Bittensor Moves Towards Ultimate Decentralization: The Critical 18 Months for the TAO Ecosystem is Here?

marsbitPubblicato 2026-06-22Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-06-22

Introduzione

Bittensor, a decentralized AI protocol, is accelerating its transition to full decentralization over the next 18 months, as outlined in a recent post by co-founder Const. The project currently operates in a "semi-decentralized" state: ownership and network participation are open and permissionless, with TAO distribution based on competitive contribution. However, protocol upgrades and governance have remained under core team control to enable rapid iteration in the fast-evolving AI sector. This strategic shift comes as the ecosystem matures, boasting 128 subnets and a large community. Const argues that continued centralization now poses risks, including single points of failure and regulatory scrutiny. The upcoming decentralization roadmap includes optimizing validator competition, opening liquidity pools, introducing governance rights for Alpha holders, and refining economic models. The move could fundamentally reshape TAO's value proposition, adding governance premiums to its existing valuation based on AI narrative and scarcity. It also signals a potential maturation of the AI crypto sector, where competition may shift from hype to sustainable protocol design and real economic activity. Bittensor positions itself not just as another AI token, but as foundational infrastructure aiming to decentralize intelligence production—analogous to Bitcoin's role in decentralizing money—with the goal of creating a resilient "Millennium Intelligence Federation."

Author: Flora, CryptoPulse Labs

Against the backdrop of the ongoing convergence of the AI and Crypto narratives, the decentralized AI protocol Bittensor has once again become the focus of market attention.

On June 22, Const, co-founder of Bittensor, published a lengthy article for the first time, systematically explaining the project's current governance structure, its centralized status, and the comprehensive decentralization plan for the next 18 months. The core message is very clear: Bittensor acknowledges it is not yet fully decentralized, but this is an active strategic choice, not an architectural flaw.

The significant importance of this statement lies not only in the project publishing a roadmap but also in its response to a long-standing core market criticism. Why is it that a protocol claiming to build a decentralized AI network still has key upgrades led by a small core team? Const's answer is that the AI industry is still in its early stages, where the speed of innovation is often more important than democratic governance.

I. From Core Governance to Gradual Decentralization of Power, Bittensor Begins Handing Over Control

In his latest article, Const frankly stated that Bittensor is currently in a "semi-decentralized" state. In other words, it is highly decentralized in some aspects but still maintains centralized governance in others.

From the perspective of ownership, Bittensor already possesses very strong decentralized characteristics. Since its launch, the project has never engaged in pre-mining; the distribution of TAO has been entirely reliant on an open competition mechanism.

This means that whether miners, validators, or developers, anyone who contributes value to the network can receive corresponding rewards without needing permission from any centralized entity.

Today, the Bittensor ecosystem already boasts 128 subnets, over 20 core validator teams, and a large number of independent developers and community members. Anyone can freely build subnets, participate in mining, or call upon AI services within the network.

In this sense, Bittensor has already achieved decentralization at the ownership level. The network itself belongs to the community, not the founding team.

However, on the other hand, protocol upgrades, parameter adjustments, and economic model optimizations are still primarily handled by the core team. This means that at the level of protocol governance, Bittensor still retains strong centralized characteristics.

Const does not shy away from this point; instead, he emphasizes it is the team's active strategic choice. He likens the current Bittensor to the early days of Bitcoin.

Back then, when the Bitcoin protocol was not yet mature, it also highly relied on Satoshi Nakamoto's directional judgment until the underlying rules gradually stabilized and truly entered the solidified, immutable protocol stage.

Bittensor believes that the AI industry is currently still in a period of rapid evolution. If complex on-chain governance mechanisms are introduced too early, requiring lengthy community discussions and voting for every upgrade, it would significantly slow down the protocol iteration speed.

Therefore, over the past few years, Bittensor has operated more like a fast-growing tech company than a fully autonomous on-chain protocol. The core team continuously led key upgrades to ensure the network could quickly experiment, adjust, and remain competitive. But now, the team believes the ecosystem is nearing maturity, and the protocol is starting to meet the conditions for decentralization of power.

Over the next 18 months, Bittensor will focus on advancing validator competition optimization, opening two-way trading and shorting functionality in liquidity pools, introducing Alpha holder governance rights, optimizing the TaoFlow and DTAO emission models, and cleaning out participants who extract value long-term without building the ecosystem.

After completing these steps, the core team will gradually withdraw from the governance layer, allowing the network to enter a truly autonomous operation phase.

