satoshis (parts of a bitcoin), and "Runes" is a simplified protocol for issuing and trading NFTs on the Bitcoin network.

After the emergence of "Runes," the transaction structure on the Bitcoin network changed. NFT transactions now make up the majority of the total number of transactions but contribute only 5–10% of the total fee revenue.

A miner's reward consists of two parts: a subsidy for adding a new block and fees from transactions included in that block. The increase in the share of NFT transactions and the decrease in network activity have had a negative impact on mining economics.

The daily revenue of miners has decreased from an average of $50 million in the third quarter to about $40 million by the end of the year, and this revenue is almost entirely composed of block subsidies, not transaction fees. Last December, fees accounted for 2.73% of a miner's revenue, while this year it is 0.65%.

The average transaction fee on the Bitcoin network dropped to $0.48 in December. A year ago, this figure reached $3.7. Since the subsidies paid to miners for blocks continue to decrease with each halving (until spring 2028 it is 3.125 BTC per block), miners' income will increasingly depend on transaction fees.

In November, Fred Thiel, head of the largest American miner MARA Holdings, stated that the traditional Bitcoin mining model will become unprofitable in the coming years if the first cryptocurrency does not appreciate at a rate of at least 50% per year and network fees remain at the same level.

Coins of the year. How and why the Solana cryptocurrency soared and fell

MetaMask crypto wallet added Bitcoin support

The Bitcoin price fell by almost $5 thousand in a day. What happened in the crypto market

Domande pertinenti

QWhat has dropped to its lowest level in the Bitcoin network according to the article?

AThe number of active addresses in the Bitcoin network has dropped to its lowest level of the year.

QWhat two technologies were responsible for the peak in network activity in December 2024?

AThe peak in network activity in December 2024 was related to the Ordinals and Runes technologies.

QWhat is the main negative impact on mining economics mentioned in the text?

AThe increase in the share of NFT transactions and the decrease in overall network activity have had a negative impact on mining economics.

QHow much did the average Bitcoin transaction fee drop to in December, compared to a year ago?

AThe average Bitcoin transaction fee dropped to $0.48 in December, compared to $3.7 a year ago.

QWhat did the head of MARA Holdings say about the profitability of the traditional Bitcoin mining model?

AThe head of MARA Holdings, Fred Thiel, stated that the traditional Bitcoin mining model will become unprofitable in the coming years if the price of Bitcoin does not appreciate by at least 50% per year and network fees remain at their current level.

Letture associate

Will Japan's Interest Rate Hike Trigger a Global Liquidity Shock?

As the Bank of Japan's December 19 monetary policy meeting approaches, market concerns are rising over a potential hawkish interest rate hike. A report by Western Securities on December 16 analyzes whether this move could end the era of cheap yen and trigger a global liquidity crisis. Key drivers for a rate hike include Japan’s sustained inflation above the 2% target, low unemployment supporting wage growth, and expansionary fiscal policy. These factors may push the BOJ toward tightening, raising fears of unwinding large-scale carry trades and causing global financial stress. However, the report suggests the most dangerous phase of liquidity shock may have already passed. Previous rate hikes in July and January had diminishing market impact, speculative short positions in yen have largely been closed, and the macro environment—including a resilient U.S. economy and Fed easing—reduces urgency for rapid unwinding. The Fed’s expanded balance sheet also acts as a buffer. Despite theoretical stability, global markets remain fragile after a six-year bull run, with elevated valuations and AI-related泡沫 concerns. A BOJ hike could act as a catalyst for a liquidity shock, though any sharp sell-off may prompt stronger Fed easing, leading to a quick recovery. Investors are advised to monitor the situation closely. If U.S. markets experience repeated “stock-bond-currency triple sell-offs,” it may signal a liquidity crisis. Over the medium term, global monetary easing is expected to continue, supporting gold and China assets—especially AH shares—on yuan appreciation and capital inflows. U.S. stocks and bonds may face volatility.

marsbit26 min fa

Will Japan's Interest Rate Hike Trigger a Global Liquidity Shock?

marsbit26 min fa

Trading

Spot
Futures

Discussioni

Benvenuto nella Community HTX. Qui puoi rimanere informato sugli ultimi sviluppi della piattaforma e accedere ad approfondimenti esperti sul mercato. Le opinioni degli utenti sul prezzo di BTC BTC sono presentate come di seguito.

活动图片