史上最严重“芯荒”明年到来?SK海力士CEO:未来十年将持续供不应求

投研日志Pubblicato 2026-07-13Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-07-13

Introduzione

SK海力士CEO郭鲁正称全球存储行业2027年将面临史上最严重供应短缺,未来十年存储需求将长期超产能;

财联社7月11日讯(编辑 刘蕊)美东时间周五,在韩国存储巨头SK海力士在美股纳斯达克首秀之日,其首席执行官郭鲁正表示,全球存储行业预计在2027年将面临史上最严重的供应短缺。

他还强调,尽管该公司正在大力扩产,但预测未来十年内,存储需求仍将长期超过其生产能力。

史上最大存储短缺明年到来

美东时间周五,郭鲁正对媒体表示:

“我们预计明年将成为该行业历史上供应最紧张的一年…客户的需求持续增长,而我们的产能却存在限制。我们仍预计,即使到2030年以后,客户需求仍将高于我们的供应能力。但我们正尽最大努力解决这一问题。”

郭鲁正的这番言论是在这家韩国芯片制造商成功上市之后发表的。

SK海力士凭借其在英伟达芯片组所用HBM开发领域的领先地位,已成为人工智能供应链中的关键企业。截至周五收盘,SK海力士的股票在纳斯达克首日收涨12.76%,对应市值达到1.22万亿美元。

财联社7月11日讯(编辑 刘蕊)美东时间周五,在韩国存储巨头SK海力士在美股纳斯达克首秀之日,其首席执行官郭鲁正表示,全球存储行业预计在2027年将面临史上最严重的供应短缺。

他还强调,尽管该公司正在大力扩产,但预测未来十年内,存储需求仍将长期超过其生产能力。

史上最大存储短缺明年到来

美东时间周五,郭鲁正对媒体表示:

“我们预计明年将成为该行业历史上供应最紧张的一年…客户的需求持续增长,而我们的产能却存在限制。我们仍预计,即使到2030年以后,客户需求仍将高于我们的供应能力。但我们正尽最大努力解决这一问题。”

郭鲁正的这番言论是在这家韩国芯片制造商成功上市之后发表的。

SK海力士凭借其在英伟达芯片组所用HBM开发领域的领先地位,已成为人工智能供应链中的关键企业。截至周五收盘,SK海力士的股票在纳斯达克首日收涨12.76%,对应市值达到1.22万亿美元。

美国晶圆厂正在考虑中

郭鲁正还表示,美国仍然是其未来晶圆制造投资的几个候选地之一,尽管目前尚未做出决定。

他表示,公司会优先考虑那些能够提供充足土地、电力、水源和熟练工人,并具备有竞争力的制造成本的地区。

“如果这些条件得到满足,美国、日本和东南亚都在考虑范围内,”郭说,“目前尚未做出决定,我们正在评估哪个地点能带来最大的商业优势。”

除了拓展海外产地外,SK海力士目前的主要工厂位于其总部所在地利川和清州,并正在龙仁市建设一座大型设施。

最近SK海力士和三星电子均参与了韩国政府的一项计划,旨在五年内将该国的存储芯片产能翻倍。

该计划包括在韩国西南部各投资400万亿韩元(约合2660亿美元)用于建设芯片生产设施。然而,该计划令一些投资者感到不安,他们担心一旦经济下行,这些存储企业将面临更大的风险。

在美国,SK海力士正投资约40亿美元在印第安纳州建设一座先进的芯片封装工厂。同时,它还计划投资100亿美元在美国发展一家人工智能解决方案公司,旨在寻找新的AI增长引擎。

人工智能需求面临审视

尽管如此,有猜测认为,人工智能投资周期正接近转折点,这正是近期全球芯片股票承压的原因。随着Meta公司试图商业化过剩的人工智能计算能力的消息传出,相关担忧日益加剧。

然而,行业高管和分析师指出,内存供应仍持续落后于需求。

英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋上月表示,由于需求强劲,人工智能内存短缺将持续数年,并补充称SK海力士将继续是该公司最大的内存供应商。

瑞银同样预计,全球DRAM行业至少到2028年第二季度仍将供不应求。

类似地,美国银行对人工智能投资周期持乐观态度,预计今年全球超大规模云计算企业资本支出将达到约8510亿美元,明年将增至1.15万亿美元,这主要得益于强劲的云服务订单、人工智能投资回报率的提升以及对计算密集型AI应用需求的增长。

该银行表示,今年领先超大规模企业筹集的约2440亿美元资金,主要反映的是资产负债表优化,而非融资压力的迹象,并强调资本仍充足,可支持持续的基础设施投资。

周四,美光公司进一步强化了这一乐观预期,该公司表示计划在2035年前于美国投资超过2500亿美元,较去年公布的2000亿美元计划有所增加,其理由是人工智能时代对存储芯片需求激增,以及美国总统特朗普推动加强美国本土半导体制造。

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