30-Day Doubling, 15-Fold Year-to-Date Gain: Why is the English-Speaking Crypto Community FOMOing Over $ZEC Again?

marsbitPubblicato 2026-05-09Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-05-09

Introduzione

Over the past week, ZEC has surged back into the spotlight on English Crypto Twitter, driven by endorsements from prominent figures like Naval, Arthur Hayes, and Mert Mumtaz, alongside a public "significant" position announcement from Multicoin Capital at Consensus Miami. The price has skyrocketed, with ZEC gaining over 110% in 30 days and 1500% year-to-date, now ranking among the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market cap. The primary catalyst is a shifting investment thesis. Multicoin Capital's Tushar Jain argues that while Bitcoin resists censorship, its transparent ledger leaves holdings vulnerable to potential wealth confiscation via taxation. Zcash's shielded pool, using zk-proofs to obscure transaction details, is positioned as "insurance against Bitcoin" for true financial privacy. Arthur Hayes has set a long-term price target of 10% of Bitcoin's value. Further momentum comes from technical developments announced at Consensus, including a roadmap for quantum-recoverable wallets and full post-quantum security within 12-18 months. Institutional adoption signals are growing, with a Grayscale ETF application pending, Robinhood listing ZEC, and Foundry launching a mining pool. However, a critical caveat is the recent departure of the entire original Zcash development team (ECC) due to governance conflicts, leaving the project's future development uncertain. While narrative and institutional interest are clearly fueling the current rally, distinguishing between genuine adopti...

Author: Curry, Deep Tide TechFlow

If you've been browsing English Crypto Twitter lately, you've likely seen ZEC all over the screen.

Names like Naval, Arthur Hayes, Mert Mumtaz, Balaji, and Cobie are popping up repeatedly around the same topic. Coupled with Multicoin Capital's public announcement of a significant position and multiple privacy-focused panels at Consensus Miami, ZEC's social media buzz over the past week has reached its highest point since the rally at the end of 2025.

The price has already run ahead of the narrative. At the time of writing, ZEC is trading around $580, with gains exceeding 110% over the past 30 days and cumulative year-to-date gains surpassing 1500%. Its market cap has exceeded $9.5 billion, overtaking the veteran privacy coin Monero (XMR) and climbing into the top 20 on CoinGecko.

On May 6th, ZEC surged nearly 30% in a single day, triggering over $62 million in short liquidations, with shorts accounting for $46.7 million of that.

So the question is: What's driving this wave?

Multicoin's Heavy Position: "Bitcoin is Censorship-Resistant, But It Can't Stop a Wealth Tax"

The most direct catalyst came from Multicoin Capital.

On May 6th, Multicoin Capital co-founder and managing partner Tushar Jain publicly stated during a panel at Consensus Miami that the firm had built a "significant position" starting in February. He didn't disclose the specific size but provided a clear investment logic framework.

In a subsequent long post on X, Jain wrote: "Bitcoin is censorship-resistant; nobody can freeze your BTC or stop you from using it. But it does not stop governments from confiscating known holdings via a wealth tax."

His direct evidence is California's Initiative 25-0024 proposal, which aims to impose a one-time 5% wealth tax (including unrealized gains) on residents with a net worth exceeding $1 billion, expected to raise approximately $100 billion.

Jain's core thesis is: Bitcoin is insurance against fiat currency, but its on-chain balances are completely transparent; a tax agency with a blockchain explorer can see everything. ZEC's shielded pool, using zero-knowledge proof technology, hides the sender, receiver, and amount, making on-chain assets invisible to external observers.

"We think there is clear product-market fit for truly private, censorship- and seizure-resistant assets, and demand is accelerating," Jain wrote, "Zcash is the cleanest way to express this thesis in public markets."

This represents a clear shift in stance for Multicoin.

In 2019, the fund published an article arguing that "privacy is a feature of valuable cryptocurrencies, not a standalone product," suggesting users shouldn't sell BTC or ETH to buy ZEC just for privacy.

Seven years later, this public statement looks like they are betting real money to overturn their past conclusion.

KOLs Rally, Arthur Hayes Calls for "10% of BTC's Price"

The seeds for this ZEC narrative were actually planted in the second half of 2025.

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, AngelList co-founder Naval Ravikant (also an early Zcash investor), Helius founder Mert Mumtaz, along with other top crypto KOLs like Balaji Srinivasan and Cobie, began voicing strong support for ZEC intensively starting last fall.

Naval tweeted in October last year: "Bitcoin is insurance against fiat. Zcash is insurance against Bitcoin."

Hayes's stance was more aggressive. At Consensus 2026, he bluntly stated ZEC's long-term target price should be "10% of Bitcoin's price." Based on BTC's current price of around $80,000, this implies a target of approximately $8,000 for ZEC, representing over 13x upside from the current price. Tyler Winklevoss also endorsed a thesis this week targeting $9,700 for ZEC based on capturing offshore wealth.

These calls themselves might not be reliable investment advice, but their concentrated emergence indicates one thing: the top capital and top voices in the English-speaking crypto space are simultaneously tilting towards the privacy sector.

