Litecoin’s 14-year resilience meets weak demand – Will LTC wake up?

ambcryptoPubblicato 2025-12-12Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-12-12

Introduzione

The Silver Standard report highlights Litecoin (LTC) as a significantly undervalued legacy cryptocurrency, citing its 14-year Proof of Work uptime, increasing hash rate, and strong liquidity. LTC's hash rate growth has outpaced Bitcoin’s, indicating technical resilience and potential for future adoption and price appreciation. A multi-year compression pattern on the monthly chart suggests a potential explosive upward move, possibly toward its all-time high of $410. Currently, LTC is trading around the critical $82 support level, which aligns with the 2025 Value Area Low. Despite this key demand zone, there has been a notable lack of bullish reaction for nearly a month. While the Accumulation/Distribution indicator shows an upward trend, the MACD signals strong bearish momentum on the weekly chart, and the daily chart confirms a bearish market structure. For a bullish reversal, price action needs to reclaim the $88 supply zone as support. A breakdown below $75-$80 would signal a bearish continuation. Traders are advised to wait for a decisive move in either direction before taking significant positions.

In a bid to find the most undervalued legacy coin, the Silver Standard report made the case for Litecoin. It pointed out that the Proof of Work Litecoin network has a fourteen-year uptime, a rising hash rate, and deep liquidity.

Comparing the Litecoin [LTC] hash rate growth as a percentage to Bitcoin’s [BTC] hash rate growth highlighted LTC’s resilience at the technical level. This meant that the chain has significant adoption potential, and possibly sizeable price upside.

The multi-year compression pattern on the monthly chart supports this view. These compressions often resolve with a violent move, as price action coiled tightly like a spring tends to explode outward with force.

If a rally emerges from this setup, the price could aim for the all-time high at $410.

Litecoin is at key support, but no reaction from bulls

On the weekly chart, Litecoin was trading at a key support zone at $82. It was a demand zone that had initiated the rally in June, which saw a bullish weekly structure break.

Moreover, it marked the Value Area Low for 2025.

This finding came from the Fixed Range Volume Profile tool. The A/D indicator continued to trend higher, suggesting that it was possible to overcome the recent selling pressure.

On the other hand, the MACD signaled strong bearish momentum.

The daily chart confirmed a bearish structure.

Swing traders need the $88 supply zone to flip into support before considering long positions. The $82 area remains a support, but it has not attracted enough buyers to shift momentum.

The bearish case

As things stand, the bullish and bearish cases seem more or less equally likely. The lack of bullish reaction for nearly a month at the $80 area was a warning that the price is accepted at these levels. Bulls who might see Litecoin as trading at a discount were few in number. Otherwise, we would have seen a rally by now.

Traders’ call to action- more waiting?

A move past $88 is needed to signal a growing uptrend. A breakdown below $75-$80 is required to signal a bearish continuation. Right now, it might be prudent to wait for the market to show its hand.


Final Thoughts

  • Litecoin is trading at 2025’s Value Area Low, a key long-term support.
  • The consolidation within the $80 demand zone indicated a lack of strength from the buyers over the past month, and could pave the way for more losses.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion

Letture associate

The Silver Crisis: When the Paper System Begins to Fail

Silver Crisis: When the Paper System Begins to Fail In December, silver became the standout performer in the precious metals market, surging from $40 to over $60 per ounce, hitting a historic high of $64.28 on December 12 before experiencing sharp declines. Year-to-date, silver rose nearly 110%, far outpacing gold’s 60% gain. The rally appears justified by fundamental factors: expectations of Fed rate cuts, strong industrial demand from solar, EV, and AI sectors, and declining global inventories. However, the surge lacks stability. Unlike gold, which is backed by central bank purchases, silver has almost no official reserves, making it an isolated asset with low market depth and high volatility. The real driver behind the price spike is a futures squeeze. The market structure shifted into prolonged futures premium (contango), indicating either extreme bullish sentiment or deliberate market manipulation. Physical delivery demands surged on exchanges like COMEX and LBMA, exposing the fragility of the paper silver system—where paper claims vastly exceed actual physical silver. JPMorgan, a key player historically accused of silver market manipulation, now controls nearly 43% of COMEX silver inventories and acts as the custodian for major silver ETFs. Its influence over physical supply and delivery eligibility adds to market instability. The situation reflects a broader loss of confidence in financialized assets. Investors and central banks are increasingly shifting toward physical holdings, moving away from paper claims. This trend, coupled with declining Western gold and silver inventories and rising Asian demand, signals a structural shift in monetary and commodity markets. In essence, the rules of the game are changing. When the music stops, those holding physical metal will have a chair—everyone else may be left standing.

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The Silver Crisis: When the Paper System Begins to Fail

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