【劲爆数据】合约仓位达392亿美元,BTC资金费率低至0以下

火必研究院Pubblicato 2022-03-24Pubblicato ultima volta 2022-03-25

Introduzione

BTC和ETH等主流币短线反弹之布林线上轨,价格表现相对强势,随时准备进一步的变盘信号。

本栏目梳理日内现货市场和期货市场的交易状态,分析BTC及整体市场的交投表现。帮助投资者挖掘有效交易信号。

行情观点

BTC和ETH等主流币短线反弹之布林线上轨,价格表现相对强势,随时准备进一步的变盘信号。目前趋势对多头有利,合约仓位达到近期高位,表明做多意愿提升。

现货数据

1、交易所BTC存量

交易所BTC存量下降到了3月23日的230.3万枚BTC。从交易所BTC存量变化看,2月份到3月份的流出数量增加,表明BTC的抛售压力继续减轻。从2021年7月26日开始,BTC流出交易所趋势延续,意味着投资者操作意愿下降,BTC的价格获得的支撑增长。

2、全网市值和交易量

过去2小时整体市场交易量为1021亿美元,整体市值增幅为2.5%到2万亿美元。关注过去3个月内整体市场的交易量和市值表现,全网市值波动空间在16423亿美元到25005亿美元之间运行。

合约数据

BTC等主流币的合约交易能够发现现货价格,提升价格运行方向。同时,也能够为现货投资者提供套期保值的方法。分析合约多空持仓方向、仓位变化以及杠杆率表现,可以帮助我们确认交易信号。

1、全网爆仓统计

爆仓数量提示了价格运行期间行情阻力释放的效果,爆仓数量越大,说明反向的资金实力越大。过高的爆仓金额短时间出现以后,也可以提示价格反转信号。因为资金在短时间内增加爆仓反向的持仓数量,推动行情短时间内反转运行。

全网合约爆仓

3月24日,全网合约空单爆仓达3531万美元,全网多单爆仓达1168万美元。从爆仓量绝对数值来看,为短线的低水平。同时,3月中旬以来空单爆仓数量普遍规模较大,目前爆仓反向看对价格上涨相对有利。

2、全网持仓和成交额统计

全网合约成交量和持仓量表现稳定,3月24日的持仓量萎缩392亿美元,小幅增长1.8%;成交额为1103亿美元,小幅下滑5.9%。值得注意的是,合约仓位是1月5日以来最高水平,预示着整体市场热度正在继续增长。

3、交易所多空持仓统计

交易所多空持仓占比直观体现了多空实力,动态的多空占比更好的验证了买卖信号。多方持仓占比较多的时候,提示买方实力较强,BTC价格易涨难跌。相反,则空头实力较强,提示了做空信号。

3月24日,BTC多空单比例为1.04%,多单占比50.93%,而空单占比为49.07%。多方连续第三个交易日占优,BTC短期上涨动力较强。

4、合约资金费率

合约资金费率越高,表明多头对价格上涨的信息更大。BTC最新的资金费率数值显示,2022年以来资金费率波动空间较小,更多交易日的融资成本低于0,意味着投资者融资买入BTC的成本很低。3月23日,BTC资金成本为-0.00024。BTC的资金成本低于0,行情还处在底部确认阶段,低吸机会相对较低。

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