Decentraland bergabung dengan rebound GameFi – Langkah MANA menuju $0,20 bergantung pada...

ambcryptoPubblicato 2026-01-19Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-01-19

Introduzione

Decentraland (MANA) menunjukkan kenaikan kuat pada 17 Januari, berhasil menembus level resistensi di $0.15. Sektor GameFi, termasuk Axie Infinity (AXS), juga mengalami pemulihan, meski momentumnya melambat dalam 48 jam terakhir. Penurunan harga Bitcoin baru-baru ini memicu koreksi MANA dan likuidasi besar di pasar. Data on-chain menunjukkan minat jual yang signifikan: Dormant Circulation melonjak pada 18 Januari, mengindikasikan penjualan token lama, sementara Mean Coin Age turun dan MVRV 30-hari berada di -4.7%, menandakan kerugian rata-rata pemegang jangka pendek. Meski volume spot tidak overheated dan ada arus keluar token dari exchange, keyakinan bullish jangka panjang masih lemah. Potensi kenaikan menuju $0.20–$0.25 masih mungkin, namun trader disarankan mengambil profit di level resisten terdekat ($0.17 dan $0.19) mengingat tekanan profit-taking yang tinggi dan kurangnya konsolidasi yang sehat.

Decentraland [MANA] mencetak keuntungan kuat pada Sabtu, 17 Januari.

Selama sepuluh hari terakhir, zona resistensi lokal di $0,15 telah diperebutkan, tetapi para bull berhasil melakukan breakout bersih melewati level ini pada hari Sabtu.

Sektor GameFi mencetak keuntungan kuat dalam beberapa hari terakhir, dengan Axie Infinity [AXS] memimpin serangan. Momentum ini terhenti dalam 48 jam terakhir, tetapi bisa menyala kembali minggu ini.

Penurunan Bitcoin [BTC] dalam beberapa jam perdagangan terakhir telah menyeret harga MANA lebih rendah. Langkah ini memicu likuidasi $864 juta di seluruh pasar dalam 24 jam terakhir.

Jika ini semata-mata perburuan likuiditas, peluang pemulihan akan lebih baik. Ini bisa mempersiapkan MANA dan beberapa altcoin terpilih untuk pantulan yang baik.

Menilai kekuatan bull Decentraland

Data Coinalyze menunjukkan bahwa Open Interest, yang telah meningkat hampir 50% selama akhir pekan, mengalami penurunan 10% dalam beberapa jam terakhir.

Sirkulasi Tidur (Dormant Circulation) mengalami lonjakan cukup besar pada Minggu, 18 Januari. Ini disertai dengan penurunan harga yang cepat. Secara umum, peningkatan Sirkulasi Tidur menyiratkan koin-coin lama sedang dipindahkan secara onchain untuk dijual.

Selain itu, MVRV 30-hari, yang telah mencapai 10,3% pada 13 Januari, berada di level -4,7% pada saat penulisan. Ini menandakan bahwa pemegang jangka pendek, rata-rata, kembali menghadapi kerugian.

Usia Rata-Rata Koin (Mean Coin Age) juga telah turun selama seminggu terakhir. Kurangnya akumulasi, ramainya pergerakan token tidur, dan pemegang jangka pendek mengambil keuntungan mengindikasikan kurangnya keyakinan pasar jangka panjang.

Peta Gelembung Volume Spot (Spot Volume Bubble Map) mengindikasikan bahwa pasar tidak overheated. Sebelumnya, akhir 2024 dan puncak siklus 2021 menandai kondisi overheated, yang mengakibatkan tren penurunan jangka panjang.

Metrik Arus Bersih Exchange (Exchange Netflow) menunjukkan arus keluar MANA yang cukup besar dalam dua hari terakhir. Ini adalah tanda yang sedikit menggembirakan, tetapi investor ingin melihat arus keluar yang berkelanjutan dalam beberapa minggu mendatang.

Secara keseluruhan, metrik onchain Decentraland menunjukkan bahwa ancaman dari pengambilan keuntungan cukup besar.

Reli menuju $0,20 dan $0,25 dimungkinkan, tetapi trader dan investor harus menjaga ekspektasi mereka secara wajar.

Trader, khususnya, harus fokus pada mengambil keuntungan ketika altcoin menantang zona resistensi terdekat, seperti $0,17 dan $0,19.