II. As AI Enters an Arms Race, Centralization Becomes a Risk

Bittensor's choice to advance comprehensive decentralization at this point is not accidental but a necessary consequence of the changing competitive logic in the AI industry.

Over the past few years, dominance in the AI market has been primarily held by tech giants. Whether it's OpenAI, Google, or Anthropic, they essentially build moats through strong computing power, capital, and data barriers.

This centralized model has driven technological breakthroughs but has also created evident issues—the value capture of AI is highly concentrated. Whoever owns the model owns the profits, while ordinary developers, computing power contributors, and end-users find it difficult to share in the industry's growth dividends.

This is precisely the problem Bittensor aims to solve. It attempts to build an open AI marketplace, making intelligence a network asset that can be freely traded and priced, rather than the private asset of a few companies.

In the traditional AI model, companies train models, users pay to call them, and profits belong to the companies. In Bittensor's system, global nodes collectively contribute intelligent resources, the network is responsible for assessing value, and then TAO incentivizes participants who truly create value.

However, this ideal model faces a significant contradiction in its early stages: decentralization inherently conflicts with efficiency. Full decentralization means slow decision-making, long upgrade cycles, and high coordination costs, yet the AI industry is one of the fastest-changing sectors.

The incentive mechanism effective today may be outdated in a few months. The optimal model evaluation method today may no longer be suitable in six months.

Precisely because of this, Bittensor adopted a middle path in its early stages—decentralized economic ownership but maintaining a certain degree of centralized governance for protocol matters. This allowed the team to quickly adjust direction amidst market changes and continuously optimize the network structure.

Now, Bittensor believes this transitional phase is ending. With 128 subnets forming a complete ecosystem, an increasing number of validators, and TAO's market liquidity continuously improving, the network has crossed a critical threshold. It is no longer just an experimental project but is becoming a true AI economic network.

When a network grows to this stage, continued reliance on the core team instead introduces new risks. On one hand, centralized governance implies a single point of failure—one decision error could affect the entire ecosystem. On the other hand, as global regulations tighten, overly centralized protocols are more easily classified by regulators as corporately operated entities. For crypto projects, this risk cannot be ignored. Therefore, for Bittensor, decentralization is no longer just an idealistic goal but a necessary path to reduce systemic risk and enhance network resilience.

III. After the Decentralization Upgrade, TAO's Value Logic May Be Reconstructed

From a market perspective, Const's statement is far from just an ordinary roadmap update; it may impact the valuation logic of the entire AI Crypto sector.

First, TAO's value capture mechanism may undergo an upgrade. Currently, the market's valuation of TAO is primarily based on the AI narrative, subnet growth expectations, and token scarcity. But as governance rights are gradually decentralized, TAO's value dimensions may further expand to include a governance premium.

Especially after the Alpha holder governance mechanism goes live, assets within the TAO ecosystem will no longer be just yield certificates; they may also become important gateways to protocol governance.

This means capital markets may assign TAO a higher valuation in the future because governance rights themselves represent influence over future rules and value distribution.

Second, the competitive logic of the AI Crypto track may shift from narrative competition to protocol competition. In the past, the market was more willing to pay for AI concepts; many projects gained attention simply by adding an AI label.

But as the industry matures, the market will pay increasing attention to underlying protocol capabilities. Those who can truly solve problems related to incentive mechanisms, value discovery, model evaluation, and long-term game theory are likely to become the core infrastructure of the AI era.

In this regard, Bittensor's biggest advantage is its first-mover advantage. It has been operational for over five years and has formed real economic activity and an ecological network, rather than remaining at the whitepaper stage.

This indicates it is closer than many emerging AI projects to building a protocol moat. And once full decentralization is achieved, Bittensor's market positioning may undergo fundamental changes.

On a more macro level, the market's valuation approach to decentralized AI may also be redefined. Currently, AI tokens can roughly be categorized into three types: AI Agent concept tokens, compute narrative tokens, and AI infrastructure protocols.

Bittensor belongs to the third category, which is also the one most likely to form long-term value capture capabilities. If it truly achieves protocol solidification, the market may in the future price it using a valuation method similar to public blockchains, rather than simply viewing it as a concept token.

This implies a qualitative change in the valuation anchor. The market's focus may shift away from short-term hype, gradually turning towards network revenue, subnet activity, protocol cash flow, and governance value. Once this shift occurs, Bittensor's strategic position within the AI Crypto field may be further elevated.

Conclusion: Is Bittensor Becoming the Bitcoin of AI?

Const proposed a highly imaginative concept: the "Millennium Intelligence Federation." This is not an empty slogan but Bittensor's definition of its ultimate form—building a permissionless, trustless decentralized AI network capable of operating for decades or even centuries.

