Цена биткоина просела к $111 000

cryptonews.ruPubblicato 2025-10-20Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-10-20

Котировки первой криптовалюты обвалились к отметкам в районе $111 000 на фоне макроэкономических рисков.

Часовой график BTC/USD биржи Bitstamp. Источник: TradingView.

За последние сутки биткоин подешевел на 9,5%. Большинство крупнейших по капитализации альткоинов продемонстрировали более глубокую просадку. Solana и XRP потеряли в цене около 20%, Dogecoin — более 24%.

Источник: CoinGecko.

Объем ликвидаций на крипторынке за последние сутки превысил рекордные $19 млрд. Абсолютное большинство закрытых позиций пришлось на лонги — почти $17 млрд.

Источник: CoinGlass.

Крупнейшая единичная ликвидация на сумму $203 млн произошла на бирже Hyperliquid в паре ETH/USDT.

Капитализация крипторынка сократилась до ~$3,8 трлн.

Обвал цифровых активов спровоцировало заявление президента США Дональда Трампа о возможном введении с 1 ноября 100% пошлин на китайский импорт. Жесткие меры главы государства вызвало внедрение властями КНР в эти же сроки ограничений на экспорт товаров с содержанием редкоземельных элементов.

«Сейчас на рынках наблюдается небольшая паника — классический макроэкономический шок. Трамп и Китай обмениваются тарифными угрозами, акции падают, а трейдеры пытаются снизить риски», — прокомментировал для Cointelegraph CEO Swan Bitcoin Кори Клиппстен.

Индексы S&P 500 и Nasdaq 100 за сутки снизились на 2,7% и 3,5% соответственно.

Uptober внушает оптимизм

По мнению Клиппстена, подобные происходящему спады на рынке обычно вымывают «трейдеров с кредитным плечом и слабые руки, а затем выстраивают позиции для последующего роста».

Экономист Тимоти Петерсон отметил, что просадки первой криптовалюты на более чем 5% в октябре за последние 10 лет происходили не менее четырех раз. В трех из этих случаев в течение недели котировки уверенно восстанавливались.

Drops of more than 5% in October are exceedingly rare. This has happened only 4 times in the past 10 years.

Oct 24 2017
Oct 11 2018
Oct 23 2019
Oct 21 2021

What happened next? 7 days later bitcoin was
2017: up 16%
2018: up 4%
2019: up 21%
2021: down -3% pic.twitter.com/mbFs19RbwL
— Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) October 10, 2025

По данным CoinGlass, исторически биткоин в октябре демонстрирует средний рост на примерно 20%. Месяц по показателю уступает только ноябрю с 46%, получив в сообществе наименование Uptober. Название обыгрывает слово up — вверх.

Источник: CoinGlass.

«У Uptober еще остался 21 день», — успокоил инвесторов CEO Jan3 Сэмсон Моу.

Основатель MN Trading Capital Михаэль ван де Поппе считает, что рынок просто достиг дна в текущем цикле.

Стратег Bitwise Invest Хуан Леон напомнил, что просадка под влиянием общего движения рынков, как правило, является хорошей возможностью для покупки актива.

Инвестиционный директор компании Мэтт Хоуган высказал подобную позицию. При этом он отметил, что некоторые не решаются на приобретение вопреки собственным планам, поскольку рынок в такие моменты «чувствует себя нехорошо».

«Никогда не бывает “приятно”, когда покупаешь на спаде. Падение происходит, когда падают настроения», — добавил он.

На фоне обвала рынка криптовалютный индекс страха и жадности опустился из нейтральной зоны на отметку 37.

Источник: Alternative.

Напомним, зона перекупленности в биткоине наступит на отметках около $180 000, считает аналитик Фрэнк Феттер. Трейдер Питер Брандт полагает, что потенциал роста криптовалюты в текущем цикле составляет не менее $185 000.

