[Key interpretation] BTC has accumulated momentum of breaking down, and EOS has mainly increased its holdings in hard bifurcated markets

HuobiPubblicato 2022-08-26Pubblicato ultima volta 2022-08-29

Introduzione

The loss is large. BTC plans to break the position and fall at the weekend. EOS will increase its holdings and wait for the hard fork price to soar.

1. BTC seeks a breakthrough during sideways Trading

In the 4-hour K-line diagram, during the horizontal operation stage of BTC, the price fluctuation space is very limited. It is generally limited to the distance between the middle rail of the Bollinger line and the rail of the Bollinger line, with a span of only US $350. At the same time, the longer the sideways time, there are signs that BTC will further fall below the middle rail of the brin line. The corresponding point of the middle rail of brin line is 21492 US dollars. At present, the trading volume continues to shrink, and the possibility of the price choosing the direction in the short term is increased. Pay attention to the falling signal after the weekend change.

2. BTC does not realize high loss operation

The unrealized loss of BTC remained at a high level, which indicates that the loss of investors will not be reduced during the period of price sideways adjustment. With the completion of the downward falling signal of BTC price during the horizontal trading period, the impact of unrealized losses on the market remains unchanged. On the premise that the unrealized loss has not significantly decreased, it is more likely that BTC will further adjust. Recently, the chain and spot trading volume have remained stable, which has formed a certain support for the BTC price. However, the buying does not seem to be strong, and the real direction can be confirmed after the BTC fluctuation strengthens.

3. EOS short line 2nd pulse

After the EOS short-term pulse volume rose for two times in a row, the price rose to below $2 and then fell. Due to the short release time, the price fluctuation space of EOS is weakened. After falling for three consecutive trading days recently, there are obvious signs of continued decline. In terms of indicators, the RSI index on the 12th rebounded to the highest 74 and then retreated. Although there was no overbought article reaching 80, it still suggested that the short-term high level appeared and the position reduction signal was formed. In terms of growth, after the EOS hit the bottom from the low of US $0.815, it reached US $1.958, up 140%. In terms of trading volume, the peak volume did not significantly exceed the previous high, and attention should be paid to adjusting the risk.

4. EOS main currency holding growth

Among the top 10 main holders of EOS, the number of coins held by EOS also increased as the price fluctuated upward. In terms of specific value, it rebounded from 68.16% on August 4 to 69.62% on August 25, and the recovery space reached 1.46 percentage points. In terms of price increase, the EOS price rose from the closing price of US $1.118 on August 4 to US $1.732 on August 25, with an increase of 54%. The trend of main positions increased in synchronization with the price increase.

5. Message side

On August 17, Yves la rose, CEO of EOS network foundation, announced the launch of a new forked public chain antelope to replace EOS on social media. According to the introduction, antelope is an open framework for building the next generation of Web3 products and services. Its community run code base supports the fastest and safest user-friendly blockchain.

At the time point, on September 21, EOS will hard fork and activate its v3.1 consensus upgrade (hardwork). EOS EVM (trustevm) will soon be available on the EOS network.

Previously, Yves La Rose said that trust EVM launched by EOS might become the preferred L2 solution for Ethereum. Trust EVM is the official EOS EVM platform with deterministic gas computing, EVM compatibility at instruction set level and full RPC compatibility. It will soon be launched on the EOS main network

In fact, the hard fork is EOS foundation and block In the process of one seizing power, the hard bifurcation news can indeed attract investors to enter the market for trading, but the duration of the heat should be vigilant. At the same time, the ecological development after the hard bifurcation is the most noteworthy place. As for the time of speculation, there is still half a month to go before the hard bifurcation. In the near future, we can pay attention to the low-income opportunities.

Letture associate

Bitcoin Trading Strategy Breakdown: Celebrity Predictions and Classic Models All Fail, Only These Four Indicators Remain

Analysis of Bitcoin Trading Strategies: Why Celebrity Forecasts and Classic Models Fail, Leaving Only These Four Reliable Indicators This analysis examines the failure of common Bitcoin prediction methods and identifies four reliable indicators for constructing a trading strategy. The author reviewed all major BTC prediction approaches from 2017-2025, categorizing them into three groups: celebrity price targets (consistently over-optimistic), analytical models like Stock-to-Flow (broken post-2022), and on-chain signals. The key finding is that more data often creates confusion, not clarity. The strategy discards unreliable elements: celebrity predictions (incentivized to be extreme), pure models (invalidated by post-ETF market changes), and the Fear & Greed Index used alone (too many false signals). Four reliable indicators were selected: 1. **MVRV Z-Score:** Accurately identifies cycle bottoms when entering its green zone (e.g., 2018, 2020, 2022). Note: Its ability to call tops is now ineffective post-2024. 2. **SOPR (28-day MA):** Consistently signals bottoms when below 1.0, indicating holders are selling at a loss. 3. **ETF Net Flow:** A crucial post-2024 metric showing institutional momentum (e.g., sustained inflows = buying). 4. **Macro Liquidity (Fed policy & M2):** Sets the overall directional bias (e.g., bullish during easing cycles). The core strategy involves waiting for a multi-signal共振 (resonance). For example, a bottom signal requires MVRV in the green zone + SOPR < 1.0. A top signal requires overheated on-chain data + sustained ETF outflows. Macro policy sets the overall direction. The Fear & Greed Index is only used as a weighted confirmatory signal, never alone. Action is only taken when three or more indicators align. The author automated this into a monitoring system that sends Telegram alerts only when signals trigger. As of the article's date (April 15, 2026), the system showed a strong bottom signal: extreme fear (F&G=12), MVRV in the buy zone, and SOPR < 1.0. The only contrary signal was weak ETF flows. Historically, such triple on-chain共振 has preceded 100%+ returns. The conclusion emphasizes building a personal framework over relying on external predictions, allowing for iterative improvement and customization based on individual risk tolerance.

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Bitcoin Trading Strategy Breakdown: Celebrity Predictions and Classic Models All Fail, Only These Four Indicators Remain

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