If Bitcoin solves the decentralization problem of money, then what Bittensor attempts to solve is the decentralization problem of intelligence production. The next 18 months will become the most critical observation window for this grand experiment.

However, what the market truly cares about is no longer just whether TAO will rise in price, but a more fundamental question: Should the future of AI belong to a few tech giants, or to the entire open network?

Domande pertinenti

QWhat is the primary reason Bittensor has maintained centralized governance in its early stages, according to the article?

AAccording to the article, Bittensor has maintained a degree of centralized governance in its early stages because AI is a fast-moving industry where the speed of innovation was deemed more critical than governance democracy. The core team believed this approach allowed for rapid iteration, experimentation, and protocol adjustments to stay competitive.

QWhat are the two key levels on which Bittensor's current 'semi-decentralized' state operates?

ABittensor's current 'semi-decentralized' state operates on two key levels: it is highly decentralized in terms of ownership (with TAO distribution based on open competition and no pre-mining), but remains centralized in terms of protocol governance (with core teams managing upgrades, parameter adjustments, and economic model optimizations).

QWhat major shift does the article suggest might happen to TAO's value logic after decentralization upgrades?

AThe article suggests that TAO's value logic might be reconstructed to include a 'governance premium.' After decentralization upgrades, TAO could evolve from being primarily an asset based on scarcity and growth narrative to also being a key that grants influence over future protocol rules and value distribution, particularly with the introduction of governance rights for Alpha holders.

QWhy is the push for full decentralization considered a necessary strategic move for Bittensor now, beyond just an idealistic goal?

AFull decentralization is now considered a necessary strategic move for Bittensor to mitigate systemic risks and enhance network resilience. Continuing with centralized governance creates a single point of failure (where a core team mistake could affect the whole ecosystem) and increases regulatory risks, as overly centralized protocols are more likely to be classified as corporate entities by global regulators.

QHow does the article compare the ultimate vision of Bittensor to Bitcoin?

AThe article compares Bittensor's ultimate vision to Bitcoin by stating that if Bitcoin solved the decentralization of money, Bittensor is attempting to solve the decentralization of intelligence production. It aims to build a 'Millennial Intelligence Federation'—a permissionless, trustless, decentralized AI network designed to operate for decades or even centuries.

Letture associate

Report Interpretation: J.P. Morgan Details Micron's Pre-Earnings Sentiment, Current Hardware Sector Dynamics

Morgan Stanley analyst Joshua Meyers' report (June 21, 2026) highlights key trends in the hardware and semiconductor sector ahead of Micron's earnings. The core takeaways are: 1. **Micron & Memory:** Memory remains a high-conviction long theme, driven by strong AI demand and rising ASPs. However, investor focus is shifting to the sustainability of Micron's >80% gross margins and the specifics of potential new long-term supply agreements (SCAs). 2. **Hardware Supply Chain:** AI-related demand for servers, networking, and storage remains robust, but company performance is diverging. Celestica (CLS) shows improved margin confidence, Western Digital and Seagate benefit from pricing, Fabrinet (FN) sees predictable AI optics growth, and Teradyne (TER) anticipates a new Google customer. 3. **AI Capex & WFE Forecasts:** JPMorgan increased its Wafer Fab Equipment (WFE) market growth forecasts to 28% in 2026 and 29% in 2027. AI infrastructure financing is evolving, with higher project-level debt reducing constraints on capex expansion. The report signals that while the AI-driven hardware cycle is strong, the market is entering a phase focused on execution verification (e.g., Micron's SCA details, Fabrinet's ramp with Amazon) and valuation sustainability. Key near-term signals include Micron's guidance, Arista Networks' outlook, and the pace of demand normalization post potential tariff-related pull-ins.

marsbit1 h fa

Report Interpretation: J.P. Morgan Details Micron's Pre-Earnings Sentiment, Current Hardware Sector Dynamics

marsbit1 h fa

Research Report Analysis: The Fed's New Chair's Debut – New Leader, But Same Script?