The Quantum-Resistant Narrative at Consensus Miami

If Multicoin and the KOLs provided catalysts on the capital and narrative fronts, the release of the technical roadmap at Consensus Miami gave the market a fundamental story.

At a dedicated privacy panel on May 8th, Zcash Open Development Lab founder and CEO Josh Swihart announced that quantum-recoverable wallets will launch within a month, and Zcash plans to achieve full post-quantum security within 12 to 18 months.

The logic here is: the ECDSA signature algorithm used by most cryptocurrencies today will become vulnerable once quantum computing matures. A more dangerous scenario is the "harvest now, decrypt later" strategy, where adversaries record encrypted data now and decrypt it later when quantum hardware is available. For a privacy coin whose entire value proposition is built on the confidentiality of transaction data, this is an existential threat.

Swihart also disclosed that since the ECC wallet integrated Near Intents cross-chain swap functionality last October, $6-7 billion has flowed in and out through this channel, primarily swapping for dollars and USDC. Zcash's shielded pool currently holds about 30% of the circulating ZEC supply, the highest level in history.

Institutional Entry Signals: Grayscale ETF, Robinhood Listing, Foundry Mining

Beyond Multicoin's heavy position, ZEC is accumulating more institutional-level catalysts.

Grayscale has filed for a ZEC spot ETF, still awaiting an SEC ruling. Grayscale has previously stated publicly that ZEC's upside potential is closely tied to the "repricing of financial privacy in an AI-driven world."

Robinhood recently listed ZEC for trading, opening up a retail gateway. Foundry (under Digital Currency Group) announced the launch of large-scale ZEC mining pool operations. This is the second asset supported by the company after Bitcoin, adding credibility to ZEC's mining security and institutional acceptance.

On the on-chain data front, Santiment data shows retail investor interest in privacy coins is rising, driven by tighter exchange compliance rules and growing data tracking concerns. In a March report, CoinDesk Research stated that Zcash has reached a "encryption supremacy" tipping point, driven by the convergence of three forces: AI tools can de-anonymize users on transparent blockchains by tracking transaction patterns, the threat of quantum computing to current crypto wallet security is becoming more real, and quarterly trading volume has surpassed $100 billion.

However, The Team That Built Zcash Has All Left

The catalysts above paint a bullish picture, but one fact shouldn't be ignored: the core team that built Zcash is gone.

In January of this year, Electric Coin Company (ECC) CEO Josh Swihart and the entire ECC team resigned collectively, citing governance conflicts with the Bootstrap Project board and characterizing the departure as "constructive discharge." ECC was the core organization that created and maintained Zcash. The team's departure means the chain is now operating without its original engineering team.

Therefore, what's more apparent with ZEC currently is that the narrative hype is far outpacing the fundamentals. KOL calls, fund heavy positions, consecutive Consensus panels—these are stories of capital and attention, but on-chain public transaction volume hasn't grown much.

Because transactions in the shielded pool are, by design, invisible, you can't use on-chain data to distinguish between "real adoption" and "speculative capital sitting idle."

But lacking fundamentals is the norm for most coins. In this wave of "old guard coin" revival, ZEC is undoubtedly one of the brightest stars, but it likely won't be the last.

Domande pertinenti

QAccording to the article, what is the main reason behind Multicoin Capital's significant investment in ZEC?

AMulticoin Capital's main investment thesis is that while Bitcoin resists censorship, it does not protect against government confiscation via mechanisms like wealth taxes on transparent holdings. They believe ZEC, with its shielded pool using zero-knowledge proofs, offers a truly private, censorship-resistant, and confiscation-resistant asset, which they see as having clear product-market fit with accelerating demand.

QWhat ambitious price target for ZEC was mentioned by BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes?

AArthur Hayes stated that the long-term price target for ZEC should be "10% of Bitcoin's price." With Bitcoin around $80,000, this would imply a ZEC target price of approximately $8,000.

QWhat key technical development for ZEC was announced at Consensus Miami?

AAt Consensus Miami, it was announced that quantum-recoverable wallets for ZEC will launch within a month, with the goal of achieving full post-quantum security for the Zcash network within 12 to 18 months to address the threat posed by future quantum computers.

QWhat major organizational change has recently occurred concerning Zcash's core development team?

AThe entire team of the Electric Coin Company (ECC), the core organization that created and maintained Zcash, including its CEO Josh Swihart, resigned in January. This departure was due to governance conflicts with the Bootstrap Project board, leaving the chain to operate without its original engineering team.

QBesides Multicoin Capital's investment, what are two other institutional-level catalysts mentioned for ZEC?

ATwo other institutional catalysts mentioned are: 1) Grayscale has filed for a ZEC spot ETF, which is pending SEC approval, and 2) Robinhood has listed ZEC for trading, providing a major retail access point.

