【龙虎榜】反向指标ETC强势拉升53% LUNA强者恒强

火必研究院Pubblicato 2022-03-21Pubblicato ultima volta 2022-03-22

Introduzione

BTC短线反弹之均线以上,目前处在10日、30日和60日均线粘合区域的上方运行,表明短线多头实力占优。

1、 大盘走势:BTC调整接近尾声

BTC短线反弹之均线以上,目前处在10日、30日和60日均线粘合区域的上方运行,表明短线多头实力占优。而压力位方面,BTC没能触及120日均线对应的44212美元,意味着BTC价格表现依然不够强势。因此,在判断价格走向的时候,缩量调整以可能是预期方向。尽管如此,利好BTC价格上行的因素存在。例如,巨鲸地址数维持在2277,继续维持高位运行,意味着主力持币数量较大,价格随时会出现拉盘表现。

ETH方面,活跃地址数近期频繁反弹,数值可达70万下方,意味着交易活跃度在提升。同时,ETH2.0的推进预期方面,从POW过渡到POS的时点临近,预期的抛压降低也会相应提升价格吸引力。

2、消息面解读

在美国爆表的通胀数据公布后,高盛更新其对美联储加息的预测。

高盛预测美联储将在2023年第一季度的每次会议上都加息,并预判2022年将7次加息25个基点, 2023年将加息5次,最终利率达到3-3.25%(此前预计为2.75-3%)。因此,货币政策紧缩预期依然利空金融市场。短期加息靴子落地后,中长期加息对股市影响值得关注。

近期美股3大指数持续反弹,黄金在加息落地后维持调整表现。BTC价格虽然小幅回升,价格上涨还需要更多强化信号。因此,近期依然维持谨慎低吸。

3、龙虎榜

DASH:

DASH前期市场表现平淡,但是3日内的涨幅显著扩大。24小时内,DASH最新涨幅扩大至10.7%,排名市值前100币种第二位。交易量超过7亿美元,3日累计涨幅扩大至25%。

消息面方面,DASH核心成员Ernesto将于Uphold团队进行一次对话,或可解释DASH市值的背景原因。

ETC:

ETC在24小时里累计上涨达7.9%,排名龙虎榜单第一位。回顾过去7天内价格表现,ETC涨幅也高达53.1%,在市值前100币种里排名第一位。

3月19日消息面,ETC团队最近宣布与ETH虚拟机兼容的能力,并允许数千个以太坊DAPP移植到ETC。受此影响,ETC从3月19日开始连续3个交易日涨幅达到了12.5%、20%和5%。

以往来看,ETC价格猛涨经常提升BTC短线顶部信号。本次ETC强劲拉升,其反向指标能否应验,可继续关注ETC与BTC的联动表现。

BCH

BCH在过去24小时内涨幅达3%,排名靠前。

从交易量上看,过去1天内交易量排名前五位的币种是BTC、ETH、BCH、ETC和LUNA。其中,BTC与ETH的交易量与市值占比相对应。而BCH市值排名25位,交易量排名第三位,ETC市值排名29位,交易量排名第四位。这说明,BCH和ETC短线交易热度达到较高水平,市值表现可继续关注。

LUNA

LUNA在24小时内的涨幅表现继续排名靠前,涨幅排名为第十位。由于LUNA累计涨幅较大,市场表现继续领涨多数主流币种。同时,LUNA价格靠近历史最高

LUNA的锁仓增长非常迅速,并且在整体公链中占比空间不断提升。数据显示,最新的LUNA的TVL增长到了264.5亿美元。同时,LUNA波段涨幅高达88%以上,短线调整不改变价格强势。

DeFi概念币种里,CVX涨幅排名靠前。

波卡测试网代币KSM涨幅居前,24小时里回升5.4%。随着波卡平行链上项目越来越丰富,生态搭建逐步进行,可适当关注KSM的低吸机会。平台币方面,去中心化交易所代币CAKE涨幅居前。

跌幅榜

前期涨幅较大的APE和RUNE在过去24小时调整空间较大。整体市场表现并不强势,BTC和ETH短线调整,进行关注整体市场的走向。

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