【重磅解读】BTC多头被诡异爆仓3亿美元,ETH跌势难料

火币资讯Pubblicato 2022-09-21Pubblicato ultima volta 2022-09-22

Introduzione

BTC多头在三周内大量爆仓,主力交易动向露出马脚,变盘一触即发。

1、BTC弱势整理

BTC维持弱势整理走势,同时跌幅在不断扩大,意味着近期放量下跌后的颓势并未结束,关键时间的破位下跌依然可能出现。考虑到美联储加息临近,北京时间周四凌晨会宣布加息点位,因此BTC已经处在了变盘的节点位置。点位上,BTC也达到了19000美元下方,短线支撑能否奏效,短期就会有结果持续。考虑到过去3个月内BTC放量运行期间积累了大量套牢盘,同时近2周内的交易量显著增长,意味着放量下跌的可靠性非常高,因此规避风险是短线最值得关注的地方。

2、BTC亏损盘增加

BTC的未确认亏损占比继续增长,9月20日数值达到了0.494的高位,距离前高0.566已经非常近。也就是说,随着跌幅的缓慢扩大,未确认的亏损并未减少。持续积累的亏损投资者增加以后,BTC的破位下跌可能性继续增长。目前来看,还有迹象表明有多头主动入市接盘。因此,只能等待BTC亏损盘在价格下跌期间割肉,才能降低抛售压力。

3、BTC多头爆仓增加

近期BTC多头爆仓的规模维持高位,特别是单日爆仓量明显居高不下。9月6日、9月13日和9月19日,BTC多头爆仓资金可高达1.01亿美元、1.04亿美元和0.97亿美元。也就是说,近期多头被爆仓的资金频繁触及1亿美元,预示着BTC价格维持弱势的概率非常高。多头频繁爆仓以后,支撑力度减弱,BTC价格处在进一步破位的边缘。

4、ETH反弹无果而终

ETH 短线反弹无果而终,短期的4小时K线图小时,价格仍然从布林线中轨位置回落,意味着下跌趋势仍然得到延续。这说明,即便有投资者在价格下跌期间买入ETH,仍旧没能逆转价格回落态势。近期整体交易量表现不佳,4小时K线图中ETH已经连续第九个交易日低于布林线中轨。可见,本次价格回撤或至少持续到美联储加息信号发出以后。

5、ETH交易所流向持续逆转

虽然ETH从交易所流出的趋势在很长时间里延续,但是近期的ETH流向有逆转这一趋势的迹象。随着近期流入到交易所的ETH数量近期大幅度增长,ETH价格下跌或许正在受到影响。9月14日,流入到交易所的ETH数量大幅度增长到了102.1万的高位,并且连续5个交易日净流入交易所。不同于7月21日累计流出交易所多达150万枚ETH,本次ETH流入交易所趋势还有待进一步确认。但是回顾过去2年来的ETH流入交易所的表现,本次单日流入交易所数量最大,对市场影响可以迹象关注。

Letture associate

The Full Story of How Crypto Unicorn Blockstream Is Mired in Serious Fraud Allegations

This article details serious allegations of fraud against Bitcoin infrastructure company Blockstream, founded by Bitcoin pioneer Adam Back. In June 2024, investigative account NatInfoSec published a report accusing Blockstream's mining note (BMN) program of potentially operating a multi-billion dollar scheme with Ponzi-like characteristics. The core allegations focus on Blockstream Mining Notes (BMNs), which offer investors fixed annual yields up to approximately 20% from Bitcoin mining. NatInfoSec's investigation raises several key issues: 1. **Suspicious Hashrate & Payout Capacity**: The analysis suggests Blockstream would need 20-45 EH/s of mining power to cover its BMN obligations, but its public dashboard shows only around 15 EH/s. Furthermore, no verifiable public evidence (e.g., grid connection records, import data) was found to support the massive mining operation required. 2. **Questionable Payout Source**: The BMN contract allows Blockstream to use Bitcoin from *any source* (Substitute Performance BTC) to fulfill investor payouts, raising concerns that payouts may not come from actual mining revenue. 3. **High-Risk, Fixed Returns**: Offering ~20% fixed yields in the volatile, cyclical Bitcoin mining industry is viewed as highly unusual and requires clear explanation. 4. **Undisclosed Criminal Record of Key Figure**: Christopher William Cook, a key figure in Blockstream's mining operations and CEO of spin-off Exacore, was found to have a federal felony conviction for mail fraud in 2008, a fact not disclosed in BMN offering documents. His background was also allegedly embellished. 5. **Potential Contagion to BSTR SPAC**: Questions were raised about whether these liabilities and Cook's record should have been disclosed in the SEC filings for Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company (BSTR), a separate Adam Back-associated firm planning a SPAC merger. The crypto community is divided. BitMEX Research validated Cook's criminal record and expressed concern over the high yields but found other evidence lacking or misleading, noting the legal separation between BMN, Blockstream, and BSTR. Blockstream defenders, like Samson Mow, argue the mining is real. Critics, however, emphasize the lack of independent, verifiable proof of the mining operation's scale and the true source of investor payouts. The article concludes that BMN remains shrouded in key unanswered questions regarding its actual size, the verifiability of its underlying mining assets and payouts, the source of its high yields, and the full role and disclosure concerning Chris Cook. Blockstream had not issued a comprehensive response at the time of writing.

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The Full Story of How Crypto Unicorn Blockstream Is Mired in Serious Fraud Allegations

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