Axie Infinity erases September losses – But AXS price faces THIS threat

ambcryptoPubblicato 2026-01-22Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-01-22

Introduzione

The gaming token sector, including Axie Infinity (AXS), posted strong gains despite broader crypto market pressure, with AXS erasing losses since mid-September. However, the rally shows signs of exhaustion. The RSI indicates overbought conditions, suggesting a potential near-term pullback. Spot market activity reveals a shift, with $91,000 in outflows and a 21% drop in trading volume, signaling weakening momentum. While derivatives data shows lingering bullish sentiment in futures, the negative funding rate points to growing short positions. If spot demand softens further alongside negative funding, AXS could face increased risk of a deeper correction.

While the broader crypto market remained under pressure, gaming tokens stayed relatively insulated and posted strong gains.

The sector recorded a monthly weighted average increase of roughly 40%, with AXS among the top performers.

Axie Infinity’s [AXS] recent rally erased losses accumulated since the 12th of September 2025, pushing many holders back to break-even. However, momentum indicators suggested the advance may be nearing exhaustion, raising pullback risk.

Investor positioning raises caution

Investor positioning in AXS grew increasingly aggressive during the rally. That shift raised questions about the uptrend’s durability.

At press time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moved back above 70, placing AXS in overbought territory. Such conditions historically preceded short-term price tops rather than sustained breakouts.

The TradingView chart showed RSI remained elevated as price accelerated. That divergence increased the probability of near-term mean reversion.

That said, downside risk appeared contained for now. The Accumulation/Distribution indicator dipped modestly but stayed firmly positive.

This suggested selling pressure increased, yet broader market structure remained supportive. Any pullback would likely remain corrective unless accumulation weakened further.

Spot investors pull back

Spot market activity offered one of the clearest signals of shifting sentiment, with capital beginning to exit the market.

Exchange Netflows showed Spot traders sold roughly $91,000 worth of AXS over the past 24 hours.

That marked a clear shift from the steady buying observed during the recent advance. Spot participants often provide structural support, making their retreat notable.

On top of that, trading activity slowed sharply. CoinGlass data showed volume fell 21% to about $2 billion, a decline exceeding $400 million.

When price advances on falling volume, it often signals weakening momentum. Historically, such conditions have preceded either consolidation or corrective price moves.

Derivatives market signals divergence

Derivatives data presented a mixed picture. The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio showed that bullish sentiment still dominated in the perpetual Futures market, with taker buy orders outweighing sell orders.

However, funding data told a different story. The OI-Weighted Funding Rate turned decisively negative, signaling that short positions outweighed longs.

CoinGlass data showed the metric printed -0.1286% at press time. That meant bearish traders paid funding to maintain exposure.

If negative funding persisted alongside softening spot demand, downside pressure could build. That alignment would increase the risk of a deeper corrective phase for AXS.


Final Thoughts

  • Axie Infinity (AXS) erased post-September losses as gaming tokens outperformed, lifting the price back toward key resistance.
  • Overbought RSI, weakening spot demand, and negative OI-Weighted Funding Rate suggest momentum may fade near-term.

Domande pertinenti

QWhat was the performance of gaming tokens like Axie Infinity (AXS) compared to the broader crypto market recently?

AGaming tokens remained relatively insulated from the broader crypto market's pressure and posted strong gains, with the sector recording a monthly weighted average increase of roughly 40%.

QWhat key technical indicator suggests that AXS might be in overbought territory and facing a potential pullback?

AThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) moved back above 70, placing AXS in overbought territory, which historically has preceded short-term price tops.

QWhat shift in spot market activity signals a change in sentiment for AXS?

AExchange Netflows showed that spot traders sold approximately $91,000 worth of AXS over the past 24 hours, marking a clear shift from the steady buying observed during the recent advance.

QWhat does a negative OI-Weighted Funding Rate indicate for the AXS derivatives market?

AA negative OI-Weighted Funding Rate, which was -0.1286% at press time, signals that short positions outweigh longs, meaning bearish traders are paying funding to maintain their exposure.

QWhat are the main factors mentioned that could lead to a deeper corrective phase for AXS?

AThe alignment of persistent negative funding rates alongside softening spot demand could build downside pressure and increase the risk of a deeper corrective phase for AXS.

Letture associate

7 Months After the Collapse of Huiwang, Southeast Asia's Escrow Platforms Undergo a Major Reshuffle

Following the collapse of Huione Pay—dubbed the "Alipay of Southeast Asia"—seven months ago, the region's underground financial guarantee platform sector is undergoing a significant reshuffle. This power vacuum has been swiftly filled by emerging platforms such as XinBi, Tiger/Navigator, JinBei (renamed JinBo), Dali/Tiancheng, and FullyLight. These platforms, operating largely via Telegram and offering services like escrow for illicit transactions, have absorbed the vast user base and markets left behind by Huione. While positioning themselves as "trust intermediaries," their primary clientele consists of networks involved in online scams, money laundering, illegal gambling, and even human trafficking. For instance, the Tiger/Navigator platform explicitly provides "escrow" services for kidnapping-for-ransom operations ("强押车交易"). Data underscores the immense scale: Huione alone processed over $103 billion in cryptocurrency payments and facilitated over $31 billion through its escrow market before its downfall, linking it to Cambodia's notorious Prince Group. Since its collapse, competitors have seen explosive growth. For example, the XinBi platform has accumulated over $1.6 billion in total USDT revenue, while platforms like NewPay, OkPay (under Dali), and FullyLight Wallet collectively processed over $4.8 billion in USDT in a single year. This ecosystem thrives in regions like Cambodia and Myanmar, where regulatory gaps allow these platforms to act as critical financial infrastructure for sprawling cybercrime industries, from scam compounds to online casinos. The article concludes that the moniker "Southeast Asian Alipay" is a misnomer, obscuring the platforms' fundamental role in enabling serious criminal enterprises rather than representing legitimate financial innovation.