Report Analysis: Federal Reserve's New Chair Debut – A New Captain, But the Same Script? Morgan Stanley's chief global economist Seth B. Carpenter analyzes the first FOMC meeting under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh in a June 21 report. Warsh deliberately avoided providing forward guidance on interest rates, aligning with his philosophy. However, market expectations for a rate hike this year were reinforced. Key signals lie elsewhere: inflation may fall more than expected, and quantitative tightening (QT) could be more aggressive than anticipated. The FOMC's "dot plot" suggests only one rate hike in 2026. Carpenter argues that if inflation undershoots forecasts, the logic for even a single hike weakens, especially as projections indicate potential rate cuts in 2027. On QT, Warsh's stance is clear. Carpenter notes that measures like halving the Treasury's account balance could shrink the Fed's balance sheet by around $500 billion with minimal market impact. Combined with adjustments to reserve interest and liquidity rules, the ultimate QT scale may exceed expectations, though its market effect might be less disruptive unless the Fed actively sells Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS). While Warsh initiated a review of the Fed's policy framework, the 2% inflation target remains intact for now. The report concludes that the market may be overestimating the significance of reduced forward guidance and the near-term rate hike risk, while potentially underestimating the scope and manageable nature of the coming balance sheet reduction. The key debates will hinge on upcoming core PCE data, the specifics of the QT path, and the framework review's findings.

marsbit1 h fa

Research Report Analysis: The Fed's New Chair's Debut – New Leader, But Same Script?

marsbit1 h fa

Critical Game Week: BTC Retracement Confirmation vs. HYPE Support Battle | Guest Analysis

This weekly analysis outlines a critical juncture for BTC and HYPE markets, focusing on key price level confirmations. **BTC Analysis:** BTC is at a pivotal point after a five-wave rally from the June 5th low of $59,100. The price has broken below a short-term rising channel's lower boundary, with the current move seen as a pullback to test this breakdown. Failure to reclaim this level could lead to a retest of the $59,000-$60,000 support zone. The core scenario hinges on this channel retest outcome. * **Key Levels:** Resistance at $64,500-$65,000 (channel boundary) and $69,500-$70,500. Support at $59,000-$60,000 and $55,000. * **Strategy:** A core bearish stance is maintained (20% short from last week), with short-term plans for tactical trades. Three detailed contingency plans (A/B/C) are provided for short positions on resistance tests or breakdowns, emphasizing strict stop-loss discipline. **HYPE Analysis:** HYPE shows strong momentum but is currently in a corrective phase after hitting a new high of $76.94. The price is retesting the crucial $64-$66 support area. * **Key Levels:** Resistance near $77 and $80-$82. Support at $64-$66 and $52-$54. * **Strategy:** The short-term approach is "buy on dips, avoid chasing rallies." A long position is considered only if clear stabilization signals appear at the $64-$66 or deeper $52-$54 support zones, with tight risk controls. **General Risk Management:** A standardized trailing stop-loss protocol is emphasized: set initial stop, breakeven at +1% profit, then trail stops upward to lock in gains. *Disclaimer: All analysis is presented as a personal trading framework, not investment advice. Market conditions are complex and require dynamic adjustment.*

marsbit1 h fa

Critical Game Week: BTC Retracement Confirmation vs. HYPE Support Battle | Guest Analysis

marsbit1 h fa

Research Report Interpretation: Citi Attends AWS Summit, Bullish on Cloud Business Acceleration but Data Governance Remains Key Variable

Citi analyst Tyler Radke's team attended the AWS New York Summit (June 17-18), engaging with over 10 clients and partners. In a June 19 report, they highlighted the summit's focus on scaling agent AI for enterprise deployment. Citi maintains a "Buy" rating on Amazon, forecasting AWS revenue growth to accelerate to 37% in FY27 from 30% in FY26, noting this estimate may be conservative. Key takeaways: 1. **AWS Strategy Shift:** AWS is moving from proof-of-concepts to scalable deployment. New offerings like AWS Context (building enterprise knowledge graphs), Amazon Quick (cross-application AI assistant), and security tool Continuum address core enterprise pain points for AI adoption. 2. **Data Infrastructure Beneficiaries:** Data infrastructure companies like Snowflake, Elastic, Oracle, and ClickHouse are seen as direct beneficiaries of scaling AI workloads, as evidenced by strong growth and use cases presented. 3. **Critical Role of Data Governance:** As AI agents scale from hundreds to thousands, effective data governance becomes the key variable for deploying AI in core business processes. AWS Context represents AWS's strategic extension from providing compute/models to offering a data governance infrastructure layer. The report emphasizes that without solving data governance, AI will remain confined to pilot projects. The investment thesis focuses on AWS revenue acceleration and data infrastructure vendors' growth, while monitoring signals like AWS's quarterly revenue growth, Bedrock AgentCore task volume, and pricing impacts on companies like Elastic.

marsbit2 h fa

Research Report Interpretation: Citi Attends AWS Summit, Bullish on Cloud Business Acceleration but Data Governance Remains Key Variable

marsbit2 h fa

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片