From Options Derivatives to Prediction Markets: A Quick Look at Coinbase's 2025 Crypto Acquisition Blueprint

Odaily星球日报Pubblicato 2025-12-23Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-12-23

Introduzione

Coinbase has significantly expanded its ecosystem in 2025 through a series of strategic acquisitions, aiming to build an "Everything Exchange." Key acquisitions include: - **Roam** (on-chain browser/search engine) - **Spindl** (on-chain advertising platform) - **Iron Fish** team (privacy layer, team-only acquisition) - **Deribit** ($2.9B, major derivatives platform) - **Liquifi** (token management) - **Opyn** team (DeFi options, talent acquisition) - **Sensible** founders (yield platform, later shut down) - **Echo** ($375M, launchpad platform by Cobie) - **Vector.fun** (Solana DEX, to enhance cross-chain trading) - **The Clearing Company** (prediction markets) Most deals were undisclosed talent/team acquisitions, focusing on integrating expertise rather than tokens or legacy systems. The strategy emphasizes consolidating services—spanning spot, derivatives, DeFi, privacy, and prediction markets—into a unified platform. This aligns with CEO Brian Armstrong's vision of a one-stop "Exchange Everything" model, strengthening Coinbase's competitive position against rivals like Binance and OKX.

Original / Odaily Planet Daily (@OdailyChina)

Author / Wenser(@wenser2010)

As 2025 draws to a close, Coinbase has made another move, this time targeting the red-hot prediction market sector.

Last night, Coinbase announced its acquisition of the prediction market startup The Clearing Company. Founded by former employees of Kalshi and Polymarket, the company had previously secured a $15 million seed round with participation from Coinbase. This acquisition is seen as a crucial step in Coinbase's vision to build an "Everything Exchange."

As a key crypto-related stock in the U.S. market, Coinbase's series of acquisitions in 2025 are gradually revealing its deeper on-chain strategy. Odaily Planet Daily will梳理 (sort out) its annual acquisition projects in this article, attempting to透视 (see through) Coinbase's future strategic direction.

Coinbase's 2025 'Top 10 Acquisitions': From On-Chain Products to Financial Platforms

Roam: On-Chain Browser and Search Engine

In January of this year, the on-chain browser and search engine Roam officially announced via a post that it had been acquired by Coinbase. Project co-founders Xen Baynham-Herd (CEO), Ali Fathalian (CTO), and John Granata (CFO) have all joined Coinbase to help accelerate the development of the company's on-chain consumer products.

Subsequently, the project's CEO @XenBH became the current Global Growth Lead for Base, while the project itself has faded into obscurity.

Project official account: https://x.com/roam_xyz

Spindl: On-Chain Advertising Platform

At the end of January this year, according to an official announcement, Coinbase announced the acquisition of the on-chain advertising platform Spindl, aiming to rebuild the on-chain advertising technology stack. The specific acquisition amount was not disclosed. The platform was founded by former Facebook advertising team member Antonio Garcia-Martinez and focuses on solving the on-chain distribution problems faced by builders. Its technology can allow Coinbase to help developers spread on-chain and find distribution channels within Coinbase and across the entire on-chain economy.

The platform had previously raised $7 million in a 2022 funding round led by DragonFly Capital and Chapter 1, with participation from Polygon Ventures, Tribe Capital, Multicoin, Solana Ventures, and others. At the time, founder García Martínez stated that the company was trying to rebuild the infrastructure of the Web2 e-commerce backend for Web3—i.e., how internet businesses track where their customers come from and develop customer acquisition strategies to attract more users. For example, Spindl could analyze Discord posts, Reddit forums, ads, and other internet links, pair this data with on-chain behaviors like purchases, sales, and trades to create profiles that help protocols understand traffic sources.

Clearly, similar to Web2 internet giant Alibaba acquiring internet platforms, the project's fate was similar: the team was absorbed into the Coinbase or Base organization, and the project gradually faded away until it quietly shut down.

Project official account: https://x.com/spindl_xyz

Iron Fish: Universal Privacy Layer for Crypto Assets

In March of this year, Base, Coinbase's L2 network, acquired the development team behind the privacy blockchain Iron Fish in the form of a team acquisition, specifically emphasizing that "this acquisition is limited to the team; Base will not acquire the Iron Fish blockchain or its native token."

