Ethereum Will Continue To Outperform Bitcoin, Here’s The Indicator That Says So

newsbtcPubblicato 2022-03-25Pubblicato ultima volta 2022-03-25

Introduzione

Ethereum moves higher in shorter timeframes and has quickly been reclaiming previous highs. The second crypto by market cap recently broke above the important resistance at $3,000 and has been...

Ethereum moves higher in shorter timeframes and has quickly been reclaiming previous highs. The second crypto by market cap recently broke above the important resistance at $3,000 and has been outperforming Bitcoin during the last week.
As of press time, Ethereum trades at $3,100 with a 3.4% and 12.2% profit in the last 24-hours and last week, respectively. In the meantime, Bitcoin trades north of $43,000 with a 7% profit in one week.

ETH with bullish momentum on the daily chart. Source: ETHUSD Tradingview According to a pseudonym analyst, Ethereum could continue on this track. The analyst has been closely following BTC and ETH’s price performance using the On-Balance-Volume (OBV), a metric used to measure price momentum.
While the analyst believes both cryptocurrencies “look good”, he shared Ethereum’s OBV chart to support a bullish thesis for this asset and its potential to run higher than BTC. The analyst said: “That’s why I’m holding ETH and selling a LITTLE of BTC”.
As ETH’s OBV shows in the chart below, the cryptocurrency broke a downside trend which started in November 2021. At that time, ETH’s OBV stood at around 19 million and descended into a 14 million low last February.

Source: IncomeSharks via Twitter. When Ethereum managed to break the bearish trendline, it hinted at the possibility of reclaiming more of its OBV and maybe making a run into the $4,000. ETH is currently approaching 17 million in OBV.
On the other hand, Bitcoin is yet to break above its OBV trendline. Therefore, it could see some crab-like price action until either bulls or bears push for their benefit. At current levels and in a short timeframe, the analyst expects BTC to pull back on some of its gains.

Source: IncomeSharks via Twitter The Merge Drives Ethereum Higher
However, Bitcoin and Ethereum might profit further in April, when the crypto has historically experienced profits. The analyst said:
Bitcoin seems to love April 1st. It has marked the local bottoms before and been almost the exact bottom before a bull run several times. Minus last year, was a local top, it’s been a very pivotal date. Seeing we’ve already corrected I’m leaning towards an exciting April 1st.
ETH’s price current rally could be supported by the imminent launch of “The Merge”. The event will combine Ethereum’s execution layer with its consensus layer supported by a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) mechanism.
Data from IntoTheBlock indicate interest in this event has been increasing. As seen below, there seems to be a correlation between this metric and the price of ETH.

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On June 3rd, USD/JPY hit 160.44, its highest level since July 2024, while the Nikkei 225 surged past 68,000 points. Contrary to popular narratives of an imminent "carry trade unwind" akin to August 2024, data reveals a more complex picture. Speculative net short positions in yen futures have actually increased, reaching -114,667 contracts by late May, suggesting traders are doubling down rather than retreating. Meanwhile, Japan's Finance Ministry conducted its largest-ever single-round FX intervention (11.73 trillion yen) in April-May but failed to hold the 160 yen line. The Nikkei's rally is not driven by carry trade dynamics. Foreign investors are aggressively buying Japanese stocks, with net purchases in 2026 running nearly 16 times higher than 2025 levels. This inflow is concentrated in AI and semiconductor-related stocks like SoftBank and Socionext, fueled by positive sector outlooks, rather than being a flight from unwinding yen shorts. Furthermore, the Nikkei has continued climbing despite the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) rate hikes to 0.75%. This disconnect exists because the current equity boom is fueled by AI-driven foreign investment, not reliant on cheap yen funding. However, this relationship remains fragile. Should the BOJ hike rates further (e.g., to 1.0%) while dollar weakness increases carry trade costs, the trajectories of the yen and Japanese stocks could reconverge, potentially triggering volatility.

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