Letture associate

The Next Generation of Payments Lies Not in the Payment Layer

The Next-Generation of Payment is Not in the Payment Layer This is the second piece in a series analyzing Stripe's AI strategy. The series stems from Stripe's vision of becoming the economic infrastructure for the AI Agent era, announced at Stripe Sessions 2026. A key debate centers on whether Know Your Agent (KYA) is merely an upgrade to existing payment systems. The author argues the opposite: payment will become a subsystem of KYA, not the other way around. Historically, major payment innovations (online banking, mobile wallets, QR codes) emerged from new transaction scenarios that broke the underlying assumptions of old systems, not from optimization within the payment layer itself. Agent economy is that new scenario, and KYA is the foundational infrastructure growing to support it. KYA's proposed five layers—Agent Identity, Authorization Scope, Intent Signing, Liability Chain Auditing, and Credit Rating—extend far beyond payments. Only authorization and auditing directly touch the payment链路. Identity, intent, and credit layers serve broader needs like cross-platform calls, AI alignment, and permission management. Stripe's strategic moves validate this view. Its focus on "economic infrastructure for AI," investments in protocols like Agentic Commerce Protocol (an identity/session protocol), Shared Payment Tokens, stablecoin infrastructure, embedded wallets, and its own Tempo blockchain for settlement, all point to building the KYA layer, not just optimizing payments. Data shows the core challenge in AI commerce has shifted upstream: determining "who this is, what they intend to do, and if they deserve resources" happens long before checkout. This is why Stripe is moving its Radar fraud prevention from the transaction moment to the entire user lifecycle—a KYA-layer concern. Legally, ultimate responsibility will still fall on a human, as laws like AB 316 dictate. However, in a distributed,网状 liability chain involving users, Agent platforms, model providers, and payment protocols, KYA's role is to use cryptography to make every entity's actions and roles verifiable and traceable. This enables accountability where it was previously impossible to pinpoint evidence, fundamentally changing责任追溯, not just payment efficiency. The next-generation payment形态 will not be designed within the payment layer. It will emerge from the Agent economy scenario after the KYA infrastructure is established.

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The Next Generation of Payments Lies Not in the Payment Layer

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The Next Generation of Payments Is Not in the Payment Layer

The next generation of payments won't be designed within the payment layer itself. This article argues that historical payment innovations (e.g., online banking, mobile wallets) emerged from new transactional scenarios, not from optimizing existing payment systems. The new scenario is the Agent economy. Know Your Agent (KYA) is not merely a payment-layer upgrade for efficiency. It is the foundational infrastructure layer for the Agent economy. KYA’s five layers—Agent identity, authorization scope, intent signature, accountability chain audit, and credit rating—primarily serve broader needs like cross-platform identification, AI alignment, and permission management. Payment is just one application built on top of this KYA foundation. Stripe’s strategy exemplifies this shift. Its focus on "economic infrastructure for AI," investments in protocols like the Agentic Commerce Protocol (identity/session layer), stablecoin infrastructure, embedded wallets, and moving risk management (Radar) to the user lifecycle all indicate it is building the KYA layer, not just optimizing payments. While ultimate legal liability remains with a human (as laws like AB 316 stipulate), KYA enables traceability in a distributed,网状 responsibility chain involving multiple entities (user, Agent platform, model provider, etc.). It makes accountability verifiable where previously it was opaque. The conclusion: A new class of economic actors (Agents) forces a new infrastructure layer (KYA) to emerge. This layer redefines identity, authorization, and accountability. On top of it, the next generation of payment will reorganize and emerge from the demands of the scenario, not from within the traditional payment system.

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The Next Generation of Payments Is Not in the Payment Layer

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The "Big Short" Prototype Makes a Major Bet: Shorting Nvidia, Going Long on Software Stocks 'Scared Away' by AI

'The Big Short' Legend Michael Burry Doubles Down on AI Bet: Shorts Nvidia, Buys Beaten-Down Software Stocks As the Nasdaq hits record highs and Nvidia's market cap nears $5.3 trillion, Michael Burry—famed for his 2008 subprime mortgage bet—is making a major contrarian move. He is significantly expanding his bearish wagers against the AI frenzy while buying traditional software stocks he believes have been unfairly punished. Burry's latest portfolio adjustments, revealed in his Substack column, include maintaining and increasing put options on Nvidia and Palantir. He has also initiated new short positions on Palantir and expanded bearish bets on the semiconductor ETF (SOXX), the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ), and Oracle. Simultaneously, he is buying shares of software companies like Adobe, Autodesk, Salesforce, and Veeva Systems. He argues these stocks have been sold off due to "AI disruption" fears and technical selling pressure from private credit funds, not deteriorating fundamentals. Their valuations have fallen to multi-year lows. This creates a complete hedge: short the perceived "AI winners" and long the oversold "AI losers." Burry believes the current AI infrastructure spending boom mirrors the late-1990s internet bubble, with inflated demand projections and questionable accounting practices by large cloud customers extending GPU depreciation schedules. While his Palantir short is currently profitable, his Nvidia put options are deeply underwater as the stock trades near all-time highs. Burry remains steadfast, comparing Nvidia to Cisco during the dot-com era. He anticipates a broad repricing of the AI bubble, where overvalued beneficiaries fall and unfairly battered companies rebound.

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The "Big Short" Prototype Makes a Major Bet: Shorting Nvidia, Going Long on Software Stocks 'Scared Away' by AI

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