This move is strikingly similar to Circle's previous acquisition of Interop Labs, the development team behind Axelar, while having no intention of "taking on" the Axelar Network, Axelar Foundation, or AXL token. In the eyes of giants, the developers of crypto projects are intangible organizational assets, while the tokens and the crypto projects themselves are more like a form of "debt." Recommended reading: 《Circle's Acquisition of Axelar Sparks Controversy: Giants Only Want the People, Not the Coin》.

Project official account: https://x.com/ironfishcrypto

Deribit: World's Largest Crypto Derivatives Platform

In May of this year, Coinbase splurged $2.9 billion ($700 million in cash and 11 million shares of Coinbase Class A common stock) to acquire the crypto options platform Deribit, aiming to integrate spot, futures, and options, and deeply coordinate the trading capabilities of its platforms. At the time, Coinbase was primarily interested in Deribit's high open interest of $30 billion and trading volume in the trillions of dollars.

Subsequently, Coinbase's Q1 2025 earnings report showed its revenue fell 12% quarter-on-quarter to $2.03 billion, missing market expectations, with trading revenue falling nearly 19% year-on-year to $1.3 billion. However, analysts from institutions like Bernstein and Canaccord纷纷 (repeatedly) gave positive evaluations of "Coinbase's acquisition of Deribit," believing it would enhance Coinbase's strategic position in the derivatives field and aid its global layout.

Project official account: https://x.com/DeribitOfficial

Liquifi: Token Management Company

In July of this year, Coinbase formally acquired the token management company Liquifi, marking Coinbase's fifth acquisition of the year; additionally, Coinbase Head of Corporate Development Aklil Ibssa declined to disclose specific transaction terms and amounts.

It is reported that Liquifi's last funding round was a $5 million seed round in 2022, led by venture capital firm Dragonfly, with participation from crypto heavyweights like Katie Haun and Balaji Srinivasan. Prominent cryptocurrency companies like the Uniswap Foundation, OP Labs, Ethena, and Zora used the platform to track cryptocurrency holdings, distribute tokens after vesting periods, and manage complex tax withholding processes.

Since then, the project's external updates have stopped at the tweet about the acquisition.

Project official account: https://x.com/liquifi_finance

Opyn: DeFi Options Protocol

Also in July, Coinbase completed its sixth acquisition of the year, in the form of a talent acquisition (acqui-hire), bringing in two core members of the DeFi options protocol Opyn: CEO Andrew Leone and Head of Research Joe Clark. The two subsequently joined Coinbase's on-chain markets team to participate in the development of the Verified pool and other on-chain products.

Coinbase stated that the Opyn team had launched the first DeFi options protocol and developed Power Perpetuals and Squeeth products. It is worth mentioning that Opyn was sued by the CFTC in 2023 for allegedly operating an unregistered trading platform and ultimately settled by paying a $250,000 fine, with co-founders Zubin Koticha and Alexis Gauba resigning at the time.

It is reported that through two funding rounds, Opyn had raised at least $10.9 million, including a $2.16 million seed round led by Dragonfly Capital and a $6.7 million Series A round in 2021 led by Paradigm, with participation from Dragonfly Capital, Synthetix founder Kain Warwick, Aave founder Stani Kulechov, and others.

Project official account: https://x.com/opyn_

Sensible: Crypto Yield Platform

In September of this year, Coinbase formally acquired the founders of the crypto yield platform Sensible, Jacob Frantz and Zachary Salmon. The two naturally joined Coinbase, while the whereabouts of the other few employees are unknown.

Ultimately, the project was shut down in October, with the project's official account's last tweet being a "welcome message" from Coinbase Head of Corporate Development Aklil Ibssa.

Project official account: https://x.com/holdsensible

Echo: Launchpad Platform

In October of this year, Coinbase acquired the Launchpad platform Echo, owned by crypto KOL Cobie (well-known cryptocurrency trader Jordan Fish), for $375 million. This is the second income Cobie has received from Coinbase—the first was his hosted podcast UpOnly NFT being acquired by Coinbase for $25 million. This also means that, although this ticket does not grant any sponsorship rights, we, the onlookers, can still look forward to the official release of future programs.

Additionally, Cobie also stated that ECHO will continue to operate as an independent platform for the time being, but its public offering product sonar will be integrated into Coinbase.

