Курс биткоина способен повторить рост золота после временной коррекции на рынке

cryptonews.ruPubblicato 2025-04-26Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-10-27

Цена золота в 2025 году продолжает ставить рекорды, впервые превысив $4200 за унцию. Исследователи Blofin: с начала года металл подорожал более чем на 60%, закрепив за собой статус главного защитного актива. На этом фоне биткоин (BTC) выглядит сдержанно и не смог повторить стремительный рост золота. Эксперты BloFin Research считают, что отставание цифрового актива может быть временным и вскоре он способен начать собственное ралли.

По мнению аналитиков, сильный рост котировок драгоценного металла связан с так называемой «девальвационной торговлей», когда инвесторы уходят из фиатных валют в ограниченные по предложению активы. Этот тренд усилился из-за инфляционного давления, рисков и геополитических конфликтов. Центробанки активно наращивают золотые запасы, покупая более 1000 тонн металла ежегодно. На фоне ослабления доверия к доллару и евро спрос на защитные активы достиг исторических максимумов.

Теоретически биткоин (BTC) должен выигрывать от подобной ситуации. Его ограниченная эмиссия и независимость от традиционных финансовых институтов делают его цифровым аналогом золота. Однако рынок не готов приравнивать цифровую монету к надежному активу. Биткоин остается слишком волатильным и по-прежнему воспринимается как рисковый инструмент, особенно среди институциональных и государственных инвесторов.

Сильное расхождение цен 2-х активов может быть временным. Аналитики отмечают, что исторически движение BTC часто запаздывало относительно золота на 8–10 недель. Когда цена драгоценного металла достигает локальных максимумов, часть капитала начинает перетекать в биткоин. Сейчас корреляция между ними превышает 0,85: говорит о схожей реакции на макроэкономические сигналы. Это усиливает вероятность того, что цифровой актив повторит рост золота с задержкой.

Аналитики отметили: важным фактором стал обвал крипторынка 10–11 октября, когда было ликвидировано позиций на $19 млрд. Массовое закрытие сделок привело к снижению открытого интереса и уходу спекулятивного капитала. Рынок биткоина переживает фазу очистки и накопления. Эксперт BloFin уверены: при стабилизации макроэкономических условий и снижении давления со стороны ликвидаций капитал постепенно начнет возвращаться в биткоин. В долгосрочной перспективе BTC продолжит «сближение» с золотом по динамике и восприятию инвесторами.

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Galaxy Research: Can SEC's New Regulations Usher in a New Era for Token Financing?

**SEC Proposes New Framework for Token Offerings, Potentially Unlocking Legal Paths for U.S. Crypto Fundraising** On August 18, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) proposed new rules, dubbed "Reg Crypto," specifically tailored for crypto asset offerings. This framework marks a departure from applying traditional securities rules designed for stocks to tokens. It creates a potential legal pathway for token sales to the U.S. public, including non-accredited investors, without full registration. The proposed rules apply to crypto assets that are not themselves securities but were sold as part of an investment contract where the issuer promised to build a product, network, or ecosystem. It establishes a four-phase lifecycle: Raise, Disclose, Build, and Exit. The "Raise" phase includes two new fundraising exemptions: a startup exemption allowing up to $5 million over four years and a larger, Regulation A-based exemption for up to $20 million or $75 million over 12 months. The "Disclose" phase requires specific token-related disclosures like supply schedules, governance, and development progress. After the issuer completes its promised development work and files a transition report, the "Exit" phase allows the associated investment contract to terminate, even if the token continues to trade. The analysis highlights that the framework's most immediate impact may be providing a formal "exit" path for existing tokens with unclear legal status, rather than immediately sparking a new wave of U.S.-based token offerings. It offers advantages over traditional private placements by allowing public sales and immediate token transferability but imposes ongoing disclosure and reporting obligations. A key hurdle is that the larger exemption requires a substantial U.S. operational presence, which may deter projects with offshore structures. Overall, the proposal is seen as a constructive step toward regulatory clarity, acknowledging that token offerings differ from equity offerings and require tailored investor disclosures. However, it remains a proposal subject to a 60-day public comment period, and its long-term stability may ultimately depend on congressional action.

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Galaxy Research: Can SEC's New Regulations Usher in a New Era for Token Financing?

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Bitcoin and Ethereum Soar Together! Eight Altcoins Worth Watching in the Later Market

Bitcoin and Ethereum Surge, Fueling Altcoin Speculation. Bitcoin Eyes $77,000, Ethereum Gains 20% in a Single Day. Market anticipates capital rotation from major cryptos to high-beta altcoins, but a selective rise is expected, favoring projects with genuine users, protocol revenue, and healthy tokenomics. Analysts highlight eight altcoins across key sectors: **High-Performance Blockchains:** * **SOL (Solana):** Market cap ~$51.88B. A dominant player with a strong ecosystem. Considered a relatively safe bet for potential catch-up growth. * **SUI (Sui):** Market cap ~$3.03B. High volatility potential but faces risks from its low circulating supply and future token unlocks. **DeFi Lending:** * **UNI (Uniswap):** Market cap ~$2.38B. Transitioning to a revenue-capturing asset post-fee switch implementation. * **AAVE (Aave):** Market cap ~$1.53B. Features balanced tokenomics and revenue but has seen significant recent gains. * **MORPHO:** Market cap ~$1.50B. Rapid protocol growth but weaker token value capture and opaque supply data. **Perpetual DEX:** * **HYPE (Hyperliquid):** Market cap ~$16.41B. The clear sector leader with strong revenue but high valuation and a large portion of tokens still locked, warranting caution. **RWA & On-Chain Finance Infrastructure:** * **LINK (Chainlink):** Market cap ~$8.09B. A key oracle provider positioned to benefit from multiple trends like RWA and institutional adoption, offering strong fundamentals. * **ONDO (Ondo Finance):** Market cap ~$1.77B. Shows strong business growth but carries high risks due to concentrated token holdings and a massive unlock scheduled for 2027. **Conclusion:** The altcoin rally is expected to be selective. Recommendations include a medium position in SOL, small allocations to SUI and UNI/AAVE for DeFi exposure, and caution with HYPE and ONDO due to their specific risks. LINK is suggested as a core holding for the RWA thematic.

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Bitcoin and Ethereum Soar Together! Eight Altcoins Worth Watching in the Later Market

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Shanghai's $10 Billion Unicorn Is About to Go Public

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Shanghai's $10 Billion Unicorn Is About to Go Public

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LATEST NEWS: Altcoin Hack Reported, Allowing Malicious Actors to Mint Unlimited Tokens!

Breaking News: Reports indicate a hack of The Sandbox's altcoin, allowing malicious actors to potentially mint an unlimited number of its native $SAND tokens. The incident, not yet officially confirmed by The Sandbox team, stems from an alleged security vulnerability granting access to token minting capabilities. Claims on social media suggest over 500 million new $SAND tokens may have been created. If true, this represents a severe security breach directly impacting the token's supply. Market reaction has been swift and volatile. The price of $SAND dropped roughly 5.5% in a short period. Futures open interest reportedly surged by about 16% within an hour, and trading volume spiked to approximately 24 times the normal level, indicating intense activity. However, a sharp move into negative funding rates points to a significant buildup of short positions on the market.

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LATEST NEWS: Altcoin Hack Reported, Allowing Malicious Actors to Mint Unlimited Tokens!

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Ray Dalio's Latest Macro Analysis Full Text: Buy More Gold, Add Some Bitcoin

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Ray Dalio's Latest Macro Analysis Full Text: Buy More Gold, Add Some Bitcoin

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