XRP price may grow ‘from $2 to $10’ in less than a year: Analyst

cointelegraphPubblicato 2025-12-10Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-12-10

Introduzione

Analyst Chad Steingraber predicts XRP could surge from $2 to $10 within a year, driven by strong ETF inflows and bullish technical patterns. Since their November launch, XRP ETFs have absorbed over 506 million XRP, worth $944 million, accounting for 0.74% of circulating supply. XRP also constitutes 5% of the new Bitwise Crypto 10 Fund. Technically, XRP broke out of a symmetrical triangle pattern, targeting $14–$15, and is forming a bull flag with a similar upside. If ETF demand continues, a 400% rally by 2026 is possible, mirroring Bitcoin’s post-ETF performance.

XRP (XRP) may enter a faster-than-expected repricing phase, according to analyst Chad Steingraber, who predicted the price could move “from $2 to $10” in under a year.

Key takeaways:

  • XRP ETFs absorbed over 506 million XRP in a month, supporting a $10 price outlook.

  • Two major chart patterns point toward $14–$15 upside targets.

ETF demand builds case for 400% XRP rally by 2026

Steingraber’s prediction followed strong early interest in the new XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that were launched in November.

These investment products took in more than $944 million worth of XRP since going live on Nov. 13, according to data from SoSoValue. That means ETFs now hold about 0.74% of all XRP in circulation, an impressive amount for funds that are less than a month old.

XRP ETFs’ cumulative net flows. Source: SoSoValue

The analyst also pointed to XRP’s role inside the newly launched Bitwise Crypto 10 Fund ETF (BITW). The fund opened on Tuesday with more than $1.25 billion in assets, and XRP is 5% of its portfolio.

“As a best guess (because Bitwise has not posted exact numbers yet) that the Bitwise Index 10 holds approximately 30,718,290 XRP as of today,” said Steingraber in his Wednesday post on X, adding:

“That puts the total at 506,067,267 XRP taken into AUM since the launch of the funds. Not even a month in yet.”

Given that Bitcoin (BTC) doubled within two years of its US ETF debut, Steingraber argued XRP had room to play catch-up. The token could accelerate toward the $10 mark in 2026, representing a roughly 400% increase, if ETF inflows continue to build.

Source: X/@ChadSteingraber

XRP technical setups support prices above $10

From a technical perspective, XRP’s charts also aligned with Steingraber’s bullish thesis.

On the two-week chart, the token entered the breakout phase of its multimonth symmetrical triangle, a pattern that typically appears after prolonged consolidation phases and often precedes a strong trend continuation.

XRP/USD two-week chart. Source: TradingView

The breakout above the triangle’s upper trendline suggests buyers are regaining control, with the structure’s measured move pointing toward $14-15 in the coming months.

Related: XRP bulls grow louder: What will spark the breakout toward $2.65?

A second setup reinforced the same target range. On the higher time frames, XRP appeared to have carved out a bull flag, a classic continuation pattern that develops after a strong initial rally, followed by a downward-sloping consolidation channel.

XRP/USD two-week chart. Source: TradingView

The structure’s projected move also pointed toward the $14-15 region, aligning with the triangle’s target, if XRP confirms a breakout above the flag resistance.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Letture associate

Following the KelpDAO Hack: $40 Billion in Assets Flee LayerZero, Chainlink Emerges as the Primary 'Beneficiary'