Letture associate

Injective software package hit by malicious supply chain attack – Details

In a software supply chain attack, malicious actors compromised the Injective Labs TypeScript SDK (@injectivelabs/sdk-ts v1.20.21) by uploading a tainted version to the npm registry. The attackers gained access to a legitimate contributor's GitHub account to distribute malicious commits. The compromised package, disguised as a routine update, contained malware that activated only when developers used specific wallet generation functions, stealing private keys and mnemonic seed phrases. This breach impacted approximately 50,000 weekly downloads and spread through transitive dependencies in 17 other Injective packages. While a clean version (v1.20.23) was later released, the malicious package remained accessible. Affected users are advised to rotate credentials, create new wallets, and move their funds.

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Injective software package hit by malicious supply chain attack – Details

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After Aave's Exit and TVL's Sharp Fluctuation, Where Does MegaETH's Valuation Anchor Lie?

Following the withdrawal of Aave and a sharp drop in its Total Value Locked (TVL), the valuation of the high-performance DeFi blockchain MegaETH faces scrutiny. Once a highly anticipated project with a fully diluted valuation (FDV) reaching around $2 billion, MegaETH saw its TVL plummet from a May peak of $245 million to just over $30 million in July, a roughly 70% decline. Its native token, MEGA, currently trades around $0.048 with a market cap of approximately $54 million and an FDV of about $480 million. The report identifies a core vulnerability: MegaETH's TVL was heavily dependent on a single protocol, Aave V3, which at its peak contributed around 90% of the chain's TVL. A significant portion of this capital is attributed to leveraged yield-farming strategies involving stablecoins like USDe. When the profitability of these strategies diminished, capital rapidly exited, exposing the lack of diversified, sustainable activity. Three key mismatches between MegaETH's valuation and its fundamentals are highlighted: 1. **Valuation vs. Real Usage:** With an FDV of ~$4.8B but only ~$1M in annualized protocol revenue and ~2,600 daily active addresses, the valuation appears disconnected from current economic activity. 2. **Token Narrative vs. Ecosystem Reality:** Despite its DeFi narrative, nearly 80% of the chain's recent protocol revenue comes from a trading card game, Monster, not from core DeFi applications like Aave. The chain's native stablecoin, USDM, also shows low trading volume and a declining market cap. 3. **Short-Term Hype vs. Long-Term Delivery:** Initial hype from token generation, blue-chip integrations, and influencer support has faded. Major protocols like Uniswap now hold minimal TVL on the chain, indicating that early capital was largely transient and driven by incentives rather than organic demand. The situation reflects a broader market trend where investors are becoming less tolerant of valuations based on inflated TVL and narrative, demanding clearer evidence of sustainable transactions, revenue, and ecosystem development. While MEGA's price may experience short-term rebounds from market sentiment, a fundamental re-rating likely depends on the team's ability to convert its remaining resources into tangible, user-retaining applications and genuine ecosystem growth.

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After Aave's Exit and TVL's Sharp Fluctuation, Where Does MegaETH's Valuation Anchor Lie?

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Goldman Sachs In-Depth Report: Who Will Be the Long-Term Winners in China's AI Large Model Industry?

Goldman Sachs Report: China's AI Models at an Inflection Point China's open-source/open-weight large language models (LLMs) have reached performance parity with top global proprietary models, according to a Goldman Sachs report. This is driven by architectural innovations and higher parameter efficiency, allowing Chinese models to achieve comparable capabilities at 2%-10% the parameter size and significantly lower cost. The market is evolving into a two-tiered structure: a high-end segment (e.g., GLM5.2, Qwen3.7 Max) with premium pricing and a low-end, price-sensitive segment for global SMEs and individual users. Key points: * **Cost & Performance:** Innovations like Mixture of Experts (MoE) enable high performance with smaller models. Projects like Meituan's LongCat 2.0, trained on domestic hardware, highlight progress in tech self-sufficiency. * **Open-Source Strategy:** Most Chinese players use open-source/open-weight models for flexibility and ecosystem growth. However, Goldman notes this may underreport actual deployment and revenue. A shift toward "open-weight + community license" models with revenue sharing (e.g., MiniMax) could improve monetization. * **Market Shift & Global Expansion:** Enterprise AI adoption is shifting from "token maximization" to "ROI-first." International expansion, especially in non-US markets, is a major growth driver. Chinese models are increasingly available on global platforms like AWS Bedrock and Microsoft Copilot. * **Competitive Landscape:** Using a framework based on pricing power, cost advantage, and financial strength, Goldman identifies **Zhipu AI and DeepSeek** as the strongest in foundational text models, and **ByteDance** as the leader in multimodal/video generation. The report maintains Buy ratings on MiniMax and Kuaishou. * **Market Growth:** China's AI model API and subscription revenue is projected to grow from an estimated ¥35 billion in 2026 to ¥879 billion by 2030.

