特朗普是否在利用《CLARITY法案》作为更广泛谈判的筹码？

ambcryptoPubblicato 2026-07-01Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-07-01

Introduzione

《清晰法案》（CLARITY Act）原定7月4日的通过截止期限即将到来，但很可能无法按时获批。该法案自2025年7月由美国众议院通过后，在国会遭遇了诸多障碍，包括来自稳定币行业的反对以及立法者的伦理担忧。目前，法案的延迟主要是因为美国总统唐纳德·特朗普将其作为更广泛谈判的筹码。特朗普最近取消了原定签署的《21世纪住房之路法案》（该法案包含禁止央行数字货币的条款，并得到国会两党支持），并重申在国会共和党人通过《拯救美国法案》之前，不会签署其他法案。这一举动导致参议院议程紧张，直接挤压了《清晰法案》在8月休会前通过的机会。尽管面临阻力，参议员蒂姆·斯科特等人仍希望尽快推进该法案。共和党人在参议院银行委员会已提出一项两党提案，支持者担心长期的监管不确定性可能迫使加密货币生态转向法律体系更明确的国家。因此，斯科特主张参议院应迅速行动。然而，如果共和党人无法在8月休会前获得所需的60票，法案势头可能减弱。随着许多议员将重心转向连任竞选，国会优先事项可能转移，导致《清晰法案》的审议推迟到2027年的下一届国会。银河研究已将法案通过前景从60%下调至50%，与6月初白宫内部对法案能在7月4日前通过的乐观预期形成鲜明对比。

《CLARITY法案》的7月4日最后通过期限看起来将在未获批准的情况下失效。自美国众议院于2025年7月批准该法案以来，已过去近一年。

此后，该法案在国会遇到了诸多障碍。这包括来自稳定币行业对奖励措施的反对以及立法者的伦理担忧。有趣的是，当前的延迟是因为该法案现在正被美国总统唐纳德·特朗普用作更广泛谈判的筹码。

特朗普的举动引发震动

根据最新消息，特朗普总统取消了《21世纪住房之路法案》的签署仪式。

该法案包含了对央行数字货币的禁令，并得到了国会两院两党的支持。今年三月，特朗普曾宣称，除非国会中的共和党人通过《拯救美国法案》，否则他“不会签署其他法案”。

这造成了参议院议程安排紧张，直接挤压了《CLARITY法案》在八月休会前获得通过的机会。

参议员们对《CLARITY法案》抱有希望

尽管特朗普已撤回，参议员蒂姆·斯科特已表示支持尽快推进该法案。

推动力也来自这样一个事实：参议院银行委员会的共和党人已经提出了一项两党提案。

总而言之，紧迫感源于担忧持续的监管不明确性可能会将加密生态系统推向具有更明确法律体系的国家。因此，斯科特主张参议院应迅速采取行动通过该立法。

7月4日的最后期限现实吗？

话虽如此，如果共和党人无法在参议院八月休会前获得所需的六十票，该法案也可能失去势头。由于许多立法者将重新专注于连任竞选，国会的优先事项可能会因此发生变化。这反过来将把《CLARITY法案》的审议工作推迟到2027年的下届国会。

Galaxy Research 已将其对《CLARITY法案》的前景预期从60%下调至50%。这与六月初的乐观情绪形成了鲜明对比，当时即使白宫内部也对这部加密市场结构法案能在原定的7月4日最后期限前获得通过抱有很高期望。

最终总结

唐纳德·特朗普取消了《21世纪住房之路法案》的签署仪式。
由于这一阻碍，《CLARITY法案》在7月4日截止日期前获得批准的前景看起来岌岌可危。

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Domande pertinenti

Q根据文章，特朗普总统将《清晰法案》用作什么？

A特朗普总统将《清晰法案》用作更广泛谈判中的筹码，以推动其他议程，这直接导致了该法案在国会八月休会前通过的几率下降。

Q《清晰法案》在7月4日最后期限前通过的前景如何？

A文章指出，由于特朗普将其作为谈判筹码，以及参议院日程紧张，《清晰法案》在7月4日最后期限前通过的前景变得岌岌可危，有分析机构已将通过的预期概率从60%下调至50%。

Q参议员蒂姆·斯科特对《清晰法案》持什么态度？

A参议员蒂姆·斯科特支持尽快推进《清晰法案》。他担心长期的监管不确定性可能迫使加密货币生态系统流向法律更明确的国家，因此主张参议院应迅速采取行动通过该法案。

Q文章中提到的“21世纪住房道路法案”与《清晰法案》有何关联？

A特朗普总统取消了本应签署“21世纪住房道路法案”的仪式，该法案包含禁止中央银行数字货币（CBDC）的条款。特朗普以此作为谈判策略，强调在国会共和党人通过“拯救美国法案”之前，他不会签署其他法案。这一举动挤压了参议院的日程安排，间接阻碍了《清晰法案》的进程。

Q如果《清晰法案》未能在八月休会前通过，可能导致什么结果？

A如果《清晰法案》未能在八月休会前获得所需的60票，该法案可能会失去动力。随着许多议员将重心转向连任竞选，国会的优先事项可能会转移，从而导致对该法案的审议被推迟到2027年的下一届国会。

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