Project official account: https://x.com/echodotxyz

Vector.fun: Solana Ecosystem Trading Platform

In November of this year, Coinbase VP of Product Management Max Branzburg revealed plans to acquire the Solana trading platform Vector.fun. The transaction is expected to be completed before the end of the year, but the terms and specific amount were not disclosed.

After the acquisition is completed, Vector.fun's existing application will be shut down, and its technology will be used to enhance the decentralized trading functionality of the Coinbase app, enabling users to trade Solana ecosystem assets directly through Coinbase, breaking through the current limitation of only supporting on-chain trading on Base.

Regarding this acquisition, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong stated, "Earlier this year I said we would step up our Solana game. Since then, we've brought AgentKit and x402 to Solana, and upgraded infrastructure to scale our services (5x block processing throughput, 4x RPC performance). Now, we're bringing SOL-native tech and talent onto our platform to level up Coinbase's support for Solana trading. This is how we build the Everything Exchange."

Another noteworthy point is that this acquisition was criticized by market participants for alleged insider trading. The project's token TNSR surged 8x in two days before crashing 40%. Moonrock Capital founder Simon Dedic criticized Coinbase for涉嫌 (suspected) insider trading. Additionally, Vector.fun's developer Tensor and its token remain independent from this acquisition. It was inferred from this that Tensor would cash out a large, undisclosed sum while TNSR holders would "get nothing," once again highlighting the misalignment between equity and tokens.

Project official account: https://x.com/VECTORDOTFUN

The Clearing Company: Prediction Market Startup Platform

The most recent acquisition happened yesterday.

Coinbase officially provided a detailed announcement of the acquisition of the prediction market platform The Clearing Company, mentioning:

  • The Clearing Company team is led by founder and CEO Toni Gemayel (Odaily Planet Daily Note: former Growth Lead at Polymarket and Kalshi, some employees are from Polymarket) and will subsequently help scale world-class prediction market trading on Coinbase, accelerating our exciting goal of this being part of the Everything Exchange;
  • The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions and is expected to be completed in January.

It is worth mentioning that Coinbase previously launched a prediction market service powered by Kalshi and stated it would introduce more prediction market platform contracts. Now, it seems, indeed. Additionally, The Clearing Company completed a $15 million seed round in August of this year, led by Union Square Ventures, with participation from Haun Ventures, Variant, Coinbase Ventures, Compound, and others.

With this, Coinbase has filled the last hot piece of the puzzle in the cryptocurrency industry—prediction markets.

Project official account: https://x.com/theclearingco

Conclusion: Coinbase's Ambition: Exchange Everything

Looking at Coinbase's top 10 acquisitions this year, most did not disclose specific amounts, and most were talent acquisitions—except for those like Deribit, which already had an extremely high industry status and rich liquidity/trading volume; Vector.fun, which serves as an ecosystem network expansion bridge component; or The Clearing Company, which is in a hot sector with promising future potential.

Coinbase's ultimate goal has actually been mentioned often by CEO Brian Armstrong and Base lead Jesse Pollak: "Everything Exchange." Its final purpose, looked at in reverse, is—Exchange Everything, to create a "one-stop trading platform" that meets users' diverse trading needs regarding on-chain tokens, on-chain consumption, on-chain finance, spot, options, futures, and even prediction market event betting, truly turning "Coinbase as a Service" (CAAS) into a solid moat similar to business models like stablecoin custody.

In the competition with top CEXs like Binance, OKX, Bybit, and Upbit, if most exchanges have chosen a path of "breaking through at a single point," then Coinbase has chosen a path with a higher ceiling but also greater difficulty—"systematic coordination."

But its超然 (transcendent) status as the "first cryptocurrency stock" and its持续 (sustained) development momentum will likely propel it to become a representative investment target in the crypto industry. No wonder it is the "largest crypto holding" in Cathie Wood's Ark Invest.

Domande pertinenti

QWhat is the strategic goal behind Coinbase's acquisition of The Clearing Company?

ACoinbase's acquisition of The Clearing Company is a key step in building its 'Everything Exchange' vision, aiming to expand its world-class prediction markets trading scale and integrate this hot sector into its platform.

QWhich major cryptocurrency derivatives platform did Coinbase acquire in 2025 and for what estimated value?

AIn May 2025, Coinbase acquired the major crypto derivatives platform Deribit for an estimated $2.9 billion, which included $700 million in cash and 11 million shares of Coinbase Class A common stock.

