Bitcoin price dips under $17.6K June low as FTX nerves liquidate nearly $1B

CointelegraphPubblicato 2022-11-09Pubblicato ultima volta 2022-11-09

Introduzione

BTC price pressure sees sellers take out existing two-year macro lows, but optimism over a relief “pump” is building.

Bitcoin liquidated $200 million of long positions on Nov. 8 as BTC price briefly tumbled to two-year lows.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

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BTC price sets new two-year low
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Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView revealed carnage across crypto price charts as exchange FTX kept the mood low.

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After initially rebounding over $20,000 on news that the embattled FTX might be bought out by competitor Binance, panic returned after the Wall Street open.

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BTC/USD lost $2,000 in under two hours, seeing a sudden plunge that set a low of $17,120 on Bitstamp.

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The last time the pair traded at that level was in late November 2020, meaning Bitcoin managed to beat the previous macro lows of $17,600 set in June this year.

BTC/USD 1-week candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

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Data from the Binance order book showed the sudden cascade downward puncturing solid buy support at $18,000.
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At the Nov. 8 daily close, an area of interest for trade volume was around $18,400 — a zone still in play at the time of writing nearly 12 hours later.

BTC/USD order book chart (Binance). Source: Material Indicators/ Twitter

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Figures from on-chain monitoring resource Coinglass, meanwhile, tracked major pain for long investors caught out at the wrong time.

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BTC long liquidations across exchanges totaled $214 million for Nov. 8, while cross-crypto longs were liquidated to the tune of $670 million.

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Combined with shorts, total liquidations for the day were $915 million.

Crypto liquidations chart. Source: Coinglass

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"Important weeks ahead"
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Analyzing the situation, popular crypto commentators were cautious about calling an end to price turmoil.
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“Way too soon to know how this resolves, but the fact we are seeing another exchange-driven liquidity crisis at this point in the macro structure is really quite something,” a normally optimistic TechDev tweeted: “Important weeks ahead.”
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Others acknowledged that they themselves had fallen foul of volatility, while beyond crypto, the analysis looked for potential silver linings.

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For trading account IncomeSharks, weakness in the United States dollar over the ongoing midterm elections was a promising sign for risk assets.

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“Looks ready to drop below support,” it wrote about the U.S. dollar index (DXY) on the day: “Stocks looking good. Nasty black swan event ruined the price action for Crypto but once that taste is out of people's mouths we should see $BTC and $ETH put up a little rally. Once again the issue is not with the assets themselves.”

U.S. dollar index (DXY) 1-hour candle chart. Source: TradingView

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Nov. 10 was already due to be a volatile day for the week, with U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data due for the month of October.

Letture associate

Bitcoin Trading Strategy Breakdown: Celebrity Predictions and Classic Models All Fail, Only These Four Indicators Remain

Analysis of Bitcoin Trading Strategies: Why Celebrity Forecasts and Classic Models Fail, Leaving Only These Four Reliable Indicators This analysis examines the failure of common Bitcoin prediction methods and identifies four reliable indicators for constructing a trading strategy. The author reviewed all major BTC prediction approaches from 2017-2025, categorizing them into three groups: celebrity price targets (consistently over-optimistic), analytical models like Stock-to-Flow (broken post-2022), and on-chain signals. The key finding is that more data often creates confusion, not clarity. The strategy discards unreliable elements: celebrity predictions (incentivized to be extreme), pure models (invalidated by post-ETF market changes), and the Fear & Greed Index used alone (too many false signals). Four reliable indicators were selected: 1. **MVRV Z-Score:** Accurately identifies cycle bottoms when entering its green zone (e.g., 2018, 2020, 2022). Note: Its ability to call tops is now ineffective post-2024. 2. **SOPR (28-day MA):** Consistently signals bottoms when below 1.0, indicating holders are selling at a loss. 3. **ETF Net Flow:** A crucial post-2024 metric showing institutional momentum (e.g., sustained inflows = buying). 4. **Macro Liquidity (Fed policy & M2):** Sets the overall directional bias (e.g., bullish during easing cycles). The core strategy involves waiting for a multi-signal共振 (resonance). For example, a bottom signal requires MVRV in the green zone + SOPR < 1.0. A top signal requires overheated on-chain data + sustained ETF outflows. Macro policy sets the overall direction. The Fear & Greed Index is only used as a weighted confirmatory signal, never alone. Action is only taken when three or more indicators align. The author automated this into a monitoring system that sends Telegram alerts only when signals trigger. As of the article's date (April 15, 2026), the system showed a strong bottom signal: extreme fear (F&G=12), MVRV in the buy zone, and SOPR < 1.0. The only contrary signal was weak ETF flows. Historically, such triple on-chain共振 has preceded 100%+ returns. The conclusion emphasizes building a personal framework over relying on external predictions, allowing for iterative improvement and customization based on individual risk tolerance.

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Bitcoin Trading Strategy Breakdown: Celebrity Predictions and Classic Models All Fail, Only These Four Indicators Remain

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