Pemikiran Akhir

  • Lonjakan sirkulasi tidur hari sebelumnya, dikombinasikan dengan penurunan usia rata-rata koin selama seminggu terakhir, mengindikasikan distribusi MANA.
  • MANA tidak overheated, ditunjukkan peta volume spot, dan ada ruang untuk keuntungan lebih lanjut, tetapi keyakinan pasar bullish kurang.

Domande pertinenti

QApa yang menyebabkan kenaikan kuat harga Decentraland (MANA) pada tanggal 17 Januari?

ADecentraland (MANA) mengalami kenaikan kuat karena sektor GameFi menunjukkan pemulihan, dengan Axie Infinity (AXS) memimpin kenaikan tersebut, dan MANA berhasil melakukan breakout dari level resistensi lokal di $0.15.

QMetrik onchain apa yang menunjukkan bahwa pemegang MANA jangka pendek menghadapi kerugian?

AMetrik MVRV 30-hari, yang turun dari 10.3% pada 4 Januari menjadi -4.7%, menunjukkan bahwa pemegang MANA jangka pendek, rata-rata, kembali menghadapi kerugian.

QApa yang ditunjukkan oleh peningkatan Dormant Circulation pada hari Minggu, 18 Januari?

APeningkatan Dormant Circulation menunjukkan bahwa koin MANA yang sudah lama tidak bergerak (lama tersimpan) mulai dipindahkan di jaringan blockchain, kemungkinan besar untuk dijual, yang biasanya menyebabkan tekanan jual dan penurunan harga.

QMenurut artikel, apakah kondisi pasar MANA saat ini dianggap overheated (terlalu panas)?

ATidak, menurut Spot Volume Bubble Map, kondisi pasar MANA tidak dianggap overheated. Peta tersebut menunjukkan masih ada ruang untuk kenaikan lebih lanjut, tidak seperti kondisi pada akhir 2024 dan puncak siklus 2021.

QApa saran artikel untuk para trader terkait level resistensi $0.17 dan $0.19?

AArtikel menyarankan para trader untuk fokus pada mengambil keuntungan (take profit) ketika harga MANA mendekati dan menguji level-level resistensi terdekat tersebut, seperti $0.17 dan $0.19.

Letture associate

Google TPU Shipments Revised Up by 50%

Recent industry research indicates a significant upward revision in the shipments of Google's TPU (Tensor Processing Unit) chips. Previous expectations for 2027 were set at around 10 million units, but new estimates now point to 15 million units, a 50% increase. This substantial boost directly translates to higher demand across the entire supporting supply chain. Google's TPU clusters utilize a standardized all-optical interconnect architecture. Consequently, key hardware components are deeply integrated and scaled in fixed ratios with the chips. The 15 million TPU target will drive corresponding demand increases for NPO optical engines (roughly a 1:1 match), 1.6T optical modules, OCS optical switches, high-end server power supplies, fiber optics & MPO connectors, and liquid cooling solutions. Among these, liquid cooling is highlighted as the sector experiencing the most significant transformation and offering the most stable potential for excess returns. As next-generation TPU chips reach power levels where traditional air cooling is insufficient, liquid cooling becomes essential. 2026 is forecasted as the first year of substantial adoption for Google's liquid cooling solutions. This shift, coupled with delivery and capacity bottlenecks faced by incumbent overseas manufacturers, is creating a prime window for domestic Chinese suppliers to enter and secure Google's core supply chain. The market size for Google-specific liquid cooling is projected to potentially triple from a baseline of hundreds of billions to around 300 billion units by 2028. The logic for the fiber optic sector is also being rewritten. Once considered a cyclical commodity tied to telecom operator procurement, fiber is now a strategic and scarce resource for AI Data Centers (AIDC). A severe supply-demand imbalance, driven by the long lead time for preform production (18-24 months) and surging demand from cloud giants, is supporting strong performance. Chinese fiber manufacturers are well-positioned to capture a significant share of global AIDC demand, with exports potentially reaching 200-300 million core kilometers in 2026. Overall, the investment focus within the AI computing industry is shifting from pure "chip performance speculation" towards the more certain incremental growth in computing infrastructure and its supporting ecosystem. The upward revision in Google TPU shipments, along with the potential for further doubling by 2028, is seen as solidifying performance visibility for the entire supporting supply chain over the next two years.

