Investment firm VanEck has released a long-term forecast projecting Bitcoin’s price could reach $2.9 million per coin by 2050, citing adoption as a settlement currency for 5–10% of global trade.
The bullish prediction comes as VanEck recommends strategic allocations of 1–3% in diversified portfolios, with high-risk-tolerant investors potentially allocating up to 20%.
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VanEck’s Bullish Bitcoin Price Outlook
VanEck’s Bitcoin price forecast is anchored by two structural pivots.
The first, the Settlement Pivot, which envisions Bitcoin facilitating 5–10% of global international trade by 2050.
The second, the Reserve Pivot, anticipates that central banks may allocate 2.5% of their balance sheets to Bitcoin as a hedge against sovereign debt vulnerabilities.
- Bear Case: $130,000 per Bitcoin, implying a 2% compound annual growth rate.
- Base Case: $2.9 million per Bitcoin, representing a 15% CAGR.
- Bull Case: $53.4 million per Bitcoin, which would require a 29% CAGR.
While Bitcoin has steadily gained traction among institutional investors, critics note that such extreme valuations assume a radical transformation in global trade settlement.
Looking into this bullish price, CCN consulted ChatGPT and Grok for an AI’s take on the future of Bitcoin.
ChatGPT’s Outlook
ChatGPT instantly framed the prediction as highly improbable.
“Alright, let’s be real. $2.9 million a Bitcoin by 2050? That’s ambitious—like trying to reach the Moon with a trampoline,” it wrote.
“VanEck assumes Bitcoin will handle up to 10% of global trade and central banks will stash 2.5% of their balance sheets in it.”
ChatGPT added that while it was “technically possible,” it would require a “massive amount of push.”
“That’s the stuff of spreadsheets and dreams, not history,” ChatGPT said.
Grok’s Skeptical Take
Meanwhile, Elon Musk’s Grok was even more colorful in its skepticism.
“Let’s call it what it is: a fairy tale,” it said. “Scaling Bitcoin to even a tiny fraction of global GDP... cute idea, but not happening.”
The AI claimed that Bitcoin getting to such a high level of banking was not probable, “just because someone ran a model.”
“Central banks aren’t trading bonds for digital coins anytime soon, and even if they were, it would be on a much smaller scale,” it said.
“Keep your wallet, don’t start planning your 2050 mansion with Bitcoin profits just yet,” it added.
Bitcoin Bulls on the Rise
Alfred’s comments echo a broader wave of bullish Bitcoin forecasts from notable figures in the crypto industry.
Fundstrat’s Tom Lee has consistently projected that Bitcoin could surpass $250,000 over the long term.
Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy, has also maintained that Bitcoin’s price could eventually exceed $1 million, while Samson Mow, CEO of Pixelmatic, has also championed the $1 million target.
“Since getting into Bitcoin, what I’ve consistently found is that everything always happens faster than I expect,” Mow wrote in a March post on X.
“That’s why my prediction is for a fast run to $1 million.”
Bitcoin Bears Also Exist
While bullish forecasts continue to capture headlines, a vocal contingent of Bitcoin skeptics is also unconvinced.
Longtime critic Peter Schiff previously argued on X that Bitcoin fails as both a medium of exchange and a store of value.
“Bitcoin has no future. It’s not a good medium of exchange for payments,” Schiff wrote.
He further contended, “If you also want a store of value, tokenized gold wins hands down. The race to get out of Bitcoin is on. Don’t be last.”
Schiff also ridiculed the celebrations surrounding Bitcoin’s milestone highs, questioning whether the early $100,000 celebrations matched expectations for 2025.
“How many people popping champagne corks at Bitcoin $100,000 parties a year ago expected 2025 to be this bad? 2026 could be far worse,” he said.
Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Mike McGlone has echoed a similarly bearish view, suggesting that Bitcoin could fall back toward $10,000.
McGlone noted in December that many of the catalysts that once fueled Bitcoin’s rise—such as the introduction of ETFs, recognition by U.S. policymakers, and mainstream adoption—have already occurred.
CCN Bitcoin Outlook
Bitcoin’s price remains range-bound in the near-term, according to CCN analyst Victor Olanrewaju.
The analyst reported that Bitcoin’s technical indicators continue to indicate consolidation rather than a breakout.
On the daily chart, Bitcoin has traded between $85,592 and $93,681 since November, Olanrewaju said.
“Because price keeps bouncing inside that band, Bitcoin still lacks a clear directional bias,” he said.
On a bullish near-term forecast, Olanrewaju said prices could move toward $102,796.
However, a breakdown below the lower end of the range could lead to a fall towards $80,633.
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