Following a major security breach in April where KelpDAO's bridge using LayerZero was attacked for approximately $292 million, a significant shift is underway in the cross-chain infrastructure landscape. An estimated $40 billion in assets is in the process of migrating or has already migrated from LayerZero to Chainlink's Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP). The attack exploited a single-point-of-failure vulnerability due to KelpDAO's 1-of-1 validator configuration within the LayerZero network. Attackers corrupted RPC nodes and used DDoS attacks to force the system to rely on compromised nodes, allowing fraudulent messages. While LayerZero acknowledged a serious error in allowing its validator network to service high-value transactions with such a configuration, the incident highlighted critical security risks. This triggered a rapid migration wave. Starting with KelpDAO on May 6th, several major protocols—including Solv Protocol, Re, Tydro, Kraken, and Lombard—announced switching their cross-chain infrastructure exclusively to Chainlink CCIP. The combined value of these migrations is estimated to be around $40 billion. This movement followed earlier major adoptions by Coinbase (in late 2025) and Circle (in early 2024). Market sentiment reflected this shift, with LINK's price showing relative stability while ZRO (LayerZero's token) declined significantly. Data indicates a net outflow of approximately $20.1 billion from the LayerZero network over 30 days. The migration is largely driven by perceived security differences. Chainlink CCIP employs a decentralized oracle network as its default consensus layer, featuring multiple independent node operators, a separate Risk Management Network, and built-in safeguards like rate limits. In contrast, LayerZero's highly modular architecture offers flexibility but places more responsibility on application developers to configure security settings, a risk underscored by the KelpDAO incident. LayerZero has since apologized for its communication handling post-attack and stated the protocol itself was not compromised, but rather its Labs DVN's internal RPC was poisoned. An official post-mortem report with external security partners is forthcoming.

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Making AI Products Is No Longer the Hard Part; Being Seen Is: Developers, Web3, and Chinese AI Opportunities at mu Shanghai

The article discusses the shifting challenges of AI entrepreneurship, based on insights from the mu Shanghai AI WEEK event in May 2026. As AI tools drastically lower the barrier to creating product prototypes, the core difficulty for startups has moved from "how to build" to "who to build for"—finding real users, sustainable business models, and community engagement. The event itself was structured as an extended, immersive developer community space rather than a traditional conference, attracting a global mix of participants (40% AI, 20-30% Web3). This format emphasized deep networking and collaborative creation over one-way presentations. A key observation is that with powerful models and coding assistants becoming ubiquitous, execution is less of a moat. The new scarce resource is judgment—identifying valuable, defensible scenarios where an application won't be quickly rendered obsolete by the next model update. This pushes competition downstream to distribution, user acquisition, and commercialization. Notably, many Web3 practitioners are migrating into AI, bringing with them expertise in community building, global collaboration, and grassroots marketing—skills highly relevant as AI apps fight for visibility. Meanwhile, opportunities in AI hardware, robotics, and embodied intelligence are seen as more durable, leveraging China's robust manufacturing and supply chain ecosystem as a key advantage. The article notes that major Chinese model companies (like MiniMax) are now actively competing for developer mindshare through community programs, hackathons, and improved tooling, recognizing developers as core users. Ultimately, the conclusion is that while AI simplifies building, the harder part of the journey is ensuring a product is truly needed, understood, and retained by its users.

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Why is the RWA Boom Failing to Benefit DeFi?

The rapid growth of the tokenized real-world assets (RWA) market, now nearing $30 billion on-chain, has largely bypassed the DeFi ecosystem. Only about $2.47 billion is actively locked in DeFi protocols, indicating a penetration rate of just 9%. A major barrier is the "permissioned" architecture of most RWA products, like BlackRock's BUIDL fund, which are designed for institutional compliance. They require whitelisting, off-chain settlement, and strict investor accreditation, making them incompatible with open, permissionless DeFi applications like Aave or Uniswap. This is evident in categories like bonds/money market funds ($16.6B on-chain, $920M in DeFi) and tokenized equities ($2.7B on-chain, $78M in DeFi). Notable exceptions are private credit protocols (e.g., Maple Finance, Centrifuge) and assets like Ondo's USDY, which were designed from inception for DeFi composability, allowing them to be used freely as collateral. Morpho and Aave Horizon also demonstrate successful RWA lending integrations. However, industry reports (IOSCO, ECB) warn that growth may remain confined within traditional financial systems due to fragmented regulations, lack of unified standards, and inherent conflicts between DeFi's open logic and compliance requirements like minimum investments and fixed redemption windows. The RWA sector is effectively split into two markets: a compliant, permissioned on-chain finance market and a smaller DeFi-native market focused on composability. For DeFi penetration to rise significantly, asset issuers must prioritize designs that enable permissionless circulation from the start, moving away from models centered solely on institutional compliance.

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