币圈战国时代:2025 谁是最后的赢家?

比推Pubblicato 2025-09-09Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-09-09

pump.fun vs Letsbonk.fun 的「meme 发射台大战」已经可以提前预定本年度最精彩的加密故事之一。转眼间,我们已经来到了 9 月初,pump.fun 重新在这场你来我往的竞争中占据了优势。

当思考「meme 发射台大战」是如何开始的时候,我的第一反应是,pump.fun 在 2024 年到今年初一整年的辉煌表现,牵动了众多项目方「分蛋糕」的欲望。

实际上,这场「meme 发射台大战」,并不是单纯的资产发行平台与资产发行平台之间的战争。在 pump.fun 推出 PumpSwap,变成了资产发行+交易平台的那一刻,这场竞争就已经不可避免。而对阵的双方,是 pump.fun,和 Raydium。

蜜月期

pump.fun 与 Raydium 曾一直是共生的关系。在 PumpSwap 诞生前,pump.fun 作为 meme 币的发行平台,当其上的新 meme 币市值达到 69000 美元后,就会迁移到 Raydium 进行交易。

过去新入场的 meme 玩家容易感到疑惑的「内盘」和「外盘」,一个相同的币却有两个不同的合约地址,正是由这个流程所导致的。

2024 年,不仅仅是 pump.fun 的黄金年代,也同样是 Raydium 的黄金年代。根据 Blockworks 的数据,Raydium 在 2024 年交易费收入约为 1.6 亿美元,是 2023 年的 5 倍多。这其中,来自 meme 币交易的收入就达到了约 1.45 亿美元,超过了全年收入的 90%。在这其中,来自 pump.fun 的 meme 币贡献了约 6.25 千万美元的收入,占 meme 币收入的约 43%,占总收入的约 39%。

对 Raydium 来说,pump.fun 犹如一台飞快发展的「印钞机」,站在流动性的上游,而自己则稳稳地坐在流动性的下游。你吃一边,我吃一边。

分道扬镳

双方的蜜月期一直持续到了今年的 2 月下旬。

2 月 24 日,Twitter 上有人发现 pump.fun 正在测试自家的 AMM 流动性池。第二天,Raydium 核心贡献者 @0xINFRA 就发表了一篇长长的推文锐评此事。这篇长推文其实已经带着很浓的火药味,基本上就是在强调是 Raydium 在 pump.fun 的成功中起到了巨大作用、Raydium 在近段数据来看没有那么依赖 pump.fun 等。他最犀利的言辞是下图这段:

「pump.fun 用自己的 AMM 取代 Raydium 是一个战略误判」

在回复 CoinDesk 时,@0xINFRA 持续表示对 Raydium 来说分手没那么糟糕,并表达他对 pump.fun 的担忧,「任何新的 AMM 都可能遇到无数问题:基础设施不完善、迁移代币需求低、交易量下降。」

这个消息实打实对 Raydium 的币价造成了打击,$RAY 遭遇了近 30% 的跌幅,从 4.2 美元跌破了 3 美元。下跌一直持续到了 4 月中旬,最低曾跌到过 1.5 美元附近。

3 月 21 日,pump.fun 正式官宣了 PumpSwap,从此 pump 出来的币不再有了内外盘之分。但在 PumpSwap 被官宣的 2 天前,3 月 19 日,Cointelegraph 就爆出,Raydium 即将推出自家的发射台,名为「LaunchLab」。

Raydium 方面的官宣直到接近一个月后才姗姗来迟。4 月 16 日,Raydium 正式官宣了 LaunchLab。

曾经「哥哥你站船头呀,妹妹我坐船尾」的甜蜜不再。这两个在 2024 年 Solana meme 币狂潮中的最大赢家,一个顺流而下,一个逆流而上,各自向对方把持的领地亮剑。

大战

您可能会疑惑,Raydium 的这个 LaunchLab 也没搞出什么声量,meme 发射台大战的主角不是 pump.fun 和 Letsbonk.fun 吗?