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What Wall Street Really Wants After the Crypto Story Recedes

The tide of speculative crypto narratives has receded, revealing Wall Street's true objective: building a controlled, yield-generating, and compliant financial pipeline on distributed ledgers. They are migrating core functions onto blockchains, not for decentralization, but for efficiency and new revenue streams. Key developments include BlackRock's BUIDL fund, a tokenized treasury fund acting as a foundational reserve asset, and the rise of Securitize, which is going public and partnering with the NYSE to build a 24/7 digital securities trading and settlement system. This signals a major shift of securities clearing to blockchain technology. To make volatile assets like Bitcoin palatable for institutional investors, firms like BlackRock and Goldman Sachs are creating "covered call" ETFs (e.g., BITA). These products systematically sell options on Bitcoin holdings, transforming price volatility into stable monthly income, effectively repackaging crypto as a yield-bearing asset. Stablecoins are being positioned not as speculative tools but as efficient payment rails. Companies like Stripe and Mastercard are integrating them for instant, low-cost merchant settlements and cross-border card payments, respectively. Critically, new legislation like the GENIUS Act shapes them as non-interest-bearing, heavily regulated extensions of the US dollar system. In summary, Wall Street is quietly constructing a parallel, blockchain-based financial infrastructure featuring tokenized traditional assets, structured crypto yields, and programmable dollar pipelines—all under its control and fully integrated with existing regulatory and credit frameworks.

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Tying Itself to SpaceX: Cursor's $60 Billion Rise

This article recounts the rapid rise of AI-powered coding startup Cursor and its 25-year-old MIT graduate CEO, Michael Truell. Launched in 2023, Cursor achieved explosive growth, reaching over 10 billion USD in revenue by late 2025. However, its journey highlights a central dilemma for AI application companies: dependence on foundational model providers. Cursor initially relied heavily on Anthropic's models but faced an existential threat when Anthropic launched its own competing coding tool, Claude Code. In response, Cursor declared an internal emergency in early 2026 and accelerated development of its own model, Composer. To secure the immense computing power needed, Truell struck a pivotal deal with Elon Musk's SpaceX in April 2026. The collaboration grants Cursor access to SpaceX's supercomputing resources for Composer, while SpaceX's Grok model benefits from Cursor's programming data. The agreement includes a potential 600 billion USD acquisition of Cursor by SpaceX later in the year, though a substantial termination fee is in place if the deal falls through. The story explores Cursor's intense, sometimes controversial hiring practices involving lengthy unpaid "work trials," its complex partnership-turned-rivalry with Anthropic, and its high-stakes gamble to ensure independence through the SpaceX alliance. The core question remains: will Cursor evolve into a defining, independent "generational" software company, or become a key piece in a tech giant's AI arsenal?

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Warsh's Debut: Will the FED Chair Who Knows Crypto Best Bring Surprises or Shocks to the Market?

Kevin Warsh, the new Federal Reserve Chairman, prepares for his inaugural press conference amidst a challenging macroeconomic landscape: resurgent inflation, a bond market sell-off, and political pressure from President Trump for rate cuts. Uniquely, Warsh holds indirect investments in over 20 crypto and Web3 entities (e.g., Solana, dYdX), making him the first Fed Chair with disclosed crypto exposure. His stance may combine a hawkish, inflation-focused monetary policy with a crypto-friendly regulatory philosophy that shifts from Powell’s “same risk, same rule” approach toward a framework acknowledging blockchain’s productivity value. Warsh’s leadership could impact crypto markets across three dimensions: a paradigm shift in regulation (potentially accelerating pro-innovation legislation and stable币 rules), a re-pricing of risk premiums based on clearer communication and his view of AI as a structural disinflationary force, and a long-term reallocation of global institutional capital driven by increased legitimacy. Two potential scenarios for the press conference are outlined. A “positive surprise” would involve a dovish-leaning tone on rates coupled with signals of regulatory openness, potentially boosting crypto asset valuations. Conversely, a “negative shock” would see a more hawkish-than-expected stance on inflation and rates, triggering a broad risk-asset selloff that crypto markets would not escape. While ethics rules required Warsh to divest his crypto holdings upon confirmation, his deep understanding of the technology may fundamentally lower policy uncertainty and build a more receptive long-term foundation for digital assets’ integration into the mainstream financial system.

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142 Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2024.12.12Aggiornato il 2026.06.02

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