Celestia团队计划7月出售价值203万美元的TIA:市场能否消化这股看跌压力?

ambcryptoPubblicato 2026-07-01Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-07-01

Introduzione

Celestia团队计划在7月出售价值约203万美元的TIA代币,这给本已随大盘下跌的TIA带来了额外的结构性抛压。 数据显示,6月现货市场净买入额约为480万美元,累计购买额达1.0668亿美元,表明存在一定的买方需求。尽管永续合约未平仓头寸略有减少,但资金费率仍保持正值,显示大多数衍生品市场资金仍持看涨立场,但并未过度狂热,这降低了价格剧烈暴跌的风险。 流动性热图分析显示,上方的订单集群更为密集,暗示价格有向该水平反弹的可能性。然而,当前TIA价格已出现两位数跌幅,短期下行动量可能将其推向下方的买单支撑区域。 总体来看,尽管团队持续抛售构成看跌压力,但现货市场的潜在需求和多头仓位布局,可能为价格提供一定支撑,并保留未来上行的可能性。

Celestia的代币TIA在过去一天内录得大幅下跌,虽然这次下跌看起来像是整个加密货币市场下滑的延伸,但仔细观察该代币的供应计划可以发现,该资产在结构上已为进一步下行做好了准备。

DeFiLlama数据显示,截至发稿时,除了定于7月1日释放的28,000美元份额外,团队计划在本月结束前每天出售约67,000美元的TIA,在31天内向市场投入总计约203万美元。

来源:DeFiLlama

从表面上看,这种安排显得看跌,但现货市场资金流表明,考虑到TIA在6月份的交易情况,即将到来的需求可能会吸收这股压力。

现货总购买额已达1.0668亿美元,净流入约480万美元,使天平向买方倾斜。

资金费率保持坚挺,尽管未平仓合约减少

过去几天的资金外流仍可解读为看跌情绪在市场蔓延。CoinGlass数据显示,未平仓合约(即投入资产永续合约的资金)下降了2%,即116万美元的资金撤出,使得净未平仓合约降至5800万美元。

来源:CoinGlass

然而,资金流出并未改变市场头寸——衡量TIA永续合约头寸与资金费率平衡的未平仓合约加权资金费率仍为正数,为0.0038%。

相对于未平仓合约的正资金费率表明,永续市场中的大部分资金倾向于做多,押注TIA在未来几个交易时段内将走高。

该读数仅略微看涨,表明交易者并未过度拥挤在多头一侧,这降低了出现急剧多头平仓的风险,并指向更稳定、更有分寸的头寸布局。

TIA流动性热图暗示上行空间

流动性热图指出了TIA上涨的空间。热图本身并不锁定方向,但它通过映射买卖订单的聚集位置来暗示方向。

目前,更深的订单集群位于当前价格上方,这表明确认TIA向这些水平反弹的可能性很大。

来源:CoinGlass

动能目前仍与此相悖,TIA日内已下跌两位数,这种疲软可能将价格拖向下方集群。

这些下方集群包含了可能成为中期反弹种子的待执行买单,并可能将平衡重新拉回对TIA有利的方向。


最终总结

  • Celestia团队计划本月内出售约203万美元的TIA,在全市场下滑之上增加了结构性压力。
  • 现货需求和正资金费率表明,买方可能吸收即将到来的供应,使反弹成为可能。

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Domande pertinenti

Q根据文章,Celestia团队计划在7月份出售多少价值的TIA代币?

A根据文章,Celestia团队计划在整个7月份出售总计约203万美元的TIA代币,平均每天出售约6.7万美元。

Q尽管面临团队抛售压力,文章中提到了哪两个积极的市场信号,表明买方可能吸收压力?

A文章中提到的两个积极市场信号是:第一,现货市场在6月份录得净买入流量约480万美元;第二,加权资金费率为正(0.0038%),表明永续合约市场上的大部分资本持有多头头寸,看好后市。

Q文章中提到的“流动性热力图”暗示TIA价格未来可能向哪个方向移动?

A流动性热力图显示,更密集的订单集群位于当前价格上方,这暗示TIA有较大概率会向这些更高的价格水平反弹。

Q什么是“未平仓合约加权资金费率”?根据文章,TIA的该指标是正还是负,它反映了什么市场情绪?

A“未平仓合约加权资金费率”是衡量永续合约中资金费率与未平仓合约价值之间关系的指标。文章指出,TIA的该指标为正值(0.0038%),这表明永续市场中大部分资本是做多(买入)的,反映出市场参与者预期价格在未来会上涨。

Q文章在“最终总结”部分提到,除了团队抛售,导致TIA面临下行压力的另一个宏观因素是什么?

A除了团队抛售带来的结构性压力,“最终总结”部分指出,TIA还面临着整个加密货币市场普遍下跌(市场范围内的下滑)带来的下行压力。

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