Letsbonk.fun 正是用 Raydium 的「Plug & Play SDK」制作的。简单来说,可以理解成 Letsbonk.fun 只是 Raydium LaunchLab 的一个定制版本。

根据 defillama 的数据,在 4 月、5 月和 6 月,PumpSwap 的总手续费收入与净手续费收入都超过了 Raydium。到 Letsbonk.fun 压制 pump.fun 的 7 月,Raydium 单月的总手续费收入是上一个月份的约 2.76 倍,净手续费收入更是上一个月份的约 4.66 倍。同时,在 7 月,PumpSwap 的月度总手续费收入只有 Raydium 的约 30%,月度净手续费收入只有 Raydium 的约 18%。

从这个角度来说,pump.fun 在最近一段时间不断地在 Twitter 上支持自家生态的「次新币」,甚至成立了 Glass Full Foundation 直接购入自家生态的 meme 币,也就能够有一个更理性的解释——PumpSwap 作为资产交易平台的表现,和 pump.fun 这个上游的资产发行平台是非常强关联的,因为 PumpSwap 的根基尚浅,所能仰赖的只有自家出产的 meme 币。

在许多链上玩家对 meme 币行情感到绝望,直言当前的 meme 币市场是「地狱难度」时,pump.fun 所支持的币种却在整体加密货币市场的波动中保持了相对强势。无论是 $USDUC、$NEET 还是 $TOKABU,这些 pump.fun 上的 meme 标的都在 100 万至 300 万美元市值阶段给了相当充足的「上车」时间,稳步上升到了近 3000 万美元市值甚至更多。

上周,pump.fun 发布了「Project Ascend」更新,此次更新带来的最核心改变是 Dynamic Fees V1 系统。这个新的分层创作者费用结构彻底改变了此前的固定费率模式。在以往的体系中,创作者无论代币市值高低,都只能获得相同比例的交易费用分成。而现在,系统引入了与市值挂钩的动态费率——市值越高的代币,创作者费用越低,而小型项目则继续贡献较高的费用。这种设计背后的逻辑是鼓励创作者专注于代币的长期成长,而非短期套现。

PumpSwap 不同市值代币对应的手续费和内容创作者收益

Dynamic Fees V1 适用于所有 PumpSwap 代币,包括新发行和已存在的代币,同时保持相同的协议和流动性提供者费用分配。对于那些创作者已经消失的「遗弃」项目,费用将流向社区。CTO 项目可以通过申请来接收创作者费用,而 Pump.fun 承诺将大幅加快审批流程。

pump.fun 官方声称,这次更新将创作者的潜在收益提升了 10 倍。对于那些能够成功运营代币生态的创作者而言,这意味着他们不再需要通过抛售持仓来获利,而是可以通过持续的交易费用分成获得稳定收入。这种模式的转变,是 Pump.fun 试图解决 memecoin 生态中普遍存在的「pump and dump」问题的关键一步。

pump.fun 所选择的未来道路,是「CCM」(Creator Capital Markets,创作者市场)。无论是引入越来越多的直播者,或是解决 meme 币「一波流」的可持续发展问题,本质上,pump.fun 是想通过「内容创作变现」吸引更多目前在 Twitch、Tiktok 等社交媒体上的优质创作者入驻,发动着一场从 Web3 到 Web2 的创作者经济吸血鬼攻击。

而 Letsbonk.fun 则选择了另一个方向努力。9 月 1 日,WLFI 官推宣布 USD1 在 Solana 上线,并表示「Solana 需要一个像其核心一样充满活力的美元:即时执行、无需许可且全球可访问。USD1 由储备资产 1:1 支撑,并在 Solana 上线第一天就与 Raydium、BONK.fun 以及 Kamino 进行集成,将数字美元稳定币引入互联网资本市场。」BONK.fun 官推宣布将成为 WLFI 在 Solana 上的官方 USD1 发射台。

不久前,Letsbonk.fun 的龙头 $USELESS 也在 Coinbase 上架。这两件事都体现出,Letsbonk.fun 的优势更侧重于资源的整合能力。凭借着在 Solana 生态多年发展的积淀,Letsbonk.fun 也仍在不断出牌。

无从比较这两个发展道路的好与坏,只能说,pump.fun 与 Letsbonk.fun 已经呈现出了不同的发展愿景,而且都很聪明地发挥着自己的长处。至于未来如何,只有时间能给出答案。

结语

「meme 发射台大战」,实际上是 pump.fun 与 Raydium 从合作共生关系转为了竞争而引爆的。表面上是 pump.fun vs Letsbonk.fun,实则是 pump.fun + PumpSwap vs Letsbonk.fun + Raydium。

这场轰轰烈烈的商业竞争中,我们确实看到了一些更好的改变,例如创作者奖励机制,对 CTO 或者说更长期持续经营 meme 币的激励等等。只有充分的竞争,市场才会更好。


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