Odaily星球日报46 min fa

7 Months After the Collapse of Huiwang, Southeast Asia's Escrow Platforms Undergo a Major Reshuffle

Odaily星球日报46 min fa

The Changing Landscape: What Are Crypto VCs Experiencing?

Title: The Shifting Landscape of Crypto Venture Capital The era of dedicated crypto venture capital funds is undergoing a significant transformation. Once essential for navigating the sector's complexity and high risk, these specialized funds are now facing an identity crisis as the market matures. This shift mirrors historical patterns in other specialized investment classes like cleantech and SPACs, where initial information advantages dissipate as technologies become mainstream and integrated into existing industry frameworks. The article argues that crypto is reaching a critical inflection point, transitioning from a "building phase" to an "integration phase." Major players like Stripe, BlackRock, and Visa now engage with crypto not for its novel mechanics but as a foundational financial infrastructure. Their needs—regulatory compliance, banking partnerships, distribution channels—align with traditional fintech, a domain easily understood by large, generalist funds like Sequoia and Founders Fund. This evolution creates a "barbell effect" within the VC landscape. On one end are massive, diversified platforms that can incorporate crypto as one vertical among many. On the other are small, nimble funds focused on niche, experimental projects. The middle ground—medium-sized dedicated crypto funds—is being squeezed out. Their typical fund size makes it impossible to generate sufficient returns solely from early-stage crypto bets, yet they cannot compete with giants for later-stage deals. Consequently, leading crypto-native firms like Paradigm and Framework Ventures are expanding into AI, robotics, and other sectors, driven partly by LP pressure for better returns amid a broader VC DPI crisis. Others, like Dragonfly and a16z, have narrowed their crypto focus predominantly to financial infrastructure like stablecoins, reframing the sector's core narrative. For crypto entrepreneurs, this consolidation presents challenges. While generalist funds offer larger checks and broader resources, crypto projects now compete fiercely with AI for attention and capital within these firms. Furthermore, the long-term, non-commercial foundational work that built the ecosystem—funded by dedicated crypto VCs—is less likely to attract generalist capital focused on direct returns. The conclusion is that "crypto investor" as a standalone category is becoming obsolete, akin to "internet investor." Crypto is becoming a baseline infrastructure layer. The future will see a barbell structure: large-scale growth financing handled by generalist funds, while pioneering, speculative projects are funded by small, specialized vehicles. The dedicated crypto funds of the 2017-2021 boom, which incubated core infrastructure, are giving way to this new, bifurcated reality.

Foresight News1 h fa

The Changing Landscape: What Are Crypto VCs Experiencing?

Foresight News1 h fa

As Consensus Accelerates, What Are Young Investors Betting On?

Title: As Consensus Forms Faster, What Are Young Investors Betting On? In the rapid evolution of tech investment, a new generation of young investors is navigating a landscape where AI, robotics, commercial aerospace, and quantum computing are advancing simultaneously. Traditional investment logic based on financial models is giving way to a need for deep technical understanding and the ability to act before industry consensus forms. An analysis of trends from the "WAIC FUTURE TECH" list of young investment leaders reveals key shifts in focus. The first major trend is the movement of AI from the digital screen into the physical world. Investment is shifting from large language models and chatbots towards embodied AI, robotics, AI hardware, and edge computing. While demonstrations generate excitement, the real challenge lies in achieving scalable, reliable, and cost-effective delivery in complex real-world environments like factories and logistics. Success depends not just on algorithms but on the integration of sensors, actuators, and control systems. Second, the competitive focus for large models is moving beyond raw capability toward building an "intelligence flywheel." The goal is to create self-reinforcing systems where user interaction generates data, improving the model, which in turn enhances the user experience and attracts more engagement. Companies that successfully embed AI into workflows to create these closed-loop systems can build lasting value that isn't easily erased by the next model upgrade. Third, facing a potential bottleneck in high-quality human-generated data, investors are looking at new underlying technologies. Reinforcement learning and self-play, as demonstrated by AlphaGo Zero, offer paths for AI to generate its own experience. Scientific foundation models, which aim to build general AI capabilities for fields like life sciences and materials discovery, represent a non-consensus direction that could unlock new frontiers of knowledge and data. Finally, in deep-tech areas like quantum computing, commercial aerospace, and space-based infrastructure, patient capital is essential. These fields have long, uncertain development and validation cycles involving complex engineering, supply chains, and regulations. Investment here requires a long-term view, focusing on foundational team capabilities and the eventual emergence of market demand, even if commercial returns are distant. Collectively, these trends illustrate how young investors are adapting to a new era. They are learning to make earlier, technically-informed judgments, balance hype with real-world viability, and provide the patient capital needed to build the deep-tech foundations of the future.

marsbit1 h fa

As Consensus Accelerates, What Are Young Investors Betting On?

marsbit1 h fa

Trading

Spot
活动图片