Polygon：多头捍卫0.10美元需求区 – POL能否反弹15%？

ambcryptoPubblicato 2026-02-04Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-02-04

Introduzione

Polygon（POL）近期在0.10美元心理需求位获得支撑并出现反弹，1月2日单日涨幅达15.25%。尽管该位置已两次成功防守，但整体仍处于0.10–0.18美元的区间震荡格局，未摆脱长期下跌趋势。1月POL代币销毁量达2570万枚，创下月度记录，但受比特币市场情绪影响，价格未能形成强势上涨。 目前反弹能否延续尚不明朗，关键阻力位于0.1325美元附近。若比特币未能突破7.94万美元局部阻力位，POL突破0.12–0.13美元区域的可能性较低。建议投资者保持观望，关注0.13美元供应区的多空反应，突破则可能上探0.186美元，遇阻则可能再次回探支撑。 **免责声明：以上内容仅为作者观点，不构成任何投资建议。**

Polygon [POL] 在0.1美元心理需求区域出现积极反应。该代币于一月初首次测试该区域，并在上周末再次测试，随后在1月2日周一大涨15.25%。

这一反应令人鼓舞，但并未扭转POL的长期下跌趋势。一月份的上涨伴随着单日销毁300万枚POL代币的里程碑事件。

整个月都保持着强劲的销毁速率。AMBCrypto报道称当月共销毁2570万枚POL，成为月度销毁量最大的记录之一。

然而，比特币[BTC]抛压引发的市场恐慌情绪对Polygon多头并不利。

POL走势看涨还是看跌？

从周线图来看（回溯至2024年12月），该山寨币一直处于下跌趋势。但从上方日线图观察，目前既非看涨也非看跌。

价格似乎被约束在0.10美元至0.18美元区间内震荡。

在短短一个多月内，0.0987美元低点已第二次经受测试并成功守住。OBV指标也未创新低，显示买卖压力处于平衡状态。

当前反弹恰逢周一比特币回升至7.9万美元。可以确定的是，比特币将对POL价格走势产生重大影响，并可能决定其下一轮突破方向。

POL反弹潜力评估

0.1325美元是近几周的重要支撑位。图中标红的0.13美元供应区也是可能引发空头反应的短期阻力区。

因此，当前POL反弹有可能延伸至0.1325美元。

能否进一步扩大涨幅？就目前而言可能性不大。在突破7.94万美元局部阻力位之前，比特币短期走势仍偏空。

交易者行动指南 – 保持观望

长期投资者会因0.1美元心理支撑位的坚守而受到鼓舞，但现在断言复苏为时过早。波段交易者可重点关注0.13美元供应区。

若该区域出现看跌反应可视为卖出机会。若能有效突破该水平，则可能推动价格向0.186美元攀升。

最终结论

  • POL近几周一直在0.10美元至0.18美元区间震荡
  • 除非比特币重新站上局部阻力位，否则POL突破0.12美元和0.1325美元的可能性较低

免责声明：本文所提供信息不构成财务、投资、交易等任何形式的建议，仅代表作者个人意见。

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