Key Takeaways
- CZ was bullish on a crypto supercycle just weeks ago, citing strong institutional adoption and pro-crypto policies.
- Recent FUD, market volatility, and geopolitical uncertainty have made him less confident in short-term crypto growth.
- CZ urges the crypto community to focus on long-term building and “buy and hold” strategies rather than reacting to market noise.
Changpeng Zhao, widely known as CZ, who recently predicted a Bitcoin “supercycle” for 2026, has backtracked on this claim following growing criticism and market turbulence.
During a weekend AMA session addressing widespread FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt), CZ explained that the crypto market may not experience a supercycle anytime soon.
He pointed to the heavy influence of misinformation circulating across platforms like Crypto Twitter, which has amplified market fear and contributed to sudden liquidations.
“Couple weeks ago, I was very confident about the supercycle. But now with all that FUD, I’m not sure,” CZ said.
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From Optimism to Caution
Earlier, CZ had expressed strong confidence in a multi-year bull run driven by institutional adoption, clearer regulations, and favorable global policies.
However, he now views the market environment as highly unpredictable across all assets.
Factors behind his shift include:
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Macroeconomic instability: Rising inflation and uncertain monetary policies affecting crypto valuations.
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Geopolitical tensions: Global conflicts and policy changes increasing market uncertainty.
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Market FUD: Amplified rumors and misinformation causing rapid price fluctuations and significant liquidations, such as the $500 million event on January 29-30, 2026.
Is the Bitcoin Supercycle Just a Myth?
Bitcoin has recently fallen to new yearly lows below $75,000.
Meanwhile, gold and silver have collectively lost over $10 trillion in market value.
CZ stressed that Bitcoin’s sensitivity to global macro factors makes short-term predictions unreliable.
“We live globally in a very volatile time,” CZ noted, adding that volatility now extends beyond crypto to all assets, complicating forecasting.
Despite these setbacks, CZ remains cautiously optimistic. He advised the community to prioritize long-term strategies like “buy and hold” rather than short-term trading or reacting to every FUD headline.
What’s Next for Bitcoin and Crypto Investors?
While the supercycle narrative faces skepticism, long-term prospects remain. CZ highlighted factors that could still drive significant growth in the future:
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Institutional adoption: Increasing integration of Bitcoin into corporate treasuries and investment funds.
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Regulatory clarity: Policies that support crypto adoption could offset cyclical downturns.
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Technological advancements: Innovation in blockchain infrastructure and derivatives markets continues.
Investors are advised to stay patient and focus on foundational building, rather than chasing quick profits or succumbing to market noise.