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Goldman Sachs In-Depth Report: Who Will Be the Long-Term Winners in China's AI Large Model Industry?

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Goldman Sachs Deep Dive Report: Who Will Become the Long-Term Winners in China's AI Large Model Industry?

Goldman Sachs Report: Who Will Be the Long-Term Winners in China's AI Large Model Industry? China's AI large model sector is at a historic inflection point. Goldman Sachs argues that the intelligence of Chinese open-source/open-weight models is approaching top global proprietary models. Rapid adoption by domestic enterprises and global SMEs is creating a data flywheel effect that will further drive model iteration. The evolution is summarized as moving from "DeepSeek's cost-efficiency moment last year to GLM's model-intelligence moment this year." Chinese models achieve near-state-of-the-art performance at significantly lower cost, primarily due to architectural innovations like Mixture of Experts (MoE) and higher parameter efficiency. Models like DeepSeek V4 Pro (1.6T params), GLM5.2 (0.7T), and MiniMax M3 (0.4T) are much smaller than global leaders. Recent advancements in coding capability are attributed to better data curation and RLHF. Landmarks like Meituan's LongCat 2.0, trained fully on domestic AI chips, demonstrate progress in hardware stack independence. The market is forming a "two-tiered structure." The high-end tier (e.g., GLM5.2, Alibaba's Qwen3.7 Max) prices around $1 per million tokens, about 10-25% of US top models, with estimated inference gross margins of 10-20%. The low-end tier (priced as low as $0.06-$0.2 per million tokens) targets price-sensitive global SMEs and individuals. MiniMax derives 60-70% of revenue overseas. Goldman forecasts China's AI model API/subscription revenue to grow from an estimated RMB 35bn in 2026 to RMB 879bn by 2030. Most Chinese players adopt open-source/open-weight strategies for deployment flexibility and community feedback, though this limits monetization as deployments on third-party platforms (e.g., Alibaba Cloud) may not generate direct revenue. A shift towards "open-weight + community license" models with revenue-sharing agreements (like MiniMax's approach) could improve unit economics. International expansion, particularly in non-US markets, is the key growth driver. The global enterprise AI paradigm is shifting from "token maximization" to "ROI prioritization." Chinese models are already hosted on major global platforms like AWS Bedrock and are under consideration for integration into Microsoft Copilot. Using a competitive framework based on pricing power, cost advantage, and financial strength, Goldman identifies the strongest players: In foundational text models, Zhipu AI (initiated coverage) and DeepSeek lead. In multimodal/video generation, ByteDance's Seed is the frontrunner, with Kuaishou's Kling and MiniMax's Hailuo also well-positioned. Goldman maintains a Buy rating on MiniMax, citing its attractive valuation.

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Goldman Sachs Deep Dive Report: Who Will Become the Long-Term Winners in China's AI Large Model Industry?

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Circle secures final OCC approval for national trust bank to strengthen USDC infrastructure

Circle has received final approval from the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to establish Circle National Trust, a federally regulated national trust bank. This marks a key regulatory milestone, bringing core parts of the company's USDC stablecoin infrastructure under direct federal oversight. The new bank will initially provide digital asset custody services for Circle and its affiliates, with a pathway to serve institutional clients and potentially manage the USDC reserve in the future. The approval advances Circle from the conditional stage it reached alongside other crypto firms in late 2025. This move reflects a broader trend of integrating crypto infrastructure into the existing U.S. banking framework through national trust charters, which specialize in custody and fiduciary services rather than traditional lending.

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Circle secures final OCC approval for national trust bank to strengthen USDC infrastructure

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