QWhat is a common pattern observed in many of Coinbase's 2025 acquisitions regarding the fate of the acquired projects?

AA common pattern is that many acquisitions are talent-focused ('acqui-hires'), where the development teams are absorbed into Coinbase or Base, but the original projects themselves often cease operations and fade into obscurity.

QWhat criticism did the acquisition of Vector.fun attract from the market?

AThe acquisition of Vector.fun was criticized for alleged insider trading, as the project's token TNSR surged 800% in two days before crashing 40%, leading to accusations that Coinbase insiders may have benefited while TNSR token holders received nothing.

QAccording to the article, what is the ultimate objective of Coinbase's 'Everything Exchange' strategy?

AThe ultimate objective of Coinbase's 'Everything Exchange' strategy is to create a one-stop trading platform that fulfills diverse user needs, including on-chain tokens, consumption, finance, spot, options, futures, and prediction markets, essentially aiming to 'Exchange Everything'.

Letture associate

US Stocks Too Expensive? This Top CIO Scoured the Globe and Found 5 Stocks More Attractive Than NVIDIA

Summary: Main Street Research CIO James Demmert maintains his bullish 8,100 target for the S&P 500 but argues that greater opportunities now lie overseas. He identifies five international stocks with superior valuations poised to benefit from the AI revolution, suggesting international markets will outperform the US for years. Key Recommendations: 1. **ASML (Netherlands):** A foundational chip manufacturing technology provider, offering crucial AI exposure and geographic diversification. Demmert's top long-term pick. 2. **HSBC (UK/Asia):** A global bank with a 9x P/E ratio, better growth prospects than US peers like JPMorgan, and strong Asian presence. 3. **Siemens Energy (Germany):** A direct play on global power grid expansion driven by AI, crypto, and EV electricity demand. 4. **BHP Group (Australia):** A "hidden AI play" and "second derivative" of the trend due to massive copper demand for data centers. Trades at a 16x P/E. 5. **AstraZeneca (UK):** An undervalued healthcare stock with a strong pipeline (18x P/E, >20% growth), expected to benefit from AI's impact on medicine. Core Thesis: International outperformance is driven by both attractive valuations and a major policy shift. While the US tightens fiscal policy, Europe and Japan are launching unprecedented stimulus, reigniting growth. Demmert recommends allocating 45% of a portfolio internationally, citing excessive US investor conservatism as a key mistake.

marsbit7 min fa

US Stocks Too Expensive? This Top CIO Scoured the Globe and Found 5 Stocks More Attractive Than NVIDIA

marsbit7 min fa

a16z Partner: Three Paths for Crypto Projects to Find PMF

Author: Jason Rosenthal. Compiler: Shenchao TechFlow. Finding Product-Market Fit (PMF) is the most critical variable for a company's survival. In the crypto space, misaligned growth hacking and airdrops often mask the absence of true PMF. However, leading teams are now finding PMF faster. Here are three proven paths for crypto projects to achieve PMF: 1. **Co-build with Anchor Clients:** Partner with the most sophisticated potential clients in your field and develop the product based on their specific needs. Their adoption serves as the strongest validation, more valuable than media coverage or TVL metrics. This approach is shaping current product roadmaps, as seen in collaborations between crypto startups and traditional finance. 2. **Position Ahead of an Exponential Curve:** Identify and position yourself ahead of a major emerging trend before the market fully realizes it. The most evident current curve is the rise of AI Agents as autonomous economic actors. Projects like AgentCash by Merit Systems, which enables AI Agents to pay for API access with crypto, are building foundational payment rails for the impending Agent economy. 3. **Be Your Own First and Best Customer:** The most enduring infrastructure companies don't wait for external validation. They first build and prove their technology by using it to power their own applications at scale before offering it to others. Matter Labs exemplifies this by anchoring its ZKsync technology in a concrete application, Cari Network, which enables U.S. regional banks to conduct real-time, on-chain interbank transfers of tokenized deposits. The underlying logic is consistent: the fastest path to PMF involves choosing the right battlefield and executing with conviction—by co-building with clients whose validation compounds, positioning ahead of the curve before consensus forms, or becoming your own best case study.

marsbit8 min fa

a16z Partner: Three Paths for Crypto Projects to Find PMF

marsbit8 min fa

Wang Chuan: How to Avoid Anxiety When the Neighbor, Lao Wang, Made Thirty Times His Investment in Storage Stocks (7) - A Quarter-Century Cycle

Wang Chuan: Reflections on a Quarter-Century Cycle – How to Stay Calm After a 30x Gain on Storage Stocks (Part 7) This article continues the discussion on investment pitfalls. It highlights the deceptive use of metrics like the "Annualized Net Dollar Retention Rate" by some companies to inflate growth projections. The core analysis focuses on the "reflexivity" present in both product demand and financial markets during boom periods. In a bubble, speculative and fear-driven demand in the real economy interacts with speculative, leveraged buying in financial markets, creating a powerful upward feedback loop. This dynamic reverses sharply when faced with physical or liquidity constraints, leading to a cascading downturn. The hardware and semiconductor sectors face unique risks. Unlike assets with defined cycles, there's no guarantee of a swift recovery post-crash. Historical examples like Micron, Intel, and Cisco show it can take decades to surpass previous peaks after severe drawdowns (80-95%). This is due to the "bullwhip effect" in supply chains—demand vanishes quickly while过剩产能 persists—and the migration of speculative capital and growth narratives to new sectors once momentum slows. Companies may have stronger fundamentals years later, but the speculative "soul" of extreme valuations is long gone. The author warns of psychological traps for new investors: mistaking temporary, intense demand for permanent growth, and believing that making quick, large profits is easy. Citing Buffett, the piece cautions that easy money erodes rationality. The current phase presents an asymmetric risk-reward scenario: potential for further gains versus the risk of an 80%+ drawdown and a multi-decade recovery wait—an outcome reflexive speculators cannot endure. The hypothetical "Lao Wang" who made 30x may be wiped out by leverage or, driven by the "get-rich-quick" mindset, may repeatedly try to recover losses until exhausted, failing to recognize that the high-growth narrative has ended. The piece concludes with Schopenhauer's analogy: those who've seen multiple cycles are like an audience watching the same magic trick repeatedly—the illusion no longer works.

链捕手17 min fa

Wang Chuan: How to Avoid Anxiety When the Neighbor, Lao Wang, Made Thirty Times His Investment in Storage Stocks (7) - A Quarter-Century Cycle

链捕手17 min fa

Trading

Spot
Futures

Articoli Popolari

Come comprare QUICK

Benvenuto in HTX.com! Abbiamo reso l'acquisto di Quickswap (QUICK) semplice e conveniente. Segui la nostra guida passo passo per intraprendere il tuo viaggio nel mondo delle criptovalute.Step 1: Crea il tuo Account HTXUsa la tua email o numero di telefono per registrarti il tuo account gratuito su HTX. Vivi un'esperienza facile e sblocca tutte le funzionalità,Crea il mio accountStep 2: Vai in Acquista crypto e seleziona il tuo metodo di pagamentoCarta di credito/debito: utilizza la tua Visa o Mastercard per acquistare immediatamente QuickswapQUICK.Bilancio: Usa i fondi dal bilancio del tuo account HTX per fare trading senza problemi.Terze parti: abbiamo aggiunto metodi di pagamento molto utilizzati come Google Pay e Apple Pay per maggiore comodità.P2P: Fai trading direttamente con altri utenti HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): Offriamo servizi su misura e tassi di cambio competitivi per i trader.Step 3: Conserva Quickswap (QUICK)Dopo aver acquistato Quickswap (QUICK), conserva nel tuo account HTX. In alternativa, puoi inviare tramite trasferimento blockchain o scambiare per altre criptovalute.Step 4: Scambia Quickswap (QUICK)Scambia facilmente Quickswap (QUICK) nel mercato spot di HTX. Accedi al tuo account, seleziona la tua coppia di trading, esegui le tue operazioni e monitora in tempo reale. Offriamo un'esperienza user-friendly sia per chi ha appena iniziato che per i trader più esperti.

92 Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2024.12.11Aggiornato il 2026.06.02

Come comprare QUICK

Discussioni

Benvenuto nella Community HTX. Qui puoi rimanere informato sugli ultimi sviluppi della piattaforma e accedere ad approfondimenti esperti sul mercato. Le opinioni degli utenti sul prezzo di QUICK QUICK sono presentate come di